From poverty to power - Oxfam-Québec
From poverty to power - Oxfam-Québec From poverty to power - Oxfam-Québec
4 RISK AND VULNERABILITY CLIMATE CHANGEclimate risk into development plans, governance at local, regional, andnational levels must be strengthened; information systems to accuratelyforecast and monitor climate impacts must be established; technologiesmust be developed or adapted for changing local conditions; andinfrastructure and ecosystems such as forests must be protected.In planning and implementing climate adaptation, local andnational governments must ensure that adaptation initiatives givepriority to those people most vulnerable to climate risks. That meanstaking account of the different impacts of climate change on womenand men, and likewise understanding the impacts on and needs ofindigenous communities. Rural women and indigenous communitiesgenerally face more climate risks because of their intense dependenceon natural resources. However, their knowledge of biodiversity andthe options for managing it in times of stress will be essential forspurring innovative approaches, and so their involvement must lie atthe heart of successful plans to adapt.On Nicaragua’s Atlantic Coast, the traditional authorities of theMiskitu Indians are trying to remedy some of the damage alreadycaused by climate change. The community’s long-standing equilibriumwith the forest was based on its ability to forecast the weather and soknow when to plant crops,but that predictability has gone.‘The summernow is winter. April used to be summer, but it rained all month. Now,in May (winter) it doesn’t rain. We listen to the thunder, we see thelightning that should let us know the rain is coming, but it is not’, saysMarciano Washington, a farmer on the bank of Coco River. ‘We can’tdepend on nature any more. We don’t know when to plant our crops.’The traditional indigenous authorities, along with a local NGO,Christian Medical Action (CMA), are introducing an early-warningsystem to monitor rainfall and river levels, in order to provide thatinformation in a format useful for the community’s way of life.Effective state action on adaptation may also call for a reconsiderationof wider economic policies, such as land ownership and use.Economic reforms in Viet Nam, for example, have seen public mangroveforests along the coast replaced by private shrimp farms, which havebrought income to some but at the same time have curtailed poorpeople’s livelihood options and destroyed vital natural buffers againststorm surges. The increasing income inequalities that have resulted265
FROM POVERTY TO POWERfrom this have also undermined the solidarity that previously helpedto ensure the communal maintenance of dykes, thus exposing coastalvillages to climate-related rises in sea levels. 110 In the absence of publiclyplanned adaptation based on broad consultation, private responseswill occur instead and these may well exacerbate the wider community’svulnerability to climate change.Appropriate technologies – new and old – will also be needed forpoor farmers to adapt to climate change, and will require significantnational and international agricultural research into drought- orflood-tolerant varieties of seeds. Social organisation and local landpolicy will also be essential if poor farmers are to succeed in using newseeds. In Mozambique, where climate change is expected to bring bothdrought and floods, groups of villagers have experimented withdrought-resistant varieties of rice, maize, cassava, and sweet potato.By working in groups, combining poor and better-off households andinvolving both female and male farmers, the villagers were able toshare the risks of new practices and learn for themselves through trial,error, and experimentation. These informal associations have started,with some success, to lobby local authorities responsible for landallocation so that farmers obtain parcels of land in several differentlocations. This diversification of seeds