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Organization and Performance of Cotton Sectors in Africa ... - infoDev

Organization and Performance of Cotton Sectors in Africa ... - infoDev

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zones, prohibited movement <strong>of</strong> seed cotton across zones, <strong>and</strong> facilitated sale<strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>puts at 50 percent <strong>of</strong> cost, with the subsidy implicitly collected <strong>in</strong> theprice paid to farmers. Extension was a heavy focus <strong>in</strong> the system, with 7,000demonstration plots <strong>and</strong> tra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g days f<strong>in</strong>anced two-thirds by g<strong>in</strong>ners <strong>and</strong>one-third by the U.S. Agency for International Development. The consensusamong g<strong>in</strong>ners <strong>and</strong> observers was that <strong>in</strong>put supply <strong>and</strong> extension would bedrastically reduced if the zona system, or some variant <strong>of</strong> it, was not <strong>in</strong> place.Despite these major efforts at <strong>in</strong>put supply <strong>and</strong> extension, production <strong>in</strong>Ug<strong>and</strong>a did not consistently rise above 20,000 to 25,000 tons <strong>of</strong> l<strong>in</strong>t. In h<strong>in</strong>dsight,it appears clear that a short-lived production boom <strong>in</strong> 2004 <strong>and</strong> 2005 wasprimarily due to high prices <strong>in</strong> the two preced<strong>in</strong>g years (Baffes, backgroundpaper on Ug<strong>and</strong>a, 2007). As a result <strong>of</strong> the <strong>in</strong>ability to boost production, stakeholders<strong>in</strong> 2007 decided to ab<strong>and</strong>on the zonal quota system, though it is notclear at this po<strong>in</strong>t what has replaced that system.Under Tanzania’s passbook system <strong>in</strong>troduced <strong>in</strong> 2003, farmers sell<strong>in</strong>g cottonreceive a stamp <strong>in</strong> their passbooks that entitles them to seed or chemicals 50the next year proportional to the amount <strong>of</strong> cotton they sold. For most farmers,the entitlement amounts to one or two chemical sprays <strong>and</strong> some seed (notenough for a full plant<strong>in</strong>g) the follow<strong>in</strong>g year. The system is funded by a levypaid by g<strong>in</strong>ners to CDF, which funds the importation <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>secticides by privatecompanies. Field <strong>in</strong>terviews by Poulton <strong>and</strong> Maro (2007) suggest that the systemhas been “one contributory factor toward the major resurgence <strong>in</strong> cottonproduction <strong>in</strong> 2004 <strong>and</strong> 2005,” but the authors conclude that “the system canmake only a limited contribution to the <strong>in</strong>tensification <strong>of</strong> cotton production <strong>in</strong>Tanzania,” because it can f<strong>in</strong>ance only limited <strong>in</strong>secticide sprays <strong>and</strong> no fertilizerapplications, <strong>and</strong> it does noth<strong>in</strong>g to provide extension assistance.Geographical factors may provide some explanation for why these twocountries, with very similar prereform histories <strong>and</strong> nearly identical structuresafter reform, chose (for a time) such different approaches to solv<strong>in</strong>g the <strong>in</strong>putcredit <strong>and</strong> extension problem. As long as the north <strong>of</strong> Ug<strong>and</strong>a was closed, thescope for exp<strong>and</strong><strong>in</strong>g cotton production under a low <strong>in</strong>put approach was farlower than <strong>in</strong> Tanzania. G<strong>in</strong>ners <strong>in</strong> Ug<strong>and</strong>a were thus forced to <strong>in</strong>crease production<strong>in</strong> relatively small areas already under production. The fact that thesector ab<strong>and</strong>oned the quota system at the same time that the north began toopen up lends some support to this argument.CONCENTRATED, MARKET-BASED SECTORS: ZIMBABWEAND ZAMBIA PERFORM WELL ON INPUT CREDIT ANDEXTENSION, BUT FACE INSTABILITYThe two countries <strong>in</strong> ESA with s<strong>in</strong>gle-channel market<strong>in</strong>g systems before reformma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong>ed relatively concentrated sectors for several years after reform. Each hasperformed much better on <strong>in</strong>put provision <strong>and</strong> extension than have Tanzania<strong>and</strong> Ug<strong>and</strong>a. However, each has faced substantial structural <strong>in</strong>stability that hasaffected both services.INPUT CREDIT AND EXTENSION 77

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