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Divergent Trajectories: Healthcare Insurance Reforms in East Asia ...

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Illan Nam, Colgate University, Feb 2011Draft <strong>in</strong> progress, please do not quote or citega<strong>in</strong>s by champion<strong>in</strong>g universal versus targeted social policy. In poorly <strong>in</strong>stitutionalizedand regionalized party systems, where partisan attachments were fluid or regionallyrooted, parties, <strong>in</strong> order to attract new voters or consolidate a more stable coreconstituency, had <strong>in</strong>centives to cultivate new cleavages that would either attach morefirmly float<strong>in</strong>g voters or cross-cut or complement exist<strong>in</strong>g regional attachments.Extend<strong>in</strong>g universal social policy benefits was an efficacious strategy for achiev<strong>in</strong>g this.To the extent that l<strong>in</strong>kages with voters were based on non-programmatic or clientelisticnetworks, universal social benefits could woo away or attract voters whose loyaltiesderived from patronage goods. Second, for parties look<strong>in</strong>g to expand beyond a regionalbase, social policy represented a potential wedge that could cross-cut regional (or ethnic,as <strong>in</strong> the case of Taiwan) cleavages and potentially attract voters who might previouslyhave voted based on these bases of identification. Here, universal social policy could beused as an electoral strategy to <strong>in</strong>troduce a programmatic cleavage that could becultivated to override regional or patronage-based partisanship. In party systems whereparties’ vote shares were hampered by fragmentation, unstable because of the presence oflarge numbers of float<strong>in</strong>g voters or limited by regional loyalties, universal social policy,<strong>in</strong> its sweep of breadth, could reach more potential adherents than targeted policy.In contrast, <strong>in</strong> party systems where parties had already achieved greaternationalization, <strong>in</strong>stitutionalization, and partisan attachments, universaliz<strong>in</strong>g social policywas not an efficient electoral gambit. Because voter attachments to their parties isalready firmer, there is less scope for social policy to serve as an issue that could detachvoters from compet<strong>in</strong>g bases of party identification. In more <strong>in</strong>stitutionalized systems,where the “territory” of new potential voters is less open, universal policy has a lower32

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