From poverty to power - Oxfam-Québec
From poverty to power - Oxfam-Québec From poverty to power - Oxfam-Québec
ANNEX HOW CHANGE HAPPENSinstitutions and agents have some limited (especially in developingcountries) control over these contextual factors, while the solid arrowsshow that such factors have an immediate and important impact oninstitutions and agents. Understanding these wider components helpsus understand the constraints and possibilities for building activecitizenship and an effective, accountable state.FIGURE 7.1: HOW CHANGE HAPPENSCONTEXTDEMOGRAPHICTECHNOLOGICALCHANGEINSTITUTIONSincludingeffective statesENVIRONMENTGLOBALISATIONAGENTSincludingactive citizensCULTURALWARECONOMICCRISESELECTIONSNATURALDISASTERSEVENTS437
FROM POVERTY TO POWERTHE DYNAMICS OF CHANGEThe components of change combine and interact, creating a complexpathway that involves peaks and troughs of activity and differentcombinations of context, institutions, agents, and events. Changeprocesses are highly complex and unpredictable, but some of thefollowing dynamics may well be involved:Cumulative and sequential progress: Much change is slow and, fromclose up, may appear inconsequential. Over the longer term, however,changes such as the evolving notion of human rights, or attitudes toviolence against women, have profound consequences. Moreover,change processes are sequences: one event or shift leads to another,creating a unique ‘pathway of change’ that is usually very hard topredict, but which can be analysed in hindsight. Often, citizens’organisationsinteract with states in an iterative fashion, pressing for andresponding to reforms.Chaotic change: Just as in the physics of ‘catastrophes’, some socialand political change is discontinuous, as a series of factors move mattersto a sudden ‘tipping point’. 4 The process resembles an earthquake –the devastating outcome of an imperceptible build-up in pressurebetween tectonic plates far below the Earth’s surface. The question forwould-be ‘change agents’ is how they can get better at identifying (andinfluencing) such ‘edge of chaos’ situations.More predictable change moments: On the spectrum between longterm,gradual evolution and catastrophic revolution lie foreseeablechange moments. These include elections and the deaths of entrenchedleaders, as well as processes such as post-conflict reconstruction,which typically offer a much greater likelihood of reform, but also agreater probability that reforms will be reversed and the country willslide back into conflict. 5Change often coalesces around inspirational ideas and individuals:Oxfam’s programme experience in numerous countries attests to theimportance of leadership at all levels. Leaders can give words anddirection to broad discontent or to desire for change. Ideas and wordscan play a similar catalytic role, which is why campaigners and politiciansdevote such attention to what are often decried as soundbitesand slogans.438
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- Page 462 and 463: NOTESPART 1: INTRODUCTION1 The infa
- Page 464 and 465: NOTESPART 2: POWER AND POLITICS1 J.
- Page 466 and 467: NOTES82 J. Beall and S. Fox (2006)
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- Page 470 and 471: NOTES73 See also DFID (2005) ‘Gro
- Page 472 and 473: NOTES139 Author interview, December
- Page 474 and 475: NOTES10 Sources for Figure 4.2: Chi
- Page 476 and 477: NOTES63 WHO (2006) ‘Cumulative Nu
- Page 478 and 479: NOTES124 K. Annan (2005) ‘In Larg
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- Page 482 and 483: NOTES66 H.-J. Chang (2001) ‘Insti
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- Page 486 and 487: NOTES192 United Nations (2005) ‘W
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- Page 490 and 491: BIBLIOGRAPHYArcand, J.L. (2004) in
- Page 492 and 493: BIBLIOGRAPHYCastillo, G. and M. Bro
- Page 494 and 495: BIBLIOGRAPHYCozijnsen, J., D. Dudek
- Page 496 and 497: BIBLIOGRAPHYFerreira, F.H.G., P.G.
- Page 498 and 499: BIBLIOGRAPHYGreen, D. (2003) Silent
- Page 500 and 501: BIBLIOGRAPHYInternational Food Poli
- Page 502 and 503: BIBLIOGRAPHYLiu, J. and J. Diamond
ANNEX HOW CHANGE HAPPENSinstitutions and agents have some limited (especially in developingcountries) control over these contextual fac<strong>to</strong>rs, while the solid arrowsshow that such fac<strong>to</strong>rs have an immediate and important impact oninstitutions and agents. Understanding these wider components helpsus understand the constraints and possibilities for building activecitizenship and an effective, accountable state.FIGURE 7.1: HOW CHANGE HAPPENSCONTEXTDEMOGRAPHICTECHNOLOGICALCHANGEINSTITUTIONSincludingeffective statesENVIRONMENTGLOBALISATIONAGENTSincludingactive citizensCULTURALWARECONOMICCRISESELECTIONSNATURALDISASTERSEVENTS437