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Money, Bank Credit, and Economic Cycles - The Ludwig von Mises ...

Money, Bank Credit, and Economic Cycles - The Ludwig von Mises ...

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416 <strong>Money</strong>, <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Credit</strong>, <strong>and</strong> <strong>Economic</strong> <strong>Cycles</strong>existence of “idle capacity” in many production processes(but especially in those furthest from consumption, such ashigh technology, construction, <strong>and</strong> capital goods industries ingeneral) in no way constitutes proof of oversaving <strong>and</strong> insufficientconsumption. Quite the opposite is true: it is a symptomof the fact that we cannot completely use fixed capital producedin error, because the immediate dem<strong>and</strong> for consumergoods <strong>and</strong> services is so urgent that we cannot allow ourselvesthe luxury of producing the complementary capital goods northe working capital necessary to take advantage of such idlecapacity. In short the crisis is provoked by a relative excess ofconsumption, i.e., a relative shortage of saving, which doesnot permit the completion of the processes initiated, nor theproduction of the complementary capital goods or workingcapital necessary to maintain the ongoing investmentprocesses <strong>and</strong> to employ the capital goods which, for whateverreason, entrepreneurs were able to finish during theexpansion process. 17excess of capital <strong>and</strong> that consumption is insufficient: on thecontrary, it is a symptom that we are unable to use the fixedplant to the full extent because the current dem<strong>and</strong> for consumers’goods is too urgent to permit us to invest current productiveservices in the long processes for which (in consequenceof “misdirections of capital”) the necessary durableequipment is available. (Hayek, Prices <strong>and</strong> Production, pp.95–96)17 After the boom period is over, what is to be done with themalinvestments? <strong>The</strong> answer depends on their profitabilityfor further use, i.e., on the degree of error that was committed.Some malinvestments will have to be ab<strong>and</strong>oned, sincetheir earnings from consumer dem<strong>and</strong> will not even cover thecurrent costs of their operation. Others, though monumentsof failure, will be able to yield a profit over current costs,although it will not pay to replace them as they wear out.Temporarily working them fulfills the economic principle ofalways making the best of even a bad bargain. Because of themalinvestments, however, the boom always leads to generalimpoverishment, i.e., reduces the st<strong>and</strong>ard of living belowwhat it would have been in the absence of the boom. For thecredit expansion has caused the squ<strong>and</strong>ering of scarce

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