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Money, Bank Credit, and Economic Cycles - The Ludwig von Mises ...

Money, Bank Credit, and Economic Cycles - The Ludwig von Mises ...

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662 <strong>Money</strong>, <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Credit</strong>, <strong>and</strong> <strong>Economic</strong> <strong>Cycles</strong><strong>and</strong> the distortion caused by credit expansion (i.e., unbackedby a prior increase in real, voluntary saving) would bechecked. Nevertheless we cannot conclude that all discoordinationgenerated by the central bank would disappear, sincethe mere existence of the central bank <strong>and</strong> its reliance on systematiccoercion (the imposition of legal-tender regulations<strong>and</strong> a set monetary policy) would still have a damaging effecton the processes of social coordination.In this example the most critical discoordination would beintratemporal, rather than intertemporal, 89 because new moneycreated by the central bank <strong>and</strong> placed in the economic systemwould tend to affect the relative-price structure “horizontally.”In other words it would tend to engender a productive structurewhich, horizontally speaking, would not necessarily coincidewith the one consumers wish to sustain. A poor allocation ofresources would ensue, along with a need to reverse the effectsnew injections of money would exert on the economic system. 9089 Nonetheless we cannot completely rule out the possibility of intertemporaldistortions in this case. Even if banks are required to maintain a100 percent reserve, intertemporal distortions will inevitably occur if thecentral bank injects new money into the economic system via massiveopen-market purchases which directly affect securities markets, rates ofreturn, <strong>and</strong> hence, indirectly, the interest rate in the credit market.90 F.A. Hayek has explained that unemployment often stems from theexistence of intratemporal discrepancies between the distribution of thedem<strong>and</strong> for different consumer goods <strong>and</strong> services <strong>and</strong> the allocation oflabor <strong>and</strong> the other productive resources necessary to produce thesegoods. <strong>The</strong> creation <strong>and</strong> injection of new money by the central bank atdifferent points in the economic system tends to produce <strong>and</strong> aggravatesuch qualitative discoordination. This argument, which is illustrated<strong>and</strong> reinforced by fractional-reserve banking to the extent that it combinesintratemporal distortion with far more acute intertemporal discoordination,would still carry weight even if the central bank were todirect a banking system which operated with a 100-percent reserveratio. In this case any increase in the money supply brought about by thecentral bank to achieve its monetary-policy goals would always horizontallyor intratemporally distort the productive structure, unless (<strong>and</strong>this is inconceivable in real life) the new money were equally distributedamong all economic agents. In this case the rise in the quantity of

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