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Organization and Performance of Cotton Sectors in Africa ... - infoDev

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<strong>Performance</strong> on Global Outcomes: The Outcome IndicatorsThe typology generated clear expectations about one <strong>in</strong>termediate outcome:that company efficiency would be worst <strong>in</strong> monopolies <strong>and</strong> best <strong>in</strong> competitivesectors. This expectation was strongly confirmed. Adjusted farm gate to FOTcosts <strong>in</strong> Tanzania’s competitive sector (the best performer) are less than halfthose <strong>in</strong> Mali’s national monopoly (the worst performer). In all national <strong>and</strong>local monopolies, costs are near or above the highest costs <strong>in</strong> market-based systems;with<strong>in</strong> these market-based systems, concentrated sectors show highercosts than competitive sectors (such as Tanzania).The comb<strong>in</strong>ation <strong>of</strong> high farmer prices s<strong>in</strong>ce the beg<strong>in</strong>n<strong>in</strong>g <strong>of</strong> the century<strong>and</strong> relatively <strong>in</strong>efficient companies—that is, companies with high operat<strong>in</strong>gcosts—means that the WCA monopolies are, by a substantial marg<strong>in</strong>, currentlythe least <strong>in</strong>ternationally competitive sectors <strong>in</strong> the study. FOT cost to valueratios <strong>in</strong> WCA range from 0.98 to 1.15, compared with a range <strong>of</strong> 0.76 to 0.88<strong>in</strong> all other countries except Ug<strong>and</strong>a. In Ug<strong>and</strong>a, the hybrid regulatory systemhas kept a large number <strong>of</strong> g<strong>in</strong>ners <strong>in</strong> the sector without <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g production,lead<strong>in</strong>g to a cost to value ratio <strong>of</strong> 0.93, the worst <strong>in</strong> East <strong>and</strong> Southern<strong>Africa</strong> (ESA). Other ESA sectors perform well on this measure, but for differentreasons. Efficient g<strong>in</strong>n<strong>in</strong>g operations are an important part <strong>of</strong> the story <strong>in</strong>Tanzania’s competitive sector <strong>and</strong> Zimbabwe’s concentrated sector. The l<strong>in</strong>tquality premiums obta<strong>in</strong>ed <strong>in</strong> Zambia <strong>and</strong>, to a lesser extent, <strong>in</strong> Zimbabweboost their performance. However, <strong>in</strong> both countries <strong>and</strong> also <strong>in</strong> Mozambique,the competitive ratios have been achieved <strong>in</strong> part because <strong>of</strong> the low prices theypay their farmers. In Mozambique (which scores 0.79 by this measure), theseed cotton price has been 20 percent to 30 percent lower than the prices <strong>in</strong> allother ESA countries. In Zambia (the most “<strong>in</strong>ternationally competitive” sector<strong>in</strong> the study, at 0.76), the seed cotton price is substantially higher than it is <strong>in</strong>Mozambique <strong>and</strong> not far below the price <strong>in</strong> Tanzania <strong>in</strong> absolute terms, but theprice reflects little <strong>of</strong> the substantial quality premium that Zambian companiesreceive on the <strong>in</strong>ternational market.Returns to farmers have been the best <strong>in</strong> WCA monopolies, plus Zimbabwe. InWCA, these high returns are, <strong>of</strong> course, heavily <strong>in</strong>fluenced by the high prices paid<strong>in</strong> recent years, which have been com<strong>in</strong>g down <strong>and</strong> must come down further ifthese sectors are to become more competitive <strong>and</strong> susta<strong>in</strong>able. However, the ma<strong>in</strong>reason for the high returns to farmers <strong>in</strong> WCA is that, by facilitat<strong>in</strong>g access to animaltraction, fertilizer, <strong>and</strong> tra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g over many years, these countries have beenable to move large shares <strong>of</strong> farmers <strong>in</strong>to high yield<strong>in</strong>g groups: an average <strong>of</strong> morethan 70 percent <strong>of</strong> WCA farmers are medium-high yield performers (see chapter10), compared with a range <strong>of</strong> 20 percent to 30 percent <strong>in</strong> all other countriesexcept Zimbabwe. Mozambique, a poorly regulated local monopoly, shows thelowest returns, driven by relatively poor yields <strong>and</strong> very low farm prices.The picture regard<strong>in</strong>g value added is complex. At farm level, the monopolysystems <strong>of</strong> WCA perform best on value added per hectare as a result <strong>of</strong> their162 LABASTE, POULTON, AND TSCHIRLEY

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