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Zambia Demographic and Health Survey 2001-2002 - Measure DHS

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Table 7.7 shows the total wanted fertility rates <strong>and</strong>total actual fertility rates for the three years preceding thesurvey, by selected background characteristics. The wantedfertility is calculated in the same manner as the totalfertility rate, but unwanted births are excluded from thenumerator. For this purpose, unwanted births are definedas those that exceed the number considered ideal by therespondent. (Women who did not report a numeric idealfamily size were assumed to want all their births). The raterepresents the level of fertility that would have prevailed inthe three years preceding the survey if all unwanted birthswere prevented. A comparison of the total wanted fertility<strong>and</strong> actual total fertility rate suggests the potential demographicimpact of the elimination of unwanted births.The wanted fertility rate has decreased from 5.4 in1992 to 5.2 in 1996 <strong>and</strong> to 4.9 in <strong>2001</strong>-<strong>2002</strong>. There is adifference of one child between the wanted fertility rate<strong>and</strong> the actual total fertility rate. If the desired fertility ratesfor rural <strong>and</strong> urban areas were realised, the fertility levelwould be 5.8 births <strong>and</strong> 3.4 births per woman, respectively.This means that there would be about one child fewer perwoman in both rural <strong>and</strong> urban areas.Lusaka has the lowest wanted <strong>and</strong> actual fertilityrates of 3.5 <strong>and</strong> 4.3 respectively, while Luapula has thehighest wanted <strong>and</strong> actual fertility rates of 6.2 <strong>and</strong> 7.3respectively. In addition to Luapula, women in Eastern,Northern, North-Western <strong>and</strong> Western provinces havewanted fertility rates that are above the national average,while the rates for women in Central, Lusaka, Copperbelt<strong>and</strong> Southern provinces are below the national average. OnTable 7.7 Wanted fertility ratesTotal wanted fertility rates <strong>and</strong> total fertility ratesfor the three years preceding the survey, bybackground characteristics, <strong>Zambia</strong> <strong>2001</strong>-<strong>2002</strong>BackgroundcharacteristicTotalwantedfertility rateTotalfertilityrateResidenceUrban 3.4 4.3Rural 5.8 6.9ProvinceCentral 4.8 6.2Copperbelt 3.7 4.5Eastern 5.9 6.8Luapula 6.2 7.3Lusaka 3.5 4.3Northern 6.0 6.9North-Western 6.1 6.8Southern 4.7 6.1Western 5.4 6.4EducationNo education 6.6 7.4Primary 5.5 6.5Secondary or higher 3.0 3.9All women 4.9 5.9Note: Rates are calculated based on births towomen age 15-49 in the period 1-36 monthspreceding the survey. The total fertility rates arethe same as those presented in Table 4.2.the other h<strong>and</strong>, only Copperbelt <strong>and</strong> Lusaka have actual total fertility rates that are below that of thenational average. Southern <strong>and</strong> Central provinces have the largest gaps between wanted <strong>and</strong> actualfertility.Women’s education has a negative relationship with levels of both wanted <strong>and</strong> actual fertility.Women with no education have the highest wanted fertility rate (6.6), while those with at least somesecondary education have the lowest with wanted fertility (3.0).Fertility Preferences <strong>and</strong> Unmet Need │ 115

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