Ano<strong>the</strong>r negative factor that is more aggressive in Russia than in Ukraine (in Ukraine itis stronger than in Moldova), is <strong>the</strong> lobbying <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> large businesses <strong>and</strong> corporations <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>irinterests on a governmental level.Political stability/instability is considered to be a positively affecting <strong>the</strong> development <strong>of</strong><strong>SME</strong> businesses in Russia (with some problems in <strong>the</strong> neighbouring with Chechnya regions),less but still positive in Moldova (some problems still occur between <strong>the</strong> political power <strong>and</strong>Transdnistria), <strong>and</strong> negatively affecting <strong>the</strong> <strong>SME</strong> sector in Ukraine, exactly <strong>the</strong> Ukrainianportion <strong>of</strong> a Black Sea Region. The Crimean people, especially minorities like Crimean Tatars,live under <strong>the</strong> unresting conditions <strong>of</strong> confrontation <strong>of</strong> political parties, ethnic conflicts, pressurefrom <strong>the</strong> large businesses. The situation is still vulnerable, <strong>and</strong> continues political crises on acountry level do not help <strong>the</strong> <strong>SME</strong> sector improvements in Ukraine.As far as <strong>the</strong> group <strong>of</strong> technological factors is involved, <strong>the</strong> Internet accessibility, hightechdevelopments, knowledge <strong>and</strong> information transfer infrastructure, time <strong>of</strong> technologyinnovation implementations, <strong>the</strong> state support <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> idea <strong>of</strong> business incubators, willingness <strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong> banking <strong>and</strong> insurance industries to coop with <strong>SME</strong> sector on high-tech ideas have to beanalyzed. There is some insignificant variation in <strong>the</strong> status <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se factors in Russia, Moldova,<strong>and</strong> Ukraine. For example, because <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> concentration <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> high-tech industries primarily on<strong>the</strong> territory <strong>of</strong> Russian Federation <strong>and</strong> Republic <strong>of</strong> Ukraine in <strong>the</strong> socialist times, Moldova doesnot achieve yet <strong>the</strong> same level <strong>of</strong> technological developments. The Transparency InternationalWorld Year Book, 2006 proves <strong>the</strong> still a lower level <strong>of</strong> use <strong>of</strong> Internet in all <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se countriesin comparison with well developed economies. But <strong>the</strong>re is a difference in <strong>the</strong> situation, <strong>and</strong>Russia is leading <strong>the</strong> group. Needs to emphasize that <strong>the</strong> demographic trend <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> increase <strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong> urban population would positively affect high-tech <strong>and</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r industries, but negativelyinfluence <strong>SME</strong> development in <strong>the</strong> agricultural sector. In <strong>the</strong> urban areas <strong>the</strong> use <strong>of</strong> Internet ishigher in times than <strong>the</strong> average for <strong>the</strong> country.Macroeconomic characteristics combining budget deficit or surplus, investment flow, <strong>the</strong>stability <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> currency, trade deficit/surplus, inflation <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> saving rates are ra<strong>the</strong>r differentin Russia, Ukraine <strong>and</strong> Moldova. By <strong>the</strong> World Bank st<strong>and</strong>ards Russia is considered to be amiddle-income country with a large <strong>and</strong> extremely well educated population (143 millionpeople, <strong>and</strong> a gross national income per capita <strong>of</strong> USD 4,460 in 2005. GNI, Atlas method, WDI-2006). The growth <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> income is considered to be a strong positive factor for <strong>the</strong> <strong>SME</strong>development in Russia. Ukrainian <strong>and</strong> Moldova’s data show significantly lower characteristicsresulting in <strong>the</strong> lower consumer activity, <strong>and</strong> lower dem<strong>and</strong> for <strong>the</strong> <strong>SME</strong> products.Extremely fast growth <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> oil prices resulted in <strong>the</strong> significant export revenueincrease in <strong>the</strong> last 5-6 years. The primary flow <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> export revenues comes from naturalresources <strong>and</strong> large corporations, which are lobbing <strong>the</strong>ir interests effectively trying to block<strong>the</strong> raising competition from <strong>the</strong> <strong>SME</strong> sector. While this type <strong>of</strong> lobbying is present in <strong>the</strong> each<strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> researched countries, Russia is an example <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> strongest positions <strong>of</strong> large business in<strong>the</strong> country’s economic hierarchy. Ano<strong>the</strong>r negative factor grows up from <strong>the</strong> formerlyinefficient structure <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Soviet Union economy, <strong>the</strong> central planning