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A Closer Examination of the HIV/Fertility Linkage ... - Measure DHS

A Closer Examination of the HIV/Fertility Linkage ... - Measure DHS

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<strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> increased likelihood <strong>of</strong> passing on <strong>the</strong> disease to <strong>the</strong>ir children, and because <strong>the</strong>y are morelikely than younger women to be aware that <strong>the</strong>y are infected. This research shows nocorrelation between sero-positive status and trends in fertility desires, and only a weakassociation between <strong>the</strong> stage <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> epidemic and fertility trends.2.2. Spermatozoa productionA second biological linkage between <strong>HIV</strong> infection and fertility arises through <strong>the</strong> male partner.<strong>HIV</strong> is linked to lower production <strong>of</strong> sperm but not semen (see UNPD 2002). If a large portion<strong>of</strong> men produce non-viable sperm, <strong>the</strong>n fertility levels may decline regardless <strong>of</strong> o<strong>the</strong>rmechanisms.2.3. DeathIf a woman dies from <strong>HIV</strong>, <strong>the</strong>n obviously she cannot bear future children. At <strong>the</strong> aggregatelevel, higher death rates from <strong>HIV</strong>/AIDS can play an important role in reducing fertility levels.Earlier research on <strong>the</strong> linkage between <strong>HIV</strong> and fertility focused predominantly on this aspect(Gregson 1994). In times <strong>of</strong> high AIDS-related mortality, this effect <strong>of</strong> <strong>HIV</strong> on fertility coulddampen <strong>the</strong> crude birth rate.A more nuanced mechanism by which <strong>HIV</strong>-related mortality could affect not just <strong>the</strong>crude birth rate but also age-specific fertility rates is via fertility-selected death. Seropositivewomen may have lower fertility due to <strong>the</strong> accompanying STIs; before <strong>the</strong> <strong>HIV</strong> epidemic, <strong>the</strong>seSTIs were not correlated with death. However, during <strong>the</strong> epidemic <strong>the</strong>se women are also morelikely to die, leaving higher-fertility women as a greater percentage <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> population.Alternatively, women with <strong>HIV</strong> may be more likely to be <strong>the</strong> ones with higher fertility in a9

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