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Organization and Performance of Cotton Sectors in Africa ... - infoDev

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■■■■Interpr<strong>of</strong>essional committees <strong>and</strong> farmer organizations need to cont<strong>in</strong>ue tobe developed, with special emphasis on the operational abilities <strong>of</strong> the latter.Reforms <strong>in</strong> research organizations cont<strong>in</strong>ue to be needed to make sure thatthey are responsive to these <strong>in</strong>terpr<strong>of</strong>essional committees.Clear rules for evaluat<strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong> retender<strong>in</strong>g concession areas need to bedeveloped, as this lack has been a key failure <strong>in</strong> Mozambique.To create more competition, <strong>in</strong>vestment <strong>and</strong> structural reforms <strong>in</strong> thecottonseed oil sector should be encouraged.Three f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>gs from this research are especially relevant if WCA countries<strong>in</strong>stead consider mov<strong>in</strong>g to a concentrated, market-based system. First, thesystems <strong>in</strong> Zimbabwe <strong>and</strong> Zambia have suffered periodic bouts <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>stability.Zimbabwe, <strong>in</strong> particular, appears to have crossed a tipp<strong>in</strong>g po<strong>in</strong>t s<strong>in</strong>ce 2001,whereby the entry <strong>of</strong> additional g<strong>in</strong>n<strong>in</strong>g companies has underm<strong>in</strong>ed exist<strong>in</strong>gmechanisms for coord<strong>in</strong>ation <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>put supply, extension, <strong>and</strong> quality control.Regulation <strong>of</strong> concentrated systems is thus a key challenge (see next). Second,WCA’s agro-ecological conditions (especially the low fertility <strong>of</strong> its soils) suggestthat a competitive sector (which could be the outcome <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>stability with<strong>in</strong> aconcentrated sector) may perform quite poorly unless farmer organizationsthemselves are strong enough to ensure broadly based access to <strong>in</strong>puts. F<strong>in</strong>ally,though farmer organizations <strong>in</strong> most WCA countries are much stronger than<strong>in</strong> ESA countries, few if any appear strong enough to take on this challenge <strong>in</strong>the near future. Mov<strong>in</strong>g to a fully privatized market that allows competitionamong companies, even if the market is <strong>in</strong>itially very concentrated, is thus arisky proposition for WCA countries. If <strong>in</strong>stead these sectors can use the localmonopoly approach to build up the operational capacity <strong>of</strong> farmer organizations<strong>and</strong> to develop sound regulatory mechanisms, concentrated <strong>and</strong> eventuallycompetitive systems could perform well.Meanwhile, the key challenge <strong>in</strong> Mozambique’s local monopoly sector is tocreate <strong>in</strong>centives for good company performance with<strong>in</strong> the concessions. In theabsence <strong>of</strong> strong farmer associations, these <strong>in</strong>centives have to come fromsome comb<strong>in</strong>ation <strong>of</strong> improved rules govern<strong>in</strong>g tender<strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong> re-tender<strong>in</strong>gconcessions, procedures for monitor<strong>in</strong>g performance <strong>of</strong> concessionaires, <strong>and</strong>careful selection <strong>of</strong> companies. It appears that Mozambique has done a goodjob on the latter, with newer companies clearly outperform<strong>in</strong>g orig<strong>in</strong>al concessionholders; the country is also develop<strong>in</strong>g serious proposals for evaluat<strong>in</strong>g<strong>and</strong> reaward<strong>in</strong>g concession areas. Prices to farmers rema<strong>in</strong> very low, however,<strong>and</strong> are unlikely to improve without improved regulation.Concentrated <strong>Sectors</strong>Change <strong>in</strong> concentrated sectors is likely to be driven less by policy choice thanby <strong>in</strong>herent characteristics <strong>of</strong> these systems. Because <strong>in</strong>vestment <strong>in</strong> g<strong>in</strong>n<strong>in</strong>gcapacity is not prohibitively expensive—especially where <strong>in</strong>vestors are familiarCONCLUSIONS 177

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