INTERVIEWGreece’s Development M<strong>in</strong>isterForesees Oil SurplusThere will be a major decrease <strong>in</strong> oil prices <strong>in</strong> the second half of 2003, Akis Tsohatzopoulos,the Greek Development M<strong>in</strong>ister, tells Aegean News. "We are enter<strong>in</strong>g a phase dur<strong>in</strong>g whichoil will be abundantly available," he says, "and this will lead to a considerable decrease <strong>in</strong>prices, which will compensate for recent f<strong>in</strong>ancial losses."Before the war started, the price of crude oil rocketed to over$30 per barrel. Now, it is at a considerably lower level. In whatdirection do you see prices go<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> the com<strong>in</strong>g months?Experts estimate that Iraqi oil production will <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> afew months’ time, and will reach 2–2.5 million barrels perday. There will be a surplus of oil <strong>in</strong> the market and marketpressure will force prices down, thus compensat<strong>in</strong>g for thef<strong>in</strong>ancial losses of the previous months. At the same time,<strong>in</strong>ternational economists estimate that after foreign capitalstarts stream<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>to Iraq, production could reach 3.5 millionbarrels per day with<strong>in</strong> the next two years, and doublethat amount <strong>in</strong> a decade. So prices we’ve seen recently, like$30 dollars per barrel, are almost a th<strong>in</strong>g of the past."Iraq’s production will <strong>in</strong>crease<strong>in</strong> com<strong>in</strong>g months and oil prices willgradually decrease."At the beg<strong>in</strong>n<strong>in</strong>g of February, there was fear that with the outbreakof war there would be speculation <strong>in</strong> the domestic oilmarket. Now, two months later, how do you judge the marketreaction?The domestic market, made up of <strong>petroleum</strong> companies andpetrol stations, operated perfectly dur<strong>in</strong>g the crisis. Datashow that the price of unleaded petrol <strong>in</strong>creased at a considerablylower rate than that of crude oil. Two th<strong>in</strong>gs playedan important role <strong>in</strong> this: First, the smooth operation ofcompetition and regular publish<strong>in</strong>g of fuel prices by theM<strong>in</strong>istry. Second, the new <strong>in</strong>stitutional framework on thepurchase of <strong>petroleum</strong> products (Law 3054/2002), whichcontributed decisively to a smooth market operation. Thislaw was recently implemented and <strong>in</strong>cludes the operation ofa crisis management committee, <strong>petroleum</strong> market monitor<strong>in</strong>g,as well as Groups of Controll<strong>in</strong>g, Distribut<strong>in</strong>g andStor<strong>in</strong>g Fuel (KEDAK). In short, we managed to get out ofthe crisis with m<strong>in</strong>imal consumer impact and m<strong>in</strong>imumdamage to the economy.You’ve stated that Greece didn’t suffer any serious losses <strong>in</strong>this crisis. However, there is another challenge ahead: The upgrad<strong>in</strong>gof the Greek energy network by its connection to thetrans-European energy networks. And there are many delays <strong>in</strong>this area?First of all, I agree that the venture that will make Greecethe energy hub of the southeastern Mediterranean is a verytough wager, and one we have to w<strong>in</strong>. Many important stepshave already been taken. Take for example the <strong>petroleum</strong>field. The <strong>in</strong>tergovernmental agreement on the Burgas-Alexandroupolis oil pipel<strong>in</strong>e l<strong>in</strong>k<strong>in</strong>g Greece and Bulgaria isto be signed soon by Russia as well. Important steps havealso been taken <strong>in</strong> the area of natural gas networks. InThessaloniki we recently signed a cooperation agreementfor the construction of a natural gas pipel<strong>in</strong>e from Thessalonikito Austria via the Balkans (FYROM, Serbia-Montenegro,Bosnia-Herzegov<strong>in</strong>a, Croatia, and Slovenia). Thatand the proposed underwater Greece-Italy pipel<strong>in</strong>e, whichis currently be<strong>in</strong>g evaluated, concern the transfer of naturalgas from the Caspian Sea and Iran to Europe.Greece is push<strong>in</strong>g for a pipel<strong>in</strong>e l<strong>in</strong>k<strong>in</strong>g Greece to Turkey. Atwhat stage is the implementation of that project?DEPA (The Greek public natural gas corporation) isready to start construction of the pipel<strong>in</strong>e, which isplanned from Komot<strong>in</strong>i to the Greek-Turkish border <strong>in</strong>Evros. However, it must be made clear that the projects are8 AEGEAN NEWS SPRING 2003
Our EuropeShar<strong>in</strong>g the Future<strong>in</strong> a Community of ValuesThe Prioritiesof the GreekPresidency 2003∂nergyAkis Tsohatzopoulos | Development M<strong>in</strong>isternot go<strong>in</strong>g to start unless the Turkish side can secure f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>gfor its part of the project.As far as the major Greek privatizations are concerned, thegovernment is mak<strong>in</strong>g DEPA a priority. Recently, the Greek M<strong>in</strong>isterof F<strong>in</strong>ance, Mr. Christodoulakis, characterized the sell<strong>in</strong>goff of 35% of DEPA to a strategic partner as the most importantprivatization of 2003.As you know, DEPA has been recently presented to candidate<strong>in</strong>vestors. Representatives from selected companies <strong>in</strong> the tenderoffer were present, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g ELF (France), Gaz Naturale(Spa<strong>in</strong>), ENI-SNAM (Italy), Rurgaz-Prometheus (Germany/Greece-Russia),Gazprom (Russia), and Sonatrak(Algeria). The government hopes to secure ú300–350 millionfrom the sell-off, and, accord<strong>in</strong>g to the timetable, the tenderw<strong>in</strong>ner will be chosen by the end of June. I believe the selectedpartner will, as we all want, secure DEPA’s access to new,strong markets through its experience.Development of a strongand competitive energy sectorA steady and susta<strong>in</strong>able development of European economicsrequires easy access, free from any technical or economic impedimentsto available energy sources for the production ofgoods and services. This makes it imperative to secure adequatesupply of available energy sources and to carry through the liberalisationof the <strong>in</strong>ternal electricity and natural gas marketwhilst develop<strong>in</strong>g, at the same time, all essential energy connections,both with<strong>in</strong> Europe and with the new develop<strong>in</strong>g energyproduction centres <strong>in</strong> the European periphery. With a view toachiev<strong>in</strong>g a balanced development of the energy policy’s social,environmental and competitive component, we will aim at ensur<strong>in</strong>gwider <strong>in</strong>tegration of susta<strong>in</strong>able development <strong>in</strong> the Union’senergy policies. In the context of these objectives, the GreekPresidency will seek to secure oil and natural gas supplies, coupledwith the deregulation of the <strong>in</strong>ternal electricity and naturalgas market (by provid<strong>in</strong>g public service and consumer protection)and the development of trans-european networks.Susta<strong>in</strong>able development and energyIn the context of susta<strong>in</strong>able development, the Greek Presidencywill encourage the use of renewable energies, rational use andconservation of energy, the co-generation of heat and electricityand the establishment of common rules for the safety of nuclearplants and the handl<strong>in</strong>g of nuclear waste and fuel.The <strong>in</strong>ternational dimension of energyWith a view to ensur<strong>in</strong>g the economic viability of EU energy policies,<strong>in</strong>ternational cooperation <strong>in</strong> the energy sector should bepromoted, <strong>in</strong> particular with Mediterranean partners, Russia andthe countries of South-East Europe.SPRING 2003 AEGEAN NEWS 9