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Classical Islamic Paradigms of Deterrence and their Expression in ...

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deterrence strategy must address weaknesses <strong>and</strong> fallacies <strong>in</strong> martyrdom culture. Externally, the credibility<strong>of</strong> the threat <strong>of</strong> retaliation must be <strong>in</strong>timidat<strong>in</strong>g enough to stop the enemy from major hostile actions.Thus, the first question is: does the message reach him? Sub-state actors such as terrorists vary <strong>in</strong> <strong>their</strong>characteristics <strong>and</strong> are difficult to reach. It is much more difficult to develop a deterrence policy aga<strong>in</strong>stMuslim sub-state actors than aga<strong>in</strong>st Muslim state actors. Regional affiliates <strong>of</strong> al-Qaeda stretch from theCaucasus via Central Asia, over the Indian subcont<strong>in</strong>ent, North <strong>and</strong> central Africa, the Arab Middle East <strong>and</strong>Europe. There are numerous networks with clear organizational affiliation as well as small cells <strong>and</strong> even<strong>in</strong>dividuals who adhere to al-Qaeda’s terrorist doctr<strong>in</strong>e <strong>of</strong> global jihad. The common denom<strong>in</strong>ator <strong>of</strong> thesub-state actors is <strong>their</strong> broader ideology, which repeats basic arguments <strong>and</strong> appeal to <strong>in</strong>ternal fears <strong>and</strong>sense <strong>of</strong> devotion. This <strong>in</strong>cludes central fundamentalist myths which serve as glue for Muslim collectiveidentity <strong>and</strong> sense <strong>of</strong> community.In a legal conceptual sense neither specific deterrence, nor general deterrence or <strong>in</strong>capacitation is reallysuccessful aga<strong>in</strong>st jihadi foes. The deterr<strong>in</strong>g factor lies on a collective psychological level. This means, thatone has to meditate the roots <strong>and</strong> causes that make religious terrorists tick. In that sense, one can fight afire with fire. Yet, one has to be very careful not to ignite a wildfire. Jihadi terrorists know very well how toactivate fears <strong>of</strong> Muslims by "div<strong>in</strong>e orders <strong>and</strong> punishment," conspiracy discourses around westernimperialism, anti-semitism, exploitation <strong>of</strong> western military policies; <strong>and</strong> jihadis know how to frightenWesterners by threats <strong>of</strong> <strong>and</strong> perpetration <strong>of</strong> terrorist attacks, which are justified by theological argumentsthat look totally irrational to Western eyes. Acts <strong>of</strong> terrorism are mostly directed at third party actors. Thus,Western <strong>and</strong> Muslim civilians are the victims. As a sad matter <strong>of</strong> fact, they only serve as <strong>in</strong>termediaries tocommunicate a message to the hard targets, i.e. politicians <strong>and</strong> militaries.Words mean<strong>in</strong>g "fear <strong>and</strong> fright" appear 296 times <strong>in</strong> more than 250 verses <strong>of</strong> the Qur'an. Conceptually,these can be split up <strong>in</strong>to abstract, concrete, <strong>in</strong>ternal, external <strong>and</strong> deterr<strong>in</strong>g forms <strong>of</strong> fear. In jihadi belief,correct faith equals militant jihad. Basic <strong>in</strong>junctions on faith, which tell about fear <strong>and</strong> punishment, are<strong>in</strong>terpreted <strong>in</strong> a jihadi sense. The second chapter <strong>of</strong> the Qur'an can serve here as an example. "This is theBook; <strong>in</strong> it is guidance sure, without doubt, to those who fear Allah [muttaq<strong>in</strong>, noun: ittiqa']; […] As to thosewho reject Faith […]great is the penalty ['adhab] they (<strong>in</strong>cur)." 62 The concept <strong>of</strong> fear from God’s punishmentfor misbehavior is concretized <strong>in</strong> another verse <strong>of</strong> the same chapter, as it is projected on the hell-fire, thatsays "then fear [fa-ttaqu] the Fire whose fuel is men <strong>and</strong> stones,- which is prepared for those who rejectFaith." 63The psychological construction <strong>of</strong> deterrence <strong>in</strong> (Sunni-) Islam <strong>and</strong> among its radical sub-sects relies on tw<strong>of</strong>actors. Firstly, <strong>in</strong>ternal abstract fear makes followers obey <strong>and</strong> is generally based on "fear from hell-fire"(khauf (m<strong>in</strong> al-nar)) as well as the more specific fear to break obligations to God (bay'at Allah; ittiqa' Allah)– The <strong>Islamic</strong> credo itself is an oath <strong>of</strong> loyalty to Islam, God <strong>and</strong> his messenger Muhammad, which is takenmost seriously by devout Muslims. As third <strong>and</strong> fourth conceptual elements, there are fears that arelevered aga<strong>in</strong>st the enemy. These concepts carry the names "<strong>in</strong>timidat<strong>in</strong>g fright" (ra'b) <strong>in</strong> an abstract <strong>and</strong>terror (irhab) <strong>in</strong> a more concrete sense. Both concepts <strong>of</strong> fear, the own fear <strong>of</strong> obedience <strong>and</strong> the fear <strong>of</strong>harm levered aga<strong>in</strong>st an enemy, form a strategic meta-category which is called "deterrence" (rad').To underst<strong>and</strong> the <strong>in</strong>ternal abstract <strong>and</strong> concrete fears <strong>of</strong> Muslims is essential for policy makers who wantto develop deterrence strategies as well as peace plans. One must not undervalue the <strong>in</strong>sights which result62 Surat al-Baqara 2:2-7, Yusuf Ali translation, (Accessed May 15, 2012) -http://www.searchtruth.com/chapter_display.php?chapter=2&translator=2#263 Qur'an Surat al-Baqara 2:24, Yusuf Ali translation, (Accessed May 15, 2012) -http://www.searchtruth.com/chapter_display.php?chapter=2&translator=2#2419

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