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Money, Bank Credit, and Economic Cycles - The Ludwig von Mises ...

Money, Bank Credit, and Economic Cycles - The Ludwig von Mises ...

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162 <strong>Money</strong>, <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Credit</strong>, <strong>and</strong> <strong>Economic</strong> <strong>Cycles</strong>event, such as the death or survival of the policyholder). <strong>The</strong>life insurance contract is therefore equivalent to a savingstransaction (in which the ownership <strong>and</strong> availability of presentgoods are relinquished in exchange for the ownership<strong>and</strong> availability of future goods), but it is a form of perfectedsavings, because it makes it possible to receive a considerablesum from the very moment the contract takes effect, given theanticipated, uncertain event takes place (for example, the policyholderdies). Any other traditional savings method (traditionalmutuum or loan operation) would require a prolongedperiod of many years of saving to accumulate the capital paidby an insurance company in case of death. In other words, lifeinsurance contracts, the calculation of probabilities based onmortality <strong>and</strong> survival tables, <strong>and</strong> the principle of mutualismor dividing loss among all policyholders sustaining an institutionmake it possible from the first moment to receive, should theanticipated event occur, a significant sum of money which, usingother methods, could only be accumulated after a period of manyyears.Moreover life insurance is a long-term contract whichincorporates complex financial <strong>and</strong> actuarial components <strong>and</strong>requires the prudent investment of significant resources. <strong>The</strong>availability of these resources is transferred to the mutual orlife insurance company, which must collect <strong>and</strong> invest themathematically-calculated reserves necessary to make thefuture payments it will be obliged to make. <strong>The</strong>se amounts arecalled “mathematical,” because they result from the calculationof probabilities of death <strong>and</strong> survival according to mortalitytables, which are extremely reliable <strong>and</strong> highly constantfor most western populations. It is possible to calculate, withas small a probability of ruin as is desired, the amount ofmoney necessary to pay all guaranteed benefits. Later we willexamine the radical differences which from an economicfinancialst<strong>and</strong>point exist between life insurance <strong>and</strong> the irregulardeposit contract with a fractional reserve. As opposed tolife insurance, the irregular deposit contract does not permitthe calculation of probabilities, since the institution (fractional-reservebanking) does not exist completely independentlyof the recurrent massive withdrawal of deposits.

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