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Conflict in Sri Lanka: Ground Realities - Tamil Nation & Beyond

Conflict in Sri Lanka: Ground Realities - Tamil Nation & Beyond

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the LTTE-led <strong>Tamil</strong> <strong>Nation</strong>al Movement to exercise its right ofnational self-determ<strong>in</strong>ation with<strong>in</strong> the context of the ethnoreligiousunitary State.Can the President then avoid war?A military solution?President Rajapakse has been <strong>in</strong> his <strong>Sri</strong> <strong>Lanka</strong> Freedom Party(SLFP) government or sat <strong>in</strong> the Opposition for more than threedecades when successive governments waged disastrous militarycampaigns. He must surely know that the morale of large sectionswith<strong>in</strong> the S<strong>in</strong>hala armed forces is low. The extremely highlevels of desertion clearly demonstrate this. Dur<strong>in</strong>g “OperationJayasikuru” <strong>in</strong> the late 1990s, for example, about 45 thousandS<strong>in</strong>hala soldiers – about 30% of the army – deserted carry<strong>in</strong>gwith them arms and ammunition.While try<strong>in</strong>g to mollify recalcitrant S<strong>in</strong>hala soldiers, a formerUnited <strong>Nation</strong>al Party (UNP) Deputy M<strong>in</strong>ister <strong>in</strong> effect confirmedtheir poor morale. At an election campaign meet<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> support ofthe UNP presidential candidate held <strong>in</strong> Hatton on 3 rd of November,he expla<strong>in</strong>ed that S<strong>in</strong>hala soldiers need not fear. “Americanand Indian forces will fight the LTTE if Liberation Tigers’ leaderPirapakaran opts to wage a war,” he expla<strong>in</strong>ed with a flourish;and added reassur<strong>in</strong>gly, “there will be no need for <strong>Sri</strong> <strong>Lanka</strong>nforces to do the fight<strong>in</strong>g.”But President Rajapakse has <strong>in</strong>formed his coalition partnersthat it would take him about three months to modernise andstrengthen his armed forces. Is the President prepar<strong>in</strong>g for warwhile talk<strong>in</strong>g peace?25

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