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Money, Bank Credit, and Economic Cycles - The Ludwig von Mises ...

Money, Bank Credit, and Economic Cycles - The Ludwig von Mises ...

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312 <strong>Money</strong>, <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Credit</strong>, <strong>and</strong> <strong>Economic</strong> <strong>Cycles</strong>products, <strong>and</strong> it would be possible to follow the proportion ofthe amount spent each year on consumer goods <strong>and</strong> servicesto the amount spent at all intermediate stages. This ratio isultimately determined by the social rate of time preference,which establishes the proportion of gross saving <strong>and</strong> investmentto consumption. Clearly the weaker the time preference,<strong>and</strong> therefore the more savings generated in society, the largerthe proportion of gross saving <strong>and</strong> investment to final consumption.At the same time, a strong time preference meansinterest rates will be high, <strong>and</strong> the ratio of gross saving <strong>and</strong>investment to consumption will decrease. Adequate intertemporalcoordination of the decisions of economic agents in amodern society requires that the productive structure adapt todifferent social rates of time preference quickly <strong>and</strong> efficiently,something the entrepreneurial spirit itself, driven by thesearch for profit, tends to guarantee, as entrepreneurs try toequalize profit over all stages. If we wish to find a statisticalmeasure which, instead of concealing, sheds as much light aspossible on this important intertemporal coordinationprocess, we must replace the current gross national productestimate with another such as gross national output, asdefined here. 4040 Input-output tables partially escape the inadequacies of traditionalnational income accounting by permitting the calculation of the amountcorresponding to all intermediate products. However even thoughinput-output analysis is a step in the right direction, it also has very seriouslimitations. In particular, it reflects only two dimensions: it relatesthe different industrial sectors with the factors of production useddirectly in them, but not with the factors of production which are usedbut correspond to more distant stages. In other words, input-outputanalysis does not reflect the set of consecutive intermediate stages leadingup to any intermediate stage or capital good or to the final consumergood. Instead it only relates each sector with its direct provider. Furthermoredue to the great cost <strong>and</strong> complexity of input-output tables,they are only compiled every certain number of years (in the UnitedStates, every five years), <strong>and</strong> therefore the statistics they contain are ofvery slight value with respect to calculating the gross national outputfor each year. See Skousen, <strong>The</strong> Structure of Production, pp. 4–5.

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