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10Can an ambitious programto promote biofuelsand other substitutefuels, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g hydrogen,geared to 20% of total fuel consumptionby 2020, cont<strong>in</strong>ue to be implementedvia national <strong>in</strong>itiatives, orare coord<strong>in</strong>ated decisions required ontaxation, distribution and prospectsfor agricultural production?11Should energy sav<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>build<strong>in</strong>gs (40% of energyconsumption),whether public or private,new or under renovation, be promotedthrough <strong>in</strong>centives such as taxbreaks, or are regulatory measures requiredalong the l<strong>in</strong>es of those adoptedfor major <strong>in</strong>dustrial <strong>in</strong>stallations?12Energy sav<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> thetransport sector (32%of energy consumption)depends on redress<strong>in</strong>gthe grow<strong>in</strong>g imbalance between roadhaulage and rail, Is this imbalance <strong>in</strong>evitable,or could corrective action betaken, however unpopular, note ably toencourage lower use of cars <strong>in</strong> urbanareas? How can the aims of open<strong>in</strong>g upthe sector to competition, <strong>in</strong>vestment <strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>frastructure to remove bottlenecksand <strong>in</strong>termodality be reconciled?EU DEPENDENCE ACCORDING TO ENERGY PRODUCT100%90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%0%Solid fuels Oil Natural gas Total1990 2000 2010 2020 2030Adopt<strong>in</strong>g a policy of geopolitical diversification has not been ableto free the Union from effective dependence on the Middle East (for oil)and Russia (for natural gas). Indeed, a number of Member States,and <strong>in</strong> particular the applicant countries, are entirely dependenton a s<strong>in</strong>gle gas pipel<strong>in</strong>e that l<strong>in</strong>ks them to a s<strong>in</strong>gle supplier country.ENERGY PRODUCTION BY FUEL (<strong>in</strong> million toe)125013How can we developmore collaborative visionsand <strong>in</strong>tegrate thelong-term dimension<strong>in</strong>to deliberations and actions undertakenby public authorities and other<strong>in</strong>volved parties <strong>in</strong> order to evolve asusta<strong>in</strong>able system of energy supply?How are we to prepare the energy optionsfor the futures?1000750500250RenewablesNuclearNatural gasOilSolid fuels01990 2000 2010 2020 2030SPRING 2003 AEGEAN NEWS 27

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