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Bangladesh 1993-1994 Demographic and Health ... - Measure DHS

Bangladesh 1993-1994 Demographic and Health ... - Measure DHS

Bangladesh 1993-1994 Demographic and Health ... - Measure DHS

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Figure 3.5Trends in the Total Fertility Rate fromMatlab (Treatment <strong>and</strong> Comparison Areas)<strong>and</strong> the B<strong>DHS</strong>, 1982-<strong>1993</strong>Births per Woman7,d543282 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92Year93Note: B<strong>DHS</strong> rates are based on 3-year moving averages,except <strong>1993</strong> (2-year average)Source: ICDDR.B, <strong>1994</strong>:3Table 3.5 shows that all divisions in <strong>Bangladesh</strong>experienced recent declines in fertility of almost identicalmagnitude. Although Chittagong Division had the highestfertility in the mid-1980s <strong>and</strong> still does today, the rate of declinein fertility is almost identical with that of the other divisions.Table 3.6 shows the proportion of currently marriedwomen who reported that they were pregnant at the time ofsurvey, according to age group. These data are useful because,while fertility rates depend to some extent on accuratereporting of dates of events, the proportion pregnant is a"current status" indicator. Change over time in the percentpregnant is an independent indicator of fertility change. In<strong>Bangladesh</strong>, the proportion pregnant has generally declinedover time, although not in a steady fashion. In the 1975BFS, 13 percent of currently married women were reportedto be pregnant at the time of the survey. By 1989, this proportionhad declined to 9 percent; it then increased to 11 percentin 1991, <strong>and</strong> again declined to 9 percent in the <strong>1993</strong>-94B<strong>DHS</strong>. Although it is entirely possible that such fluctuationsare real, misreporting may also be a factor.Table 3.5 Trends in fertility by divisionTotal fertility rates by dwision <strong>and</strong> percent ofchange from the period 1984-88 to 1991-93,<strong>Bangladesh</strong>, 1989 BFS <strong>and</strong> <strong>1993</strong>-94 B<strong>DHS</strong>1989 <strong>1993</strong>-94BFS B<strong>DHS</strong>PercentDivision 1984-88 1991-93 changeChittagong 5.94 3.95 -34Dhaka 5.18 3.45 -33Khulna I 4.71 3.20 -32Rajshahi 4.60 3.03 -34Note: Rates for the 1989 BFS refer to the 5-yearperiod preceding the survey, while those for the<strong>1993</strong>-94 B<strong>DHS</strong> refer to the 3-year periodpreceding the survey. Rates are calculated forwomen age 15-49.IRefers to the former boundaries prior to thecreation of Barisal Division.Source: Huq <strong>and</strong> Clel<strong>and</strong>, 1990:10630

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