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Money, Bank Credit, and Economic Cycles - The Ludwig von Mises ...

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498 <strong>Money</strong>, <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Credit</strong>, <strong>and</strong> <strong>Economic</strong> <strong>Cycles</strong>economy has played in it. Particularly in the four-year periodbetween 1987 <strong>and</strong> 1991, the Japanese economy underwentenormous monetary <strong>and</strong> credit expansion which, as theory suggests,affected mainly the industries furthest from consumption.In fact although the prices of consumer goods rose only byaround 0 to 3 percent each year during this period, the priceof fixed assets, especially l<strong>and</strong>, real estate, stocks, works of art<strong>and</strong> jewelry, escalated dramatically. <strong>The</strong>ir value increased tomany times its original amount <strong>and</strong> the respective marketsentered a speculative boom. <strong>The</strong> crisis hit during the secondquarter of 1991, <strong>and</strong> the subsequent recession has lasted morethan ten years. A widespread malinvestment of productiveresources has become evident, a problem unknown in Japan inthe past, <strong>and</strong> has made it necessary for the Japanese economyto initiate a painful, comprehensive realignment process inwhich it continues to be involved at the time of this writing(2001). 109Regarding the effect this worldwide economic crisis hasexerted in Spain, it is necessary to note that it violentlygripped the country in 1992 <strong>and</strong> the recession lasted almostfive years. All of the typical characteristics of expansion, crisis<strong>and</strong> recession have again been present in Spain’s immediateeconomic environment, with the possible exceptionthat the artificial expansion was even more exaggerated as a109 <strong>The</strong> Nikkei 225 index of the Tokyo Stock Exchange dropped fromover 30,000 yen at the beginning of 1990 to less than 12,000 yen in 2001,following the failure of a number of banks <strong>and</strong> stock market firms (suchas Hokkaido Takushoku, Sanyo <strong>and</strong> Yamaichi Securities <strong>and</strong> others).<strong>The</strong>se bankruptcies have seriously harmed the credibility of the country’sfinancial system, which will take a long time to recover. Furthermorethe Japanese bank <strong>and</strong> stock market crises have fully spread to therest of the Asian markets (the failure of the Peregrine <strong>Bank</strong> of HongKong, of the Bangkok <strong>Bank</strong> of Commerce, <strong>and</strong> of the <strong>Bank</strong> Korea Firstcome to mind, among others), <strong>and</strong> in 1997 they even threatened tospread to the rest of the world. On the application of the Austrian theoryto the Japanese recession see the interesting article Yoshio Suzukipresented at the regional meeting of the Mont Pèlerin Society, September25–30, 1994 in Cannes, France. See also the pertinent comments ofHiroyuki Okon in Austrian <strong>Economic</strong>s Newsletter (Winter, 1997): 6–7.

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