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Zambia Demographic and Health Survey 2001-2002 - Measure DHS

Zambia Demographic and Health Survey 2001-2002 - Measure DHS

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where h represents the stratum which varies from 1 to H,m h is the total number of enumeration areas selected in the h th stratum,y hi is the sum of the values of variable y in EA i in the h th stratum,x hi is the sum of the number of cases in EA i in the h th stratum, <strong>and</strong>f is the overall sampling fraction, which is so small that it is ignored.The Jackknife repeated replication method derives estimates of complex rates from each ofseveral replications of the parent sample, <strong>and</strong> calculates st<strong>and</strong>ard errors for these estimates using simpleformulae. Each replication considers all but one cluster in the calculation of the estimates. Pseudoindependentreplications are thus created. In the <strong>2001</strong>-<strong>2002</strong> Z<strong>DHS</strong>, there were 320 nonempty clusters(PSUs). Hence, 320 replications were created. The variance of a rate r is calculated as follows:k212SE () r = var() r = ∑ ( ri− r)kk ( − 1)i=1in whichwhere rr (i)kr i = kr − (k − 1 ) r (i)is the estimate computed from the full sample of 320 clusters,is the estimate computed from the reduced sample of 319 clusters (i th clusterexcluded), <strong>and</strong>is the total number of clusters.In addition to the st<strong>and</strong>ard error, ISSAS computes the design effect (DEFT) for each estimate,which is defined as the ratio between the st<strong>and</strong>ard error using the given sample design <strong>and</strong> the st<strong>and</strong>arderror that would result if a simple r<strong>and</strong>om sample had been used. A DEFT value of 1.0 indicates that thesample design is as efficient as a simple r<strong>and</strong>om sample, while a value greater than 1.0 indicates theincrease in the sampling error due to the use of a more complex <strong>and</strong> less statistically efficient design.ISSAS also computes the relative error <strong>and</strong> confidence limits for the estimates.Sampling errors for the <strong>2001</strong>-<strong>2002</strong> Z<strong>DHS</strong> women <strong>and</strong> men are calculated for selected variablesconsidered to be of primary interest including HIV <strong>and</strong> syphilis prevalence. The results are presented inthis appendix for the country as a whole, for urban <strong>and</strong> rural areas, <strong>and</strong> for each of the 9 subdomains(provinces) in the country. For each variable, the type of statistic (mean, proportion, or rate) <strong>and</strong> the basepopulation are given in Table B.1. Tables B.2 to B.13 present the value of the statistic (R), its st<strong>and</strong>arderror (SE), the number of unweighted (N) <strong>and</strong> weighted (WN) cases, the design effect (DEFT), therelative st<strong>and</strong>ard error (SE/R), <strong>and</strong> the 95 percent confidence limits (R±2SE) for each variable. TheDEFT is considered undefined when the st<strong>and</strong>ard error considering simple r<strong>and</strong>om sample is zero (whenthe estimate is close to 0 or 1).In general, the relative st<strong>and</strong>ard error for most estimates for the country as a whole is small,except for estimates of very small proportions. There are some differentials in the relative st<strong>and</strong>ard errorfor the estimates of subpopulations. For example, for the variable “currently using any contraceptivemethod” for currently married women age 15-49, the relative st<strong>and</strong>ard errors as a percentage of theestimated mean for the whole country, for urban areas, <strong>and</strong> for rural areas are 2.5 percent, 3.6 percent, <strong>and</strong>3.2 percent, respectively.The confidence interval (e.g., as calculated for “currently using any contraceptive method” forcurrently married women age 15-49) can be interpreted as follows: the overall national sample proportionis 0.342 <strong>and</strong> its st<strong>and</strong>ard error is 0.009. Therefore, to obtain the 95 percent confidence limits, one adds<strong>and</strong> subtracts twice the st<strong>and</strong>ard error to the sample estimate, i.e. 0.342±2(0.009). There is a highprobability (95 percent) that the true average proportion of contraceptive use for currently married womenage 15-49 is between 0.325 <strong>and</strong> 0.359.260 | Appendix B

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