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Organization and Performance of Cotton Sectors in Africa ... - infoDev

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20–25 percent <strong>in</strong> the late 1990s) <strong>and</strong> less than 50 percent could be sold as one<strong>of</strong> the top three grades. Similarly, at COTTCO’s Gokwe g<strong>in</strong>nery, a strik<strong>in</strong>g decl<strong>in</strong>ewas recorded <strong>in</strong> the proportion <strong>of</strong> seed cotton supplies classed as grade Abetween 2003 (26 percent) <strong>and</strong> 2004 (5 percent). Because 2003 was the year <strong>in</strong>which flat-rate buy<strong>in</strong>g was <strong>in</strong>troduced with<strong>in</strong> the sector, this dramatic decl<strong>in</strong>e<strong>in</strong> quality shows that farmers adapted to the new <strong>in</strong>centive system <strong>in</strong> a s<strong>in</strong>gleseason. Another notable drop <strong>in</strong> quality (pr<strong>in</strong>cipally affect<strong>in</strong>g the proportion<strong>of</strong> B grade cotton) occurred <strong>in</strong> 2006, a year <strong>of</strong> exceptional price competitionbetween companies. Thus, the share <strong>of</strong> seed cotton achiev<strong>in</strong>g grades A or B fellfrom 65 percent <strong>in</strong> 2003 to 20 percent <strong>in</strong> 2006. Return<strong>in</strong>g to figures 7.1 <strong>and</strong> 7.2,the country’s premium would have been substantially higher <strong>in</strong> the early2000s—before the <strong>in</strong>tensified competition with<strong>in</strong> the sector—<strong>and</strong> is likely t<strong>of</strong>all <strong>in</strong> the latter years <strong>of</strong> the 2000s if quality control measures are not improved.CONCLUSIONSOverall, quality performance is remarkably consistent with the expectationsgenerated from the typology: Zambia’s concentrated system delivers the bestperformance, comparable to what Zimbabwe delivered before the entry <strong>of</strong> newcompetitors. Zimbabwe’s premium is still high but is fall<strong>in</strong>g as a result <strong>of</strong><strong>in</strong>creased competition. Cameroon, with a national monopoly largely free <strong>of</strong>political meddl<strong>in</strong>g, also performs well, though not up to the st<strong>and</strong>ards <strong>of</strong> Zambia.The other national <strong>and</strong> local monopolies show highly variable performance,while Tanzania’s competitive system is, along with Mozambique, the worstquality performer.Table 7.1 summarizes available quality <strong>in</strong>formation for each country <strong>in</strong> thisstudy. Grow<strong>in</strong>g fewer varieties <strong>in</strong> a country makes it easier to ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong> homogeneity<strong>of</strong> quality, though proper controls (as <strong>in</strong> Zambia, which grows at leasttwo varieties) <strong>and</strong> good classification can ensure good performance even whenseveral varieties are grown. Hav<strong>in</strong>g more seed cotton grades is generally goodbut only if strictly l<strong>in</strong>ked to l<strong>in</strong>t classification outcomes. Instrument test<strong>in</strong>g is<strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>gly important <strong>in</strong> the global l<strong>in</strong>t market but is rarely used <strong>in</strong> <strong>Africa</strong>.International cotton merchants put great importance on the reliability <strong>of</strong> l<strong>in</strong>tclassification <strong>in</strong> a country, <strong>in</strong>dependent <strong>of</strong> the actual quality <strong>of</strong> the l<strong>in</strong>t. L<strong>in</strong>tthat is typically high quality but not reliably classified will not earn the premiumthat it otherwise would. Longer staple length is always good, <strong>and</strong><strong>in</strong>ch is a typical benchmark. Contam<strong>in</strong>ation is crucial <strong>in</strong> pric<strong>in</strong>g, <strong>and</strong> a reputationfor high contam<strong>in</strong>ation is difficult to overcome. All <strong>of</strong> these factors contributeto the average premium a country is able to earn over the Cotlook AIndex; these estimates are presented <strong>in</strong> the f<strong>in</strong>al column <strong>of</strong> table 7.1 <strong>and</strong> are discussed<strong>in</strong> more detail <strong>in</strong> the next chapters.96 ESTUR, POULTON, AND TSCHIRLEY

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