Chapter 4imports significantly more desirable than dependenceon imports of oil. In the 1990s the share of natural gas inelectricity production and heat generation gradually increased.Figures 1 and 2 show electricity production andfinal energy consumption by fuel historically. (Hansen,2003; Grohnheit, 2001; De Lovinfosse, 2008).Related to the gradual substitution of fuel input, explorationof natural gas and oil in the North Sea was accelerated,which helped achieve the objective of energysecurity, as Denmark increased its production of both,and finally became a net exporter of oil and natural gas in1995, see figure 3 below. According to the Danish EnergyAuthority, Denmark is expected to remain a net exporterof natural gas until 2020 and oil until 2018. (DEA 2010;DEA 2011:16)1.2.2 Support for alternative sources of energySubstitution and exploration largely achieved the objectiveof energy security. Another important element of the firstenergy plan however, was to explore alternative sources ofenergy. Initially, nuclear energy was the favoured optionof policy-makers and the electricity industry, but a strongand broad coalition of civil society movements opposingnuclear power and supporting wind power successfullystalled plans to develop nuclear capacity, and in 1985 Parliamentpassed a moratorium on nuclear energy. “In 1979,energy and environmental politics, in that order, were thetwo policy areas (out of 20), which most Danes consideredthemselves ‘very interested’ in” (Andersen 2008:17).2The coalition strongly favoured wind rather than nuclearenergy, and with a geography that enabled wind – aflat country with lots of wind potential – and a history ofexperimenting with windmills dating back to the 1890s,the result was a gradual increase of wind as a share of electricityproduction (see figures 2, 3, 4 and 5).Early policies supporting local cooperative ownershiphelped strengthen public support for wind power productionand ease barriers to implementation of projects. ByPrimary energy production 1980-2009PJ140012001000800600400200Crude Oil Natural gas Renewables01980 ´85 ´90 ´95 ´00 ´05 ´09Figure 3: Production of primary energy measured by energy content.In other words: Oil and natural gas production are past their peaksand expected to be exhausted by 2018 and 2020 respectively.Cumulative wind capacity 1980-200970006000500040003000200010000Figure 4: The number of windmills deployed increased steadilyfrom 1980 to 2000 but began declining as developmentshifted to off-shore projects. The cumulative capacity however,kept increasing.Source: DEA 2010:9# of WindmillsCapacity (MW)1980 1990 2000 2008 2009the early 1990s 120,000 people, out of a total population ofroughly 5 million, were registered as owners of wind turbines– either individually or through cooperatives (Mendonca,Lacey, and Hvelplund, 2009). While the trend oflocal ownership has been reversed since the late 90s, itwas a crucial part of the initial success of wind powerdeployment and helped build a foundation and broadengrassroots support for the strong wind power industrythat exists in Denmark today spearheaded by the globalleader in windmill markets, Vestas. Political support forrenewables consisted of electricity taxing schemes, investmentsubsidies, and RD&D support for renewableenergy. The total share of renewables gradually increasedto roughly 27% of electricity production and 20% of finalenergy consumption in 2009. (Hansen 2003; DEA 2010;Hvelplund 1997; Toke 2002; Loring 2007; Karnøe andBuchhorn 2008; Toke, Breukers, and Wolsink 2008)1.2.3 Energy efficiencyThe third category of energy policies during the first periodof Danish energy policy was energy efficiency policies.By mandating energy efficiency in buildings, taxingdelivered energy, and subsidizing energy efficiencymeasures; Denmark reduced specific heat demand bynearly 40% between 1981 and 1997. Overall CO2 intensityhas been cut by 50% from 1980 to 2006 (Grohnheit2001; DEA 2009). Crucially, as pointed out above, theshare of natural gas in electricity production and heatgeneration increased as energy efficiency policies rewardedcombined heat and power (CHP) plants usingnatural gas and biomass. This brings us to the final categoryof energy policies during the first part of the story:infrastructure investment. (Grohnheit, 2001)2 Translated by author.Source: DEA 2010:634
Chapter 41.2.4 Infrastructure investmentThe development of district heating grids began in the1950s but was accelerated as energy policy became explicitduring this first part of the Danish energy story.Furthermore, it enabled the introduction of natural gasand CHP plants in electricity production, as a large distributionnetwork for natural gas was unnecessary – thedistribution grid was already in place in the shape of districtheating and electricity grids, to which CHP plantscould be connected (Grohnheit, 2001). This massively decreasedthe capital costs of a natural gas grid, thus renderingit a desirable policy option. As we shall see below, thewidespread existence of district heating grids in Denmarkbecomes crucial in understanding the current policy shift.1.3 ResultsAs alluded above, the exploration of oil and natural gas inthe North Sea went a long way towards achieving the objectiveof energy security during the 1980s. This is not tosay that energy security lost priority. Energy security inorder to sustain economic growth remained the primarypriority of Danish energy policy, and although becominga net exporter of oil by 1995 meant that the Danish economywould now also benefit from future increases in theprice of oil, the fact that oil is traded in a world marketmeans that oil-consuming parts of the economy wouldstill be exposed to any future ‘oil shocks’. In that sense,becoming a net exporter of oil acted as a sort of hedge forthe overall economy, but further diversification of the en-ergy mix to ensure stable economic growth in the rest ofthe economy remained a central driver of energy policy.2 Green growth part II: The auken years(1993 – 2001)2.1 A new layer of politics: the rise of environmentalismAfter the 1993 elections a new social democratic-led governmentcame into power, and with it came a significantaddition to energy policy. The policies of previous yearswere largely carried on, but following the the World Commissionon Environment and Development’s publicationof “Our Common Future” (1987) – better known as theBrundtland Report for its chair, former Prime Ministerof Norway Gro Brundtland – environmental concernsbecame an increasingly important issue in public debate.This led to increased focus on the environmental benefitsof renewable energy under the tenure of Minister ofEnergy and the Environment Svend Auken (1993-2001).“The energy plan of 1996 “Energy 21”, contained morethan 100 initiatives designed to reduce CO2 emissions.”(Karnøe & Buchhorn, 2008:76)Among these were an annual target of 1% additionalrenewable energy in the energy supply, electricity taxesto finance energy efficiency programs, continued supportfor investments in district heating grids, and continuedsupport for the development of oil and gas resourcesin the north sea (Danish Government 1996). AsWind power's share of electricity 1980-2009MW3500Off-shore Capacity (MW)On-shore Capacity (MW) Wind power share of total inland production (%)25 %3000250020 %200015 %150010 %10005005 %01980 ´85 ´90 ´95 ´00 ´05 ´090 %Figure 5: On-shore capacity increased rapidly during the 90s while off-shore capacity began increasing on the early 00s and again inthe late 00s. The total share of wind in inland electricity production grew steadily until the mid 00s.Source: DEA 2010:9Green Growth: From religion to reality 35
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