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Organization and Performance of Cotton Sectors in Africa ... - infoDev

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from SSA is h<strong>and</strong>led by <strong>in</strong>dependent g<strong>in</strong>ners. These g<strong>in</strong>ners <strong>in</strong>clude very largecompanies—the national monopolies <strong>of</strong> Mali <strong>and</strong> Cameroon <strong>and</strong> the formernational monopolies <strong>in</strong> Burk<strong>in</strong>a Faso <strong>and</strong> Ben<strong>in</strong> (SOFITEX <strong>and</strong> SONAPRA,respectively)—<strong>and</strong> smaller private companies, most <strong>in</strong> ESA. As a general rule,these <strong>in</strong>dependent g<strong>in</strong>ners have little knowledge <strong>of</strong> the world cotton market,very limited ability to use risk management tools, <strong>and</strong> receive very little feedbackfrom the end users. International cotton merchants are thus <strong>in</strong> a strongnegotiat<strong>in</strong>g position when deal<strong>in</strong>g with <strong>in</strong>dependent g<strong>in</strong>ners.In WCA, forward sales contracts at fixed price have been used extensivelyfor decades, primarily as a way to secure <strong>in</strong>put <strong>and</strong> crop f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g. Sales arecontracted <strong>in</strong> euros per kilogram free on board, <strong>of</strong>fsett<strong>in</strong>g the exchange risk.G<strong>in</strong>ners usually base their prices on the Cotlook A Index, 25 valued at the forwardexchange rate for the shipp<strong>in</strong>g period considered. Forward sales at fixedprice <strong>in</strong> euro per kilogram are an effective way <strong>of</strong> mitigat<strong>in</strong>g risks, althoughhigh percentages <strong>of</strong> forward sales <strong>in</strong>crease the risk <strong>of</strong> not be<strong>in</strong>g able to deliverthe contracted quality <strong>and</strong> may lead to oversold situations. Smaller <strong>in</strong>dependentg<strong>in</strong>ners <strong>in</strong> ESA are generally not <strong>in</strong> a position to guarantee the volume <strong>and</strong>the quality <strong>of</strong> their production before it is g<strong>in</strong>ned, are not able to store l<strong>in</strong>t foran extended period, <strong>and</strong> therefore seldom engage <strong>in</strong> forward sales. They primarilydeal with price <strong>and</strong> exchange rate risks by adjust<strong>in</strong>g their buy<strong>in</strong>g priceover the course <strong>of</strong> the season <strong>and</strong> by sell<strong>in</strong>g the l<strong>in</strong>t as it is g<strong>in</strong>ned.Merchants carefully select sellers to guarantee contract performance. Largeparastatal companies <strong>in</strong> WCA are considered reliable by merchants, default<strong>in</strong>gonly <strong>in</strong> good faith, while private <strong>in</strong>dependent g<strong>in</strong>ners have mixed reputations.Merchants generally consider it much easier to purchase cotton <strong>in</strong> WCA countriesthan from <strong>in</strong>dependent g<strong>in</strong>ners <strong>in</strong> ESA countries because <strong>of</strong>fers are notspread over numerous small trad<strong>in</strong>g companies, 26 <strong>and</strong> the volume is sufficientto ensure year-round shipments, while quality st<strong>and</strong>ards are relatively consistent.In contrast, small <strong>in</strong>dependent g<strong>in</strong>ners <strong>in</strong> ESA are generally not <strong>in</strong> a positionto guarantee consistent or year-round shipments <strong>and</strong> large volumes.In addition to fixed price contracts, some basis pric<strong>in</strong>g is done “on call”the Cotlook A Index, “on call” the <strong>Africa</strong>n franc zone quotation <strong>in</strong> <strong>Cotton</strong>Outlook, or “on call” New York futures. On call pric<strong>in</strong>g means that the buyer(or seller) agrees to a volume <strong>and</strong> delivery date, but that the price will befixed at a later time. Major fluctuations <strong>in</strong> the basis (arithmetic difference)between spot prices <strong>and</strong> the New York futures can present challenges to hedg<strong>in</strong>g<strong>of</strong> <strong>Africa</strong>n cottons.Competition among buyers <strong>and</strong> among g<strong>in</strong>ners <strong>of</strong> seed cotton with<strong>in</strong> a produc<strong>in</strong>gcountry may <strong>in</strong>crease the producer price, especially when there is overcapacity<strong>in</strong> g<strong>in</strong>n<strong>in</strong>g. Among the countries <strong>in</strong>cluded <strong>in</strong> this study, this practiceis most common <strong>in</strong> Tanzania <strong>and</strong> Ug<strong>and</strong>a. Yet the immediate impact <strong>of</strong><strong>in</strong>creased competition between g<strong>in</strong>ners <strong>and</strong> exporters is to put pressure on thesell<strong>in</strong>g price <strong>of</strong> l<strong>in</strong>t because buyers (merchants <strong>and</strong> sp<strong>in</strong>ners) always takeadvantage <strong>of</strong> compet<strong>in</strong>g <strong>of</strong>fers from several sellers to buy from the cheapest. AMARKET CONTEXT 25

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