A Closer Examination of the HIV/Fertility Linkage ... - Measure DHS

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2. Trends in fertility desiresAgain as in Zimbabwe, the stated ideal number of children slows its decline with the slowing ofthe decline in the TFR (Figure 10). This measure appears to drop a great deal between1988/1989 and 1995, after which the decline is less marked; the ideal number of children evenappears to have grown between 2000/2001 and 2006. From an overall average of 6.5 children in1988/1989, this drops to 4.8 in 2000/2001, but then remains constant until 2006.Figure 10: Trends in stated ideal number of children, by age group, Uganda 1988-20068.07.57.01988/198919952000/20012006Ideal Number of Children6.56.05.55.04.54.015-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49Age Group24
3. Trends in fertility action: marital status, sexual activity, contraceptive use, and birth spacingMarriage rates for all women show a fluctuating pattern in Uganda (Figure 11). Between1988/1989 and 1995 the percentage of women who are married increases for all age groups, froman overall percentage of 54% to 64%. After this increase, however, the overall percentagemarried drops to 45% in 2000/2001, and then rises again to 49% in 2006. These fluctuationscould be the result of lack of partners, social programs to prevent HIV, or other factors.Examination of this measure by age shows that in 2006 women over age 24 are more likely to becurrently married than their 2000/2001 counterparts.80%Figure 11: Trends in percentage of women who are currently married, by age group,Uganda 1988-200670%60%Percentage of Women50%40%30%20%1988/198919952000/2001200610%0%15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49Age Group25
Page 2 and 3: The DHS Working Papers series is an
Page 4 and 5: ACKNOWLEDGEMENTSWe have benefited f
Page 7 and 8: INTRODUCTIONRecent research has sug
Page 9 and 10: Figure 1: Fertility behavior respon
Page 11 and 12: worry about passing the virus to an
Page 13 and 14: Changes in fertility outcomes: Whet
Page 15 and 16: of the increased likelihood of pass
Page 17 and 18: 12 percent. Reductions in fertility
Page 19 and 20: Actions to put fertility desires in
Page 21 and 22: Zimbabwe1. Trends in HIV prevalence
Page 23 and 24: Figure 3: Trend in ideal number of
Page 25 and 26: Figure 5: Trends in sexual activity
Page 27 and 28: Finally, to understand whether wome
Page 29: Uganda1. Trends in HIV prevalence a
Page 33 and 34: Modern contraceptive use is growing
Page 35 and 36: Figure 15: Trends in number of mont
Page 37 and 38: 2. Trends in fertility desiresWomen
Page 39 and 40: Figure 19: Trends in sexual activit
Page 41 and 42: 4. Summary for Burkina FasoIn many
Page 43 and 44: CONCLUSIONSThis paper has investiga
Page 45 and 46: REFERENCESCasterline EL. 2003. Fert

A Closer Examination of the HIV/Fertility Linkage ... - Measure DHS

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