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Organization and Performance of Cotton Sectors in Africa ... - infoDev

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sectors <strong>and</strong> is an area where value could be added <strong>and</strong> redistributed t<strong>of</strong>armers through greater open<strong>in</strong>g <strong>of</strong> the sector <strong>and</strong> competition.<strong>Performance</strong> on outcome <strong>in</strong>dicators is less clearly tied to sector type,because many outcomes are a function <strong>of</strong> more than one process, <strong>and</strong> a givensector type might perform well on some processes but poorly on others.Returns to farmers are a clear example:■■■Competitively structured sectors pay high prices to farmers but are unableto provide <strong>in</strong>put credit or extension; as a result, they tend to generate lowyields. They also score poorly on l<strong>in</strong>t quality, which limits the price advantagethey can pass to farmers.Concentrated sectors do better on <strong>in</strong>put credit <strong>and</strong> extension (<strong>and</strong> thus onyields), <strong>and</strong> they also do well on quality. But they may pass little if any <strong>of</strong> thequality premium on to farmers, <strong>and</strong> they may have a tendency to chargehigher than market rates for the <strong>in</strong>puts they provide. As a result, returns t<strong>of</strong>armers are similar <strong>in</strong> Zambia’s concentrated system <strong>and</strong> Tanzania’s competitivelystructured one.<strong>Sectors</strong> perform<strong>in</strong>g best on returns to farmers are those that have benefitedfrom many years <strong>of</strong> susta<strong>in</strong>ed <strong>in</strong>vestment <strong>in</strong> research <strong>and</strong> extension, <strong>and</strong>that, therefore, have been able to raise the productivity <strong>of</strong> large numbers <strong>of</strong>farmers; most WCA countries <strong>and</strong> Zimbabwe <strong>in</strong> ESA fall <strong>in</strong>to this category.However, <strong>in</strong> WCA, this performance has decl<strong>in</strong>ed dur<strong>in</strong>g the past twodecades, as have the returns for a majority <strong>of</strong> farmers.Dur<strong>in</strong>g the present decade, national monopolies have performed very wellon one macro <strong>in</strong>dicator (valued added per capita) but very poorly on anotherone (net budgetary contribution per capita). However, the positive performanceon per capita value added <strong>in</strong> Burk<strong>in</strong>a Faso <strong>and</strong> Mali has come at a steep cost tothe rest <strong>of</strong> the economy, especially to the state budget, particularly <strong>in</strong> recent years.Tanzania’s competitively structured sector performs very well on value addedper capita dur<strong>in</strong>g some years, but poorly dur<strong>in</strong>g others, as a result <strong>of</strong> highly variableproduction. A key <strong>in</strong>sight from the work is that this variable production isa direct result <strong>of</strong> Tanzania’s sectoral structure. Because farmers do not have the<strong>in</strong>centive <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>-k<strong>in</strong>d <strong>in</strong>put credit to produce cotton, they move <strong>in</strong> <strong>and</strong> out <strong>of</strong> thecrop accord<strong>in</strong>g to expected price, much as they would with any other cash crop.Company efficiency is one outcome <strong>in</strong>dicator clearly tied to sector structure.Companies <strong>in</strong> market-based sectors are most efficient, with competitively structuredsectors more efficient than concentrated sectors, but with both greatlyoutperform<strong>in</strong>g companies <strong>in</strong> local <strong>and</strong> national monopolies. The comb<strong>in</strong>ation<strong>of</strong> high farmer prices dur<strong>in</strong>g the past six to seven years plus relatively <strong>in</strong>efficientcompanies—that is, those with high operat<strong>in</strong>g costs—means that the WCAmonopolies are, by a substantial marg<strong>in</strong>, currently the least <strong>in</strong>ternationallycompetitive sectors <strong>in</strong> the study. Free-on-truck cost to value ratios <strong>in</strong> WCAEXECUTIVE SUMMARYxxix

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