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Money, Bank Credit, and Economic Cycles - The Ludwig von Mises ...

Money, Bank Credit, and Economic Cycles - The Ludwig von Mises ...

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PREFACE TO THESECOND ENGLISH EDITIONIam happy to present the second English edition of <strong>Money</strong>,<strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Credit</strong>, <strong>and</strong> <strong>Economic</strong> <strong>Cycles</strong>. Its appearance is particularlytimely, given that the severe financial crisis <strong>and</strong> resultingworldwide economic recession I have been forecasting,since the first edition of this book came out ten years ago, arenow unleashing their fury.<strong>The</strong> policy of artificial credit expansion central banks havepermitted <strong>and</strong> orchestrated over the last fifteen years could nothave ended in any other way. <strong>The</strong> expansionary cycle which hasnow come to a close began gathering momentum when theAmerican economy emerged from its last recession (fleeting <strong>and</strong>repressed though it was) in 2001 <strong>and</strong> the Federal Reserve reembarkedon the major artificial expansion of credit <strong>and</strong> investmentinitiated in 1992. This credit expansion was not backed bya parallel increase in voluntary household saving. For severalyears, the money supply in the form of bank notes <strong>and</strong> depositshas grown at an average rate of over 10 percent per year (whichmeans that every seven years the total volume of money circulatingin the world could have been doubled). <strong>The</strong> media ofexchange originating from this severe fiduciary inflation havebeen placed on the market by the banking system as newly-createdloans granted at very low (<strong>and</strong> even negative in real terms)interest rates. <strong>The</strong> above fueled a speculative bubble in thexxi

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