traditions, overconcentrationin <strong>the</strong> oil, gas <strong>and</strong> many o<strong>the</strong>r industries, which resulted in <strong>the</strong> lack <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>attention to <strong>the</strong> <strong>SME</strong> problems, <strong>and</strong> underestimation <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>SME</strong> sector potential. These couldbe considered as a strong negative factor for <strong>the</strong> <strong>SME</strong> development for every country in <strong>the</strong>trio. Ano<strong>the</strong>r stress for <strong>the</strong> <strong>SME</strong> sector is a NOT supportive taxation system (even <strong>the</strong>governmental <strong>of</strong>ficials are stressing it out that it is very light for <strong>the</strong> small companies) <strong>and</strong>incredible scale <strong>of</strong> corruption that pushes <strong>the</strong> <strong>SME</strong> sector down to hide <strong>the</strong> pr<strong>of</strong>it <strong>and</strong> join <strong>the</strong> socalled “gray” or “shadow” economy.The investment climate is improving slightly better in Russia ra<strong>the</strong>r than in Ukraine, <strong>and</strong><strong>the</strong>n Moldova. Interestingly, <strong>the</strong> international foundations <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> EU commissions pay moreattention to <strong>the</strong> <strong>SME</strong> developments in <strong>the</strong> region than international corporations investing68
primarily in large companies in gas <strong>and</strong> oil industry, <strong>and</strong> again large machine-building, <strong>and</strong>chemical corporations. The upper scale interest <strong>of</strong> international investors is seen to <strong>the</strong> largefood companies <strong>of</strong> all <strong>the</strong> trio countries. Not only economic situation <strong>and</strong> political stability butcountry’s capacity for cooperation with <strong>the</strong> neighbors, <strong>and</strong> fundraising on international marketwould contribute to <strong>the</strong> growth <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> investment opportunities for <strong>the</strong> <strong>SME</strong> sector. The firsttwo factors are <strong>the</strong> most favorable for Russia, but Ukraine, <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong>n Moldova are leading inregard to <strong>the</strong> third one. In <strong>the</strong> framework <strong>of</strong> our research we would consider <strong>the</strong> growinginternational investment opportunities to be more valuable in future but at <strong>the</strong> current stage <strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong>se transition economies’ development not significantly affecting <strong>the</strong> countries’ situation in<strong>SME</strong> sector. The domestic financing opportunities for <strong>SME</strong> businesses are seen as more critical.The interviews with <strong>the</strong> leading countries’ authorities prove <strong>the</strong> underst<strong>and</strong>ing <strong>of</strong> a need forincreasing <strong>the</strong> <strong>SME</strong> sector financing opportunities trough <strong>the</strong> private banks, variousfoundations, corporations, <strong>and</strong> even budget funds. But <strong>the</strong> sources used vary a lot. Analyzingcurrent situation we would state that <strong>the</strong>re some very light signals <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> change <strong>of</strong> economicpolicy in Russia towards <strong>the</strong> increasing independence <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> economy from <strong>the</strong> oil <strong>and</strong> gasprices on international market, <strong>and</strong> more attention <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> state to <strong>the</strong> <strong>SME</strong> sectordevelopments. On 24 October 2007, <strong>the</strong> new Chief <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Russian Federal Ministry <strong>of</strong> Economic<strong>Development</strong> <strong>and</strong> Trade, Elvira Nabiullina, has stressed out that <strong>the</strong> goal is to increase <strong>the</strong>number <strong>of</strong> <strong>SME</strong> start ups from around 50,000 per year to 100,000 in 3 years. This ambiguousgoal could be achieved by <strong>the</strong> combined efforts on local, municipal, <strong>and</strong> state levels byneutralizing <strong>the</strong> negative factors, building on positively affecting <strong>the</strong> small businesses, <strong>and</strong>preparing <strong>the</strong> basis for <strong>the</strong> fur<strong>the</strong>r involvement <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> currently neutral factors. There is a hopebased on this data that at least Russia is entering <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r stage <strong>of</strong> its economic developmentby gradual switching from “large corporations” economy to <strong>the</strong> growth through <strong>SME</strong> sector. Thenumber <strong>of</strong> researchers, criticizing Moldova, Ukraine, <strong>and</strong> primarily Russia for <strong>the</strong> lack <strong>of</strong>support for <strong>the</strong> so called “balanced” model <strong>of</strong> economic growth, probably do not take in <strong>the</strong>account <strong>the</strong> enormous problems raised in <strong>the</strong>se countries after <strong>the</strong> crash <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> integratedSoviet Economy. The economic crises put <strong>the</strong> countries’ abilities to experiment on growthmodels down, <strong>and</strong> focused all <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>m on <strong>the</strong> largest possible revenues in a short term. Themanagement in a severe crisis does not support <strong>the</strong> long term oriented activities before <strong>the</strong>survival is not questionable. The image <strong>of</strong> reorientation towards <strong>the</strong> “balanced” economy wouldbring Russia incredible benefits (if it would be consistent enough in building this imageinternationally <strong>and</strong> domestically). In comparison with <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r 2 countries <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> trio, Russiahas an extraordinary favorable potential factor which would positively affect <strong>the</strong> investing <strong>of</strong><strong>SME</strong> businesses.The last group <strong>of</strong> factors presents an international <strong>and</strong> global trends <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir influenceover <strong>the</strong> country’s developments in <strong>SME</strong> sector. The major one is an international competitionin <strong>the</strong> area <strong>of</strong> <strong>SME</strong> products, where China is suppressing <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r emerging <strong>and</strong> transitioningeconomies. International integration, especially in <strong>the</strong> European region, facilitates <strong>the</strong> positivetrends for each group <strong>of</strong> factors but increases <strong>the</strong> competition as well. All <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se 3 countriesat <strong>the</strong> very first stages <strong>of</strong> transition to <strong>the</strong> market economies were pursuing <strong>the</strong> strictprotectionist policy changing with <strong>the</strong>ir more extensive cooperation through <strong>the</strong> WTO.Interestingly, protectionist position <strong>of</strong> all <strong>the</strong> three countries was not so strong in relation to <strong>the</strong>products/services <strong>of</strong> <strong>SME</strong> sector (excluding agriculture) as in <strong>the</strong> in <strong>the</strong> industries traditionallyrepresented by large businesses. The global competition is a significant pushy factor from oneh<strong>and</strong>, <strong>and</strong> a strong down holding factor for <strong>the</strong> underdeveloped <strong>SME</strong> sectors from ano<strong>the</strong>r one.International business <strong>the</strong>ory states that <strong>the</strong> negative effect <strong>of</strong> global competition at <strong>the</strong> veryfirst stages <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> lifecycle <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> organization/industry/sector <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> economy development ismuch stronger, while it turns into a positive side later.With <strong>the</strong> growing opportunities <strong>of</strong> <strong>of</strong>fshoring <strong>and</strong> outsourcing <strong>the</strong> <strong>SME</strong> sector could boost <strong>the</strong>countries’ economy in several years. The key for success is <strong>the</strong> country’s legislative <strong>and</strong>political openness, educational <strong>and</strong> technology development level, liberalization <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>69
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1. SME DECLARATION AND WORKING GROU
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While comparing the BSEC and EU doc
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cooperation with the United Nations
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GENERAL ASSESSMENT OF THE BSEC WG O
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“Armenia's new law introduces a n
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(iii)Share of the labor force of SM
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The following data represents some
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people who start small businesses t
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are salaried and the medium - sized
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Technology Foresight in Greece 2001
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Greek VC market started to develop
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In the area of bankruptcy and restr
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enterprises. According to TURKSTAT,
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small size enterprise or micro ente
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industrial enterprises. Undersecret
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individuals, rather than well struc
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7. SUGGESTIONS FOR THE SME DEVELOPM
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Annex 1.MAP OF THE BLACK SEA COUNTR
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17-18 June 2005 1 st Moscow Interna
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ARMENIASTRENGTHS• Application of
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BULGARIASTRENGHT• Flexibility and
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GREECESTRENGHT• They have a vital
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ROMANIASTRENGHTWEAKNESS• Stabilis
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REPUBLIC OF SERBIASTRENGHT• Longe
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UKRAINESTRENGTHS• Well educated l
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In compliance with the Resolution m
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1. Please provide definition of SME
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7. Did you establish a dedicated bo
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11. Do you have any suggestions for