Annual Report 2009-10 - Sustainable Development Policy Institute

Annual Report2009 - 2010National Economic, Environmental Development Study (NEEDS):Mitigation PolicyThe Sustainable Development Policy Institute was retained by the Ministry for the Environmentto assist with the development and provision of a report on the mitigation proposals across allsectors for the future development and prosperity of Pakistan. The chapter so prepared was onthe basis of business as usual and within the climate change framework as it affects the country'sfuture.The report will form part of a wider publicationby the Ministry and includes sections on Adaptationto climate change institutional mattersand access to assistance for the world community.The report (chapter on Mitigation) focuses onPakistan's potential for mitigating GreenhouseGases (GHG). The study was been di vi dedinto three sections:1. Background of various sectors in Pakistanwhich will be directly or indirectly influencedby climate change2. Green House Gases outlook for Pakistan2011-20503. Potential of mitigation financing options for PakistanProcess, potential and working of sectors of Energy, Agriculture and Livestock, LULUCF, Transport,Industrial Processes, and Waste have been examined and summarised to gain insight intoa better understanding of the mitigation prospects of mechanism shift of the same. The currentstate of these sectors projected the future and the potential for mitigation of GHG. The reportlooks into Pakistan's future GHG emissions under the Business as Usual (BAU) case. Howeverit was concluded that for Pakistan to achieve its intended growth as expressed as GDP, Pakistanwill need to develop its current and abundantenergy reserves in the form of Thar coaland similar extensive deposits which areamong some of the largest in the world. Useof such resources will increase Pakistan'sGHG emissions. At this juncture it can be emphasisedthat, Pakistan is not a major emitterof GHG on the world stage and needs to developi ts industri al base. As Paki stan's GDPimproves it will be in a better position to developrenewable energy projects to mitigate itsemissions.The upcoming report projects Pakistan's futureGHG emissions under these alternatescenarios, if certain Mitigation policies are followed. Financial options and potential have beendescribed and the implications discussed. Developing various financial instruments are reviewed,including the development of “Climate Investment Funds” (CIF) and outlines Pakistan'sstrategy for availing funding.The upcoming report recommends the establishment a National Climate Change Fund in Pakistan.SDPI is grateful for the assi stance and support of an economist for the Ministry whose assistancewas invaluable in the development of the document.For further information contact Mr. Shakeel Ahmed Ramay. shakeel@sdpi.org18S u s t a I n a b l e D e v e l o p m e n t P o l I c y I n s t I t u t e