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Money, Bank Credit, and Economic Cycles - The Ludwig von Mises ...

Money, Bank Credit, and Economic Cycles - The Ludwig von Mises ...

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336 <strong>Money</strong>, <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Credit</strong>, <strong>and</strong> <strong>Economic</strong> <strong>Cycles</strong>Chart V-4 is simply the result of superimposing Chart V-1(line) on Chart V-3 (bar), <strong>and</strong> it shows the impact on the productivestructure of the 25 m.u. growth in voluntary net saving.Hence we see that the voluntary increase in saving provokesthe following effects:• First: a deepening of the capital goods structure. This outcomemanifests itself as a vertical “lengthening” of theproductive structure via the addition of new stages (inour example, stages six <strong>and</strong> seven, which did not existbefore).• Second: a widening of the capital goods structure, embodiedin a broadening of the existing stages (as in stagesfour <strong>and</strong> five).• Third: a relative narrowing of the capital goods stagesclosest to consumption.• Fourth: In the final stage, the stage of consumer goods<strong>and</strong> services, the jump in voluntary saving invariablygenerates an initial drop in consumption (in monetaryterms). However the lengthening of the productivestructure is followed by a substantial real increase (interms of quantity <strong>and</strong> quality) in the production of consumergoods <strong>and</strong> services. Given that the monetarydem<strong>and</strong> for these goods is invariably reduced, <strong>and</strong>given that these two effects (the drop in consumption<strong>and</strong> the upsurge in the production of consumer goods)exert similar influences, the increase in production givesrise to a sharp drop in the market prices of consumer goods.Ultimately this drop in prices makes it possible for a significantreal rise in wages to occur, along with a generalincrease in all real income received by owners of theoriginal means of production. 5555 <strong>The</strong> above considerations reveal once again the extent to which traditionalnational income statistics <strong>and</strong> the measures of growth in nationalincome are theoretically inadequate. We have already pointed out thatthe indicators of national income do not measure the gross national output<strong>and</strong> tend to exaggerate the importance of consumption, while overlookingthe intermediate stages in the production process. It is also truethat the statistical measures of economic growth <strong>and</strong> of the evolution of

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