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Tackling Obesity in England - National Audit Office

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TACKLING OBESITY IN ENGLANDAppendix 6 Estimat<strong>in</strong>gthe cost of obesity <strong>in</strong> <strong>England</strong>Introduction1 In sett<strong>in</strong>g out to exam<strong>in</strong>e the burden of obesity, wefound that there was no authoritative estimate of the costof obesity to the <strong>National</strong> Health Service or to the widerEnglish or United K<strong>in</strong>gdom economy. We thereforeworked with health economists to develop a suitablemethodology for evaluat<strong>in</strong>g the costs of obesity <strong>in</strong><strong>England</strong>.2 This appendix sets out the methodology, f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>gs andconclusions from our evaluation of the direct and<strong>in</strong>direct costs of obesity <strong>in</strong> <strong>England</strong> <strong>in</strong> 1998, the latestyear for which the necessary data were available. Wecommissioned this research from Professor AlistairMcGuire, Mr Stephen Morris and Ms Maria Raikou fromthe Department of Economics at City University,London.Methodology3 We describe below the methods used to calculate thecosts of treat<strong>in</strong>g obesity and its consequences. Togetherthese represent the direct costs of obesity. In addition,we describe the methods used to estimate the <strong>in</strong>directcosts aris<strong>in</strong>g from the effect of obesity on <strong>in</strong>dividuals'capacity to function <strong>in</strong> their usual role. For the purposesof this analysis, obesity was def<strong>in</strong>ed as a body mass<strong>in</strong>dex of 30 kg/m 2 or greater.Direct costs4 The direct costs of obesity were def<strong>in</strong>ed as the costs tothe <strong>National</strong> Health Service of treat<strong>in</strong>g obesity and theassociated disease that can be attributed to it. We soughtto estimate the direct costs of obesity <strong>in</strong> <strong>England</strong> <strong>in</strong> 1998by tak<strong>in</strong>g a prevalence-based, cost-of-illness approachbased on extensive literature review and rely<strong>in</strong>g onpublished primary data.Cost of treat<strong>in</strong>g obesity5 This covered the cost of consultations with generalpractitioners related to obesity, the cost of hospitaladmissions and outpatient attendances, and the cost ofdrugs prescribed to help obese patients lose weight. Wetook the most recent published data on the <strong>in</strong>cidence ofthese events <strong>in</strong> <strong>England</strong> 52,53,54 and multiplied them byunit cost data for 1998 55 . Prescription costs for obesitywere taken from Prescription Cost Analysis reports for<strong>England</strong> 56 .Cost of treat<strong>in</strong>g the consequences of obesity6 This covered the cost of treat<strong>in</strong>g cases of diseases suchas coronary heart disease which can be directlyattributed to obesity. The cost of treat<strong>in</strong>g these diseaseswas estimated by calculat<strong>in</strong>g the relevant populationattributable risk proportion. We undertook a systematicreview of the literature to establish for each disease thebest data available on the proportion of that disease <strong>in</strong>the population that was attributable to obesity, andwhich <strong>in</strong> theory would be elim<strong>in</strong>ated if obesity wereelim<strong>in</strong>ated. This proportion was def<strong>in</strong>ed by the relativerisk of develop<strong>in</strong>g associated diseases for <strong>in</strong>dividualswith obesity compared to the risk for non-obese<strong>in</strong>dividuals.7 A search of the MEDLINE database returned3,537 studies with key words for obesity and thepotentially relevant diseases. These were reviewed andreduced to 48 studies which presented data on therelative risk of disease associated with obesity, andwhich calculated this risk between discrete groups of"obese" and "non-obese" <strong>in</strong>dividuals def<strong>in</strong>ed by bodymass <strong>in</strong>dex (kg/m 2 ). From the 48 reta<strong>in</strong>ed studies,17 were selected to provide data for the basel<strong>in</strong>eanalysis accord<strong>in</strong>g to the follow<strong>in</strong>g pre-determ<strong>in</strong>edhierarchical criteria:nnnassociated diseases were considered only where an<strong>in</strong>creased relative risk for obese <strong>in</strong>dividuals wasunequivocal;cohort studies were selected <strong>in</strong> preference to casecontrolstudies, which were selected <strong>in</strong> preference tocross-sectional studies; andlarger study samples were selected <strong>in</strong> preference tosmaller samples.8 Limited data on relative risk were available from theUnited K<strong>in</strong>gdom, so most of the data used were takenfrom <strong>in</strong>ternational evidence, especially from the UnitedStates. The effect of this on our estimates is discussed atparagraph 24.9 To establish the cost of treat<strong>in</strong>g associated diseases <strong>in</strong>1998, we first obta<strong>in</strong>ed published data on generalpractitioner consultation rates 52 , hospital <strong>in</strong>patientadmissions 53 , and hospital outpatient attendances 54 <strong>in</strong><strong>England</strong>. These were then multiplied by published dataon unit costs 55 to derive an estimate of the NHStreatment costs for each disease. Prescription costs weretaken directly from Prescription Cost Analysis reports for<strong>England</strong> 56 . These cost estimates were then applied toappendix six57

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