Climate change research at the Met Office Hadley Centre - JULES
Climate change research at the Met Office Hadley Centre - JULES Climate change research at the Met Office Hadley Centre - JULES
Proposed work for Fifth AssessmentReport (AR5) with JULES: improvedimpacts projections• Global-scale projections of biophysical impactsthat are internally-consistent:• Runoff• Groundwater recharge?• Terrestrial ecosystems• Crop productivity• Include linkages via large-scale hydrology:• Irrigation• River flows© Crown copyright Met Office
Proposed work for AR5 with JULES:improved attribution• Global-scale simulations of past biophysicalimpacts that are internally-consistent:• Runoff, river flows• Terrestrial ecosystems• Include more complete treatment of direct andindirect climate processes:• Local precipitation + evaporation• Remote influences via rivers• Indirect effects eg: vegetation impacts on hydrology• Other anthropogenic drivers eg: land use, irrigation© Crown copyright Met Office
- Page 1 and 2: Using JULES for impacts assessment
- Page 3 and 4: United Nations FrameworkConvention
- Page 5 and 6: AR5 WG2 structure© Crown copyright
- Page 7 and 8: Human settlements, industry andinfr
- Page 9 and 10: Regional aspects© Crown copyright
- Page 11 and 12: CCRA Sectors and themesSECTORS• A
- Page 13 and 14: © Crown copyright Met OfficeHow ca
- Page 15 and 16: © Crown copyright Met OfficeCO 2 r
- Page 17: Different predictionsusing hydrolog
- Page 21 and 22: Other priorities• Remember JULES
Proposed work for AR5 with <strong>JULES</strong>:improved <strong>at</strong>tribution• Global-scale simul<strong>at</strong>ions of past biophysicalimpacts th<strong>at</strong> are internally-consistent:• Runoff, river flows• Terrestrial ecosystems• Include more complete tre<strong>at</strong>ment of direct andindirect clim<strong>at</strong>e processes:• Local precipit<strong>at</strong>ion + evapor<strong>at</strong>ion• Remote influences via rivers• Indirect effects eg: veget<strong>at</strong>ion impacts on hydrology• O<strong>the</strong>r anthropogenic drivers eg: land use, irrig<strong>at</strong>ion© Crown copyright <strong>Met</strong> <strong>Office</strong>
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