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Organization and Performance of Cotton Sectors in Africa ... - infoDev

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fact that 55 percent <strong>of</strong> cotton is produced under irrigated conditions. Thoughaverage yields under irrigation are much higher than under ra<strong>in</strong>fed conditions,worldwide yield growth has been much greater <strong>in</strong> the latter: average yield <strong>in</strong>ra<strong>in</strong>fed cultivation more than doubled between 1980 <strong>and</strong> 2005, grow<strong>in</strong>g 3.9percent per year, while yield <strong>in</strong> irrigated systems <strong>in</strong>creased by only 60 percent,or 1.8 percent per year (figure 10.2). Yet <strong>Africa</strong>, where nearly all production isra<strong>in</strong>fed, has not seen this k<strong>in</strong>d <strong>of</strong> growth: ESA yields have risen only about 2.1percent per year, while WCA yields have stagnated or decl<strong>in</strong>ed. As a result, whileWCA yields were well above world average ra<strong>in</strong>fed yields <strong>in</strong> 1980/81, the rest <strong>of</strong>the world’s ra<strong>in</strong>fed cotton production systems have now surpassed WCA. Whathas been driv<strong>in</strong>g these divergent yield trends?Evolution <strong>of</strong> <strong>Cotton</strong> Yields <strong>in</strong> WCA <strong>and</strong> ESADecl<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g cotton yields <strong>in</strong> WCA are commonly expla<strong>in</strong>ed by (a) a decl<strong>in</strong>e <strong>in</strong>fertilizer use, partly result<strong>in</strong>g from a reallocation to food crops; (b) a decl<strong>in</strong>e<strong>in</strong> the number <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>secticide applications, lead<strong>in</strong>g to higher <strong>in</strong>festation levels;(c) problems with seed quality, <strong>of</strong>ten quoted as a reason for decl<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g yields <strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>terviews with farmers <strong>in</strong> Mali <strong>in</strong> 2007; <strong>and</strong> (d) a degradation <strong>of</strong> soil fertilityfrom cont<strong>in</strong>uous cultivation <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>sufficiently adapted fertilization formulas.These factors are discussed <strong>in</strong> more detail later <strong>in</strong> this chapter.Country average yields over time mask variation with<strong>in</strong> countries fromspatial <strong>and</strong> socioeconomic factors. In Ben<strong>in</strong>, for example, dur<strong>in</strong>g the 2001/02Figure 10.2 Average Worldwide Yields <strong>of</strong> Irrigated <strong>and</strong> Ra<strong>in</strong>fed <strong>Cotton</strong>1,2001,000956yields <strong>of</strong> l<strong>in</strong>t (kg/hectare)80060040060944920017201980/81 2005/06yearIrrigatedDryl<strong>and</strong>Source: Authors.YIELDS AND RETURNS TO FARMERS 119

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