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Organization and Performance of Cotton Sectors in Africa ... - infoDev

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efore plant<strong>in</strong>g, price risk <strong>in</strong> the short run is borne by the cotton companiesthat will have problems operat<strong>in</strong>g pr<strong>of</strong>itably if market prices dur<strong>in</strong>g the seasonfall below the level <strong>of</strong> the announced price. In the long term, taxpayers <strong>and</strong>donors also carry risk because the companies may need to be f<strong>in</strong>ancially supportedby the governments. Follow<strong>in</strong>g the cotton price decl<strong>in</strong>e <strong>of</strong> the late1980s, along with an overvalued Communauté Française d’Afrique (CFA)franc, several cotton companies had to be bailed out; the f<strong>in</strong>ancial difficulties<strong>of</strong> most cotton companies <strong>in</strong> the region s<strong>in</strong>ce the end <strong>of</strong> the 1990s are similarto the problems experienced at that time.PRICING MECHANISMS IN ESABefore the reforms <strong>of</strong> the early 1990s, cotton pric<strong>in</strong>g mechanisms <strong>in</strong> ESAclosely resembled those <strong>of</strong> WCA <strong>in</strong> that a cotton parastatal (or cooperativeunions <strong>in</strong> Tanzania <strong>and</strong> Ug<strong>and</strong>a) was the sole buyer <strong>of</strong> cotton at a preannounced,panseasonal, <strong>and</strong> panterritorial price. Follow<strong>in</strong>g reform, pric<strong>in</strong>gmechanisms <strong>in</strong> the region became more market l<strong>in</strong>ked, flexible, <strong>and</strong> diverse, <strong>in</strong>l<strong>in</strong>e with the diverse sectoral types that have emerged (table 5.2). No country<strong>in</strong> the region operates a stabilization fund, nor have any generated sectorwidedeficits that the government had to cover.Mozambique operates the only local monopoly system <strong>in</strong> the region <strong>and</strong> isthe only country that ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong>s a fully adm<strong>in</strong>istered, panseasonal, <strong>and</strong> panterritorialprice. The government’s role <strong>in</strong> price sett<strong>in</strong>g is strong <strong>in</strong> Mozambique,<strong>in</strong> part because <strong>of</strong> the very weak state <strong>of</strong> farmer organizations <strong>in</strong> thecountry. In Zambia <strong>and</strong> Zimbabwe’s concentrated sectors, preplant<strong>in</strong>g priceshave been ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong>ed, but this practice reflects bus<strong>in</strong>ess decisions by thedom<strong>in</strong>ant firms as they exercise price leadership <strong>in</strong> the sector; the governmenthas no say <strong>in</strong> pric<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> either country. 44 Prices paid to farmers throughoutthe region are much more strongly l<strong>in</strong>ked to medium-term, <strong>and</strong> even shortterm,movements <strong>in</strong> the Cotlook A Index than they are <strong>in</strong> WCA. The way <strong>in</strong>which this l<strong>in</strong>kage happens varies greatly, however. For example, prices <strong>in</strong>Zambia largely adjust only year to year as a result <strong>of</strong> price leadership byDunavant, while <strong>in</strong> Tanzania <strong>and</strong> more recently <strong>in</strong> Zimbabwe (because <strong>of</strong>escalat<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>flation), they fluctuate throughout the market<strong>in</strong>g season. Even <strong>in</strong>Ug<strong>and</strong>a’s hybrid system, which attempts to elim<strong>in</strong>ate competition amongfirms, prices vary over the course <strong>of</strong> the market<strong>in</strong>g season.COMPARING PRICING PERFORMANCE AT THE FARMER LEVELTable 5.3 shows the share <strong>of</strong> the FOT l<strong>in</strong>t price received by farmers <strong>in</strong> each <strong>of</strong> thestudy countries over the period 1990–2005. Producer prices for seed cotton areadjusted to l<strong>in</strong>t equivalent us<strong>in</strong>g the average g<strong>in</strong>n<strong>in</strong>g outturn ratio, <strong>and</strong> any <strong>in</strong>putcosts borne by the companies are added to this result, to show the net valuereceived by farmers. The Cotlook A Index is then adjusted to FOT on the basis <strong>of</strong>68 BAFFES, TSCHIRLEY, AND GERGELY

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