12.07.2015 Views

Money, Bank Credit, and Economic Cycles - The Ludwig von Mises ...

Money, Bank Credit, and Economic Cycles - The Ludwig von Mises ...

Money, Bank Credit, and Economic Cycles - The Ludwig von Mises ...

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

Create successful ePaper yourself

Turn your PDF publications into a flip-book with our unique Google optimized e-Paper software.

324 <strong>Money</strong>, <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Credit</strong>, <strong>and</strong> <strong>Economic</strong> <strong>Cycles</strong>Moreover the increase one might expect to observe in theprices of the factors of production (capital goods, labor <strong>and</strong>natural resources) as a result of the greater dem<strong>and</strong> for themin the fifth stage does not necessarily occur (with the possibleexception of very specific means of production). In fact eachincrease in the dem<strong>and</strong> for productive resources in the stagesfurthest from consumption is mostly or even completely neutralizedor offset by a parallel increase in the supply of theseinputs which takes place as they are gradually freed from thestages closest to consumption, where entrepreneurs are incurringconsiderable accounting losses <strong>and</strong> are consequentlyobliged to restrict their investment expenditure on these factors.Thus for entrepreneurial coordination to exist between thestages in the productive structure of a society which isimmersed in a process of increased saving <strong>and</strong> economicgrowth, it is particularly important that the corresponding factormarkets, especially the markets for original means of production(labor <strong>and</strong> natural resources), be very flexible <strong>and</strong> permitat a minimum economic <strong>and</strong> social cost the gradualtransfer of these factors from certain stages of production toothers.Finally the drop in investment in the consumer goods sector,which tends to stem from accounting losses generated bythe increase in voluntary saving, normally accounts for a certainslowdown in the arrival of new consumer goods to themarket (regardless of the increase in the stock of them). Thisslowdown lasts until the rise in the complexity <strong>and</strong> number ofstages in the production process unquestionably improvesproductivity, which in turn brings a significantly larger quantityof consumer goods to the market. One might expect thetemporary reduction in the supply of consumer goods to pushup their price, other things being equal. However this rise inprices does not materialize, precisely because from the outsetthe decrease in supply is more than compensated for by theparallel fall in the dem<strong>and</strong> for consumer goods, a result of theprior increase in voluntary saving.To sum up, the increase in voluntary saving is invested inthe productive structure, either through direct investments orthrough loans granted to the entrepreneurs of the productivestages relatively distant from consumption. <strong>The</strong>se loans are

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!