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Money, Bank Credit, and Economic Cycles - The Ludwig von Mises ...

Money, Bank Credit, and Economic Cycles - The Ludwig von Mises ...

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284 <strong>Money</strong>, <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Credit</strong>, <strong>and</strong> <strong>Economic</strong> <strong>Cycles</strong>a dynamic <strong>and</strong> very complex productive structure whichalways tends to exp<strong>and</strong> horizontally <strong>and</strong> vertically. 20 Withoutfree entrepreneurship, nor free markets for capital goods <strong>and</strong>money, it is impossible to make the necessary economic calculationregarding the horizontal <strong>and</strong> vertical extension of thedifferent stages in the production process, resulting in widespreaddiscoordinated behavior that throws society off balance<strong>and</strong> prevents its harmonious development. In entrepreneurialprocesses of intertemporal coordination, a leading roleis played by an important market price: the price of presentgoods in relation to future goods, more commonly known asthe interest rate, which regulates the relationship betweenconsumption, saving <strong>and</strong> investment in modern societies, <strong>and</strong>which we will study in detail in the next section.THE INTEREST RATEAs we have seen, other things being equal, humansalways place present goods higher than future goods on theirscale of value. However the relative intensity of this differencein subjective valuation varies substantially from one person toanother; <strong>and</strong> it can even vary greatly throughout the life ofone person based on changes in his circumstances. Some peoplehave a high time preference <strong>and</strong> value the present greatlyin relation to the future; thus they are only willing to sacrificethe immediate achievement of their ends if they expect orbelieve they will accomplish in the future goals they subjectivelyvalue very highly. Other people have a more limitedtime preference, <strong>and</strong> although they also value present goodsmore than future goods, they are more predisposed to relinquishthe immediate achievement of their aims in exchangefor objectives which they value only a little more <strong>and</strong> whichwill be reached tomorrow. This difference in the psychic intensityof the subjective valuation of present goods in relation tofuture goods, a difference reflected on each human actor’s20 This is the terminology used, for example, by Knut Wicksell in Lectureson Political Economy (London: Routledge <strong>and</strong> Kegan Paul, 1951), vol. 1,p. 164, where Wicksell expressly mentions a “horizontal-dimension”<strong>and</strong> a “vertical-dimension” to the structure of capital goods.

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