Padma Multipurpose Bridge Project

program ending at Chandpur) can be undertaken by BBA/BWDB under the Charland Managementand Monitoring Program and accordingly prepare mitigation plan. Therefore, the EIA boundary alongthe river (east-west) will be unchanged and is 15km by 7km.4. In addition, the project’s induced area will cover the network for utility crossings, that are - (a)high pressure gasmain: This gasmain will link the Bakhrabad Gas Field to Siddirganj to augment gassupply. The gasmain will be drawn through an off-take valve at Langalbandh of Sonargaon upazilaunder Narayanganj district. This gasmain will be the source point for gas supply to Mawa. Thegasmain after Mawa will cross the Bridge and will follow upto Khulna for completing the proposedNational Gas Grid, (b) high voltage power transmission line that will serve as the source of electricpower. This transmission line will come from Siddirganj in Narayanganj district, then to Mawa and latercross the River (either on the bridge or running parallel and away from the bridge) then reach toKhulna, and (c) optical fiber telecommunication cable. Overall picture of the project including theassociated and induced components are provided in Figure 2.1 and a cross-section of the bridge isprovided in Figure 1-3.2.2 Existing Traffic and Forecasts5. Bangladesh currently has one of the lowest vehicle ownership levels (0.64 cars per 1,000people) in the world. With the improvement in employment conditions and economic growth, vehicleownership is expected to increase significantly. Vehicle ownership, including cars and motorcycles, isforecast to grow by 10% annually. This is reflected in historically observed traffic volumes at JamunaBridge and the Mawa and Paturia ferry crossings that have been growing at 11% annually over thelast five years, while trucks and buses have been growing at 13% and 15%, respectively.6. At the ferry crossings, approximately 50% of vehicle trips are between Dhaka and Khulna and20% are within Dhaka Division. In terms of passengers, 33% of trips are between Dhaka and Khulnaand 31% are within Dhaka Division. Using detailed information on socio-economic and travel patterns,a transport model was developed to forecast traffic volumes and revenues on the Padma Bridge.Traffic volumes were forecasted for 2014 to 2036. Years 2014, 2020, 2025 and 2030 are modeledyear forecasts.7. The current and forecasted annual average daily traffic upto 2036 is summarized in Table 2-1.Table 2-1: Current and Forecasted AADT.Year Annual Average Daily Traffic Flow Year Annual Average Daily Traffic FlowTruck Bus Car Motor TotalTruck Bus Car Motor TotalCycleCycle2009 493 566 608 55 1,721 2025 15,265 9,707 12,559 1,116 38,6472014 3,477 5,693 2,658 228 12,056 2026 16,179 9,921 14,288 1,284 41,6722015 4,233 6,091 3,097 265 13,686 2027 17,147 10,140 16,254 1,478 45,0192016 5,154 6,518 3,607 308 15,587 2028 18,174 10,363 18,490 1,702 48,7282017 6,274 6,974 4,203 357 17,808 2029 19,261 10,591 21,034 1,959 52,8462018 7,638 7,463 4,896 415 20,411 2030 20,414 10,825 23,929 2,255 57,4232019 9,299 7,985 5,703 482 23,469 2031 21,324 11,053 25,657 2,425 60,4582020 11,321 8,544 6,644 559 27,068 2032 22,233 11,281 27,386 2,594 63,4942021 12,018 8,765 7,547 642 28,972 2033 23,143 11,509 29,114 2,764 66,5292022 12,759 8,992 8,571 737 31,059 2034 24,052 11,737 30,843 2,933 69,5652023 13,545 9,224 9,736 846 33,350 2035 24,961 11,965 32,571 3,103 72,6002024 14,379 9,462 11,058 972 35,871 2036 25,871 12,193 34,299 3,272 75,636Source: The Consultant Estimate, 2009-2010.8. The existing ferry services have already been exceeded the capacity and there are long waitingtime for the vehicles in all River and land crossings. The average waiting time and crossing time byvarious traffic modes are provided in Table 2-2.2-4