TACKLING OBESITY IN ENGLANDPart 2The prevalence and costs of obesity<strong>in</strong> <strong>England</strong>A standard def<strong>in</strong>ition of obesity2.1 <strong>Obesity</strong> is most commonly def<strong>in</strong>ed by cl<strong>in</strong>icians <strong>in</strong>terms of the body mass <strong>in</strong>dex (BMI). The BMI iscalculated as follows:Weight <strong>in</strong> kilogrammes = BMI(Height <strong>in</strong> metres) 22.2 A desirable body mass <strong>in</strong>dex is considered to be <strong>in</strong> theregion 20 to 25. Anyth<strong>in</strong>g above this is def<strong>in</strong>ed as'overweight', and a BMI over 30 is def<strong>in</strong>ed as 'obese'.Figure 3 illustrates the range of BMI classifications andAppendix 2 provides further details.2.3 The health hazards of obesity are compounded by the<strong>in</strong>fluence of fat which is distributed around the waist,more typical of obese men than women. For this reason,the waist circumference and waist-hip ratio are alsoused to assess the risks associated with obesity. Thoughthere is no consensus about the cut off po<strong>in</strong>ts that def<strong>in</strong>eobesity us<strong>in</strong>g these <strong>in</strong>dicators, a report by the WorldHealth Organization 10 suggests that <strong>in</strong>creased risk ispresent when the waist circumference exceeds 94 cm(37 <strong>in</strong>ches) for men or 80 cm (32 <strong>in</strong>ches) for women.About a fifth of the population isobese and nearly two thirds of menand over half of women <strong>in</strong> <strong>England</strong>are either overweight or obese2.4 In 1998, the year for which most recent figures areavailable, 19 per cent of adults <strong>in</strong> <strong>England</strong> were obese,with a BMI over 30 1 . More women than men wereobese - 21 per cent of women compared to 17 per centof men. But more men than women were <strong>in</strong> theoverweight category (BMI between 25 and 30) -46 per cent compared to 32 per cent. Comb<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g theoverweight and obese groups, <strong>in</strong> 1998 nearly two thirdsof men and just over half of women were eitheroverweight or obese.3Different categories of weight def<strong>in</strong>ed by Body Mass Index (kg/m 2 )125115105Morbidly Obese95Weight (kg)8575ObeseOverweightHealthy65Underweight5545part twoHeight (metres)Source: <strong>National</strong> <strong>Audit</strong> <strong>Office</strong> based on classifications used <strong>in</strong> the Health Survey for <strong>England</strong> 111
TACKLING OBESITY IN ENGLANDThe prevalence of obesity <strong>in</strong> <strong>England</strong>has almost tripled s<strong>in</strong>ce 1980 and will<strong>in</strong>crease further on present trends2.5 In 1980, eight per cent of women and six per cent ofmen were classified as obese. By 1998, the prevalenceof obesity had nearly trebled to 21 per cent of womenand 17 per cent of men, and there is no sign that theupward trend is moderat<strong>in</strong>g. This reflects a world-widetrend which is most marked <strong>in</strong>, though not restricted to,developed countries (Appendix 3).2.6 Given that the current level of obesity <strong>in</strong> <strong>England</strong> isunprecedented, it cannot be extrapolated forward withany degree of certa<strong>in</strong>ty. But if the average rate of<strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> the prevalence of obesity between 1980 and1998 cont<strong>in</strong>ues, over one fifth of men and about aquarter of women <strong>in</strong> <strong>England</strong> will be obese by 2005,and over a quarter of all adults by 2010 (Figure 4). Thiswould br<strong>in</strong>g levels of obesity <strong>in</strong> <strong>England</strong> up to thoseexperienced now <strong>in</strong> the United States. Ourextrapolation is simple, but quite possibly realistic.Evidence suggests that obesity is<strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g more rapidly <strong>in</strong> <strong>England</strong>than <strong>in</strong> other parts of Europe2.7 In the majority of European countries, where lifestylesand cultures are essentially comparable, theInternational <strong>Obesity</strong> Task Force estimates that theprevalence of obesity <strong>in</strong>creased by between 10 to40 per cent from the late 1980s to the late 1990s 11 . In<strong>England</strong>, however, prevalence nearly doubled over thisperiod. This means that, whilst <strong>in</strong> the late 1980s the4 Trends <strong>in</strong> the prevalence of obesity amongst men andwomen <strong>in</strong> <strong>England</strong> extrapolated to 20103025prevalence of obesity <strong>in</strong> <strong>England</strong> was towards the lowerend of the range for European countries, by the late1990s it had moved to near the top of the range.(Although directly comparable figures for <strong>in</strong>dividualcountries are not available, the Task Force estimates thatprevalence varies between different countries <strong>in</strong> Europefrom 10 to 20 per cent for men, and from 10 to25 per cent for women).The distribution of obesity <strong>in</strong> thepopulation2.8 Some people are at a high risk of becom<strong>in</strong>g obese forvery specific reasons. For example, children who have atleast one obese parent are at higher risk of be<strong>in</strong>g obesethemselves, reflect<strong>in</strong>g general household patterns ofeat<strong>in</strong>g and physical activity 12 , as well as genetic factorsthat may expla<strong>in</strong> differences <strong>in</strong> the way <strong>in</strong>dividualsrespond to similar lifestyles. Other high risk groups<strong>in</strong>clude recent successful weight reducers, who areprone to rega<strong>in</strong> weight unless they susta<strong>in</strong> changes totheir lifestyle <strong>in</strong> the long term, and people who haverecently stopped smok<strong>in</strong>g who may experience aheightened appetite 13 . People with physical or learn<strong>in</strong>gdisabilities may also be at high risk of becom<strong>in</strong>g obese,<strong>in</strong> particular when opportunities for exercise arerestricted.2.9 A detailed analysis of the distribution of obesity <strong>in</strong><strong>England</strong> is given <strong>in</strong> Appendix 4. The ma<strong>in</strong> po<strong>in</strong>ts are:nnnnobesity <strong>in</strong> the population <strong>in</strong>creases with age;the prevalence of obesity amongst schoolchildrenappears to be <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g, which potentially bearsmajor risks for the health of the future adultpopulation;people <strong>in</strong> lower socio-economic groups, particularlywomen, have an <strong>in</strong>creased risk of obesity;there is a higher prevalence of obesity amongcerta<strong>in</strong> ethnic groups, <strong>in</strong> particular among BlackCaribbean and Pakistani women; and% obese (BMI >30)201510nobesity is a grow<strong>in</strong>g problem <strong>in</strong> all regions <strong>in</strong><strong>England</strong>. Prevalence <strong>in</strong> 1998 ranged from18 per cent of adults <strong>in</strong> the lowest regions to22 per cent <strong>in</strong> the highest, and <strong>in</strong> all regions hadrisen s<strong>in</strong>ce it was previously measured <strong>in</strong> 1996.50part two12Note:Source:1980Men19851990Women1995Year20002005Figures beyond 1998 were extrapolated on a straight l<strong>in</strong>e bythe least squares method on the basis of data from 1980<strong>National</strong> <strong>Audit</strong> <strong>Office</strong> analysis of data from the Health Survey for<strong>England</strong> 12010