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Organization and Performance of Cotton Sectors in Africa ... - infoDev

Organization and Performance of Cotton Sectors in Africa ... - infoDev

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Valorization <strong>of</strong>by-productsValue <strong>of</strong> cottonseedsNo clear prediction—only <strong>in</strong> WCA doeshistory <strong>of</strong> vertical<strong>in</strong>tegration establish asystematic l<strong>in</strong>k withg<strong>in</strong>n<strong>in</strong>g structureAbnormally low <strong>in</strong> Mali <strong>and</strong> Burk<strong>in</strong>aFaso (monopsony <strong>in</strong> cottonseedoil markets). but high pricesrealized <strong>in</strong> other l<strong>and</strong>lockedcountriesBoth dem<strong>and</strong> (for oil <strong>and</strong> cake)<strong>and</strong> policy factors beyondthe control <strong>of</strong> g<strong>in</strong>ners thatexert a big <strong>in</strong>fluenceIntermediate outcome<strong>in</strong>dicatorsFarm-level performanceCompany performance■ Mean yield past5 years (kg seedcotton/ha)■ Trend, past 10yearsAdjusted farm gateto FOT cost(US$/kg l<strong>in</strong>t)■ Expected performanceon yield level stronglyrelated to expectationsfor <strong>in</strong>put provision <strong>and</strong>extension■ No clear predictionfor yield trend■ Worst <strong>in</strong> monopolies;best <strong>in</strong> competitivesectors■ Mean yields that rema<strong>in</strong> highest <strong>in</strong>WCA; with<strong>in</strong> ESA, concentratedsectors that perform best■ However, yield stagnation <strong>in</strong> WCAs<strong>in</strong>ce mid-1980s■ Zambia (concentrated) provid<strong>in</strong>gbest example <strong>of</strong> yield growth <strong>in</strong>ESA, but overall ESA yields hav<strong>in</strong>gfailed to close gap on worldaverageExpectations largely confirmed:US$0.31–0.45 <strong>in</strong> WCAmonopolies, US$0.38 <strong>in</strong>Mozambique; <strong>in</strong> market sectors,US$0.21 <strong>in</strong> Tanzania to US$0.32<strong>in</strong> Zambia <strong>and</strong> Ug<strong>and</strong>aCurrent yields heavily<strong>in</strong>fluenced by past<strong>in</strong>vestments, especially <strong>in</strong>research <strong>and</strong> extension, sotypology alone does notexpla<strong>in</strong> performancevariationsHybrid regulatory structure <strong>in</strong>Ug<strong>and</strong>a that protects<strong>in</strong>efficient companies; rollerg<strong>in</strong>s <strong>and</strong> competition <strong>in</strong>Tanzania that keepcosts down(cont<strong>in</strong>ued)157

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