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Organization and Performance of Cotton Sectors in Africa ... - infoDev

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across concession zones, with newer entrants <strong>of</strong>ten outperform<strong>in</strong>g early <strong>in</strong>cumbents.Mozambique has the highest quality discount on world markets <strong>and</strong>, <strong>in</strong>several concession areas, the poorest <strong>in</strong>put supply <strong>and</strong> extension assistanceoutside <strong>of</strong> Tanzania. This performance is less surpris<strong>in</strong>g when one considersthat the country emerged from a devastat<strong>in</strong>g civil war only <strong>in</strong> the early 1990s<strong>and</strong> that its regulatory capacity rema<strong>in</strong>s very low.Evidence is strong <strong>in</strong> Tanzania <strong>and</strong> Ug<strong>and</strong>a that, with<strong>in</strong> market-based systems,competition <strong>in</strong>creases prices paid to farmers. Despite the recent high pricespaid by the WCA monopoly systems, tak<strong>in</strong>g a 20-year perspective, WCA sectorshave been outperformed on price by Tanzania <strong>and</strong> Ug<strong>and</strong>a. However, competitivesystems clearly also have their weaknesses. Tanzania’s competitive sector hasbeen unable to provide any <strong>in</strong>put credit or extension advice, <strong>and</strong> also it performspoorly on l<strong>in</strong>t quality, as predicted. Ug<strong>and</strong>a has ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong>ed a quality premiums<strong>in</strong>ce liberalization, although this premium has decl<strong>in</strong>ed. S<strong>in</strong>ce the early 2000s, itattempted to address the challenges <strong>of</strong> provid<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>put <strong>and</strong> extension to farmersby curtail<strong>in</strong>g output market competition through the zonal quota system.To date, there is little evidence <strong>of</strong> the impact <strong>of</strong> sector structure on researchsystem performance. In theory, companies with<strong>in</strong> monopoly <strong>and</strong> concentratedsystems should have stronger <strong>in</strong>centives <strong>and</strong> greater ability to dem<strong>and</strong> highquality research from research systems. However, <strong>in</strong> practice most research systemsrema<strong>in</strong> firmly under state control so that opportunities for stakeholder<strong>in</strong>fluence are limited. The effect <strong>of</strong> past <strong>in</strong>vestment is probably highest <strong>in</strong> thisrealm. Mali, with many years <strong>of</strong> support from French research <strong>in</strong>stitutions, wasable to carry on some <strong>of</strong> that momentum <strong>and</strong> released six varieties over the past10 years. However, an emphasis on improved g<strong>in</strong>n<strong>in</strong>g outturn <strong>in</strong>stead <strong>of</strong> higherseed cotton yields may have reduced the contribution that research could otherwisehave made to revers<strong>in</strong>g the yield stagnation seen <strong>in</strong> WCA countries.Zimbabwe, which featured close collaboration for many years among its ownnational monopoly, the research <strong>in</strong>stitute, <strong>and</strong> the commercial farmers, has alsobeen able to ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong> some capacity <strong>in</strong> this area <strong>and</strong> has released at least fourvarieties s<strong>in</strong>ce the mid-1990s. Other countries (with less historical <strong>in</strong>vestment <strong>in</strong>research) have been less successful <strong>in</strong> this regard, though Zambia has been effectiveat purify<strong>in</strong>g exist<strong>in</strong>g varieties <strong>and</strong> at exploit<strong>in</strong>g more <strong>of</strong> their yield potential.F<strong>in</strong>ally, there are few reasons that the performance <strong>of</strong> seed process<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>dustriesshould be related to the type <strong>of</strong> cotton sector organization other thanwhere the two <strong>in</strong>dustries are strongly vertically l<strong>in</strong>ked (as historically acrossWest <strong>Africa</strong>). Indeed, the ma<strong>in</strong> f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> relation to seed pric<strong>in</strong>g is that—<strong>in</strong>the two monopoly systems <strong>in</strong> which cotton companies also face monopsonisticcottonseed oil markets (Burk<strong>in</strong>a Faso <strong>and</strong> Mali)—prices for seed dur<strong>in</strong>g2006 were extremely low. Elsewhere, factors beyond the control <strong>of</strong> cotton companies(whether a country is l<strong>and</strong>locked, the strength <strong>of</strong> local dem<strong>and</strong> for cakefrom the livestock sector, the trade policy) largely <strong>in</strong>fluence outcomes. Moreresearch is needed to underst<strong>and</strong> the performance <strong>of</strong> <strong>Africa</strong>n oil <strong>and</strong> cake markets<strong>in</strong> greater depth.CONCLUSIONS 161

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