MAY 2008 SHAPING THE FUTURE OF THE NEWSPAPERAverage hours per week10080604020GamesWirelessOutdoorCinemaDigital RadioAnalogue RadioDigital TVAnalogue TVInternetPrintGlobal Media Consumption per Week• 2020: 80% <strong>of</strong> all media digital• 2010: 66% <strong>of</strong> all media digital• 2007: 50% <strong>of</strong> all media digital01900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020Source: Carat © <strong>World</strong> <strong>Association</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Newspapers</strong> 2007-2008%140120100806040200U.S. Digital Media P<strong>en</strong>etration, 2000 – 20112000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011U.S. digital cable, satelliteand Telco TV householdsU.S. DVR subscriptionsU.S. VOD householdsU.S. broadband householdsU.S. satellite radiosubscriptionsU.S. HD subscriptionsU.S. digital TV shipm<strong>en</strong>tsU.S. mobile phonesubscriptionsSource: MAGNA Global © <strong>World</strong> <strong>Association</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Newspapers</strong> 2007-2008In 2011, U.S. digital TV shipm<strong>en</strong>ts areexpected reach about 120 perc<strong>en</strong>t, whilemobile phone subscriptions will reach 110perc<strong>en</strong>t. Digital cable/satellite and TelcoTVhouseholds and broadband households willreach about 80 perc<strong>en</strong>t. Video-on-demand,digital video recorders, high-definition TV andsatellite radio are forecast to have a relativelylower reach by 2011, each at less than 40perc<strong>en</strong>t.Several studies outlined in Chapter 4 point outopportunities for newspapers moving forwardinto a more competitive and more digitalmedia landscape.According to Harris Interactive and InnovationMedia Consulting Group, the Internet willbecome the primary news and informationsource across sev<strong>en</strong> countries within fiveyears, while newspapers will lose thedominating position they have held for morethan a c<strong>en</strong>tury.A survey from Datran Media concludednewspapers should not stick to printadvertising as their sole rev<strong>en</strong>ue source, but toalso embrace new opportunities in digitalformats. According to the 2007 E-mailMarketing Survey, marketers would like to us<strong>en</strong>ew ad formats more than they would like touse print ads in their marketing plans for thefollowing year.More than 60 perc<strong>en</strong>t <strong>of</strong> responding marketersin the United States planned to use e-mail orsearch marketing tactics in 2007, while lessthan 20 perc<strong>en</strong>t planned to use printadvertising. Some other new formats, such asad networks and contextual targeting, were12
VOLUME 6 REPORT N° 2WORLD DIGITAL MEDIA TRENDSfavoured by about 30 perc<strong>en</strong>t. Online videoand mobile marketing are still in their infancy,with less than 15 perc<strong>en</strong>t <strong>of</strong> respond<strong>en</strong>tsplanning to use them.Studies from comScore and the NewspaperNational Network, on the other hand, point outthat newspapers migrating to online should notdrop everything on the print side, either.Keeping existing print customers happy, whileadding online customers, however, meansmore customers and a more positive rev<strong>en</strong>ueoutlook. According to the Newspaper NationalNetwork, the majority <strong>of</strong> online newspaperreaders consume printed versions regularly,and online news usage does not harm overallnewspaper consumption. Moreover, data fromcomScore pointed out that online news alsohas the opportunity to attract those who don’tread printed versions that much, or don’t readthem at all.In Chapter 5, case studies <strong>of</strong> savvy newspapercompanies that are achieving successes in thedigital ar<strong>en</strong>a are detailed, includingquadrantONE, NYTimes.com, Asahi Shimbun,Gannett Company, Inc., Agora and the E.W.Scripps Company.The <strong>World</strong> <strong>Association</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Newspapers</strong> wishes tothank a long list <strong>of</strong> esteemed global and countryspecificresearch organisations that have sharedtheir data for the purposes <strong>of</strong> this compilation.The <strong>World</strong> <strong>Association</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Newspapers</strong> hopesthis collection provides the reader with a clearerpicture <strong>of</strong> the digital landscape by analysing thecontext <strong>of</strong> the data, and the opportunities thetr<strong>en</strong>ds may repres<strong>en</strong>t. A list <strong>of</strong> contributingresearch houses and their corresponding Websites can be found in the app<strong>en</strong>dix at the <strong>en</strong>d <strong>of</strong>this book. Web addresses have be<strong>en</strong> provided soreaders can access a wealth <strong>of</strong> data that goeswell beyond the published charts in WDMT.(%)Future Sources <strong>of</strong> News and InformationWhat do you think your sources for news and information will be five years from now?%Online news and information sitesTV network newsCable network newsRadioMajor daily newspapersLocal community newspapersMagazinesNational daily newspapersSchool & work newslettersOther sourcesUSA262215111063314UK26334144321113France26241116524615Base: 8,749 adults in five EU countries, US and Australia © <strong>World</strong> <strong>Association</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Newspapers</strong> 2007-2008Source: Harris Interactive/Innovation Media Consulting Group, Newspaper Readership Survey 2007Italy392289444812Spain2817101510231212Germany23266171234513Australia30305131042412% <strong>of</strong> respond<strong>en</strong>ts908070605040302010083.2E-mailmarketingAdvertising Tactics U.S. Marketers Plan to Use Next Year,Dec. 200661.7Searchmarketing36.2Displayads31.9Adnetworks27.7 27.7ContextualtargetingTraditionaldirect19.1Printadvertising14.9Onlinevideo10.6MobilemarketingSource: Datran Media “The 2007 Email Marketing Survey: Looking Forward,” February 2007 © <strong>World</strong> <strong>Association</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Newspapers</strong> 2007-20084.3RSS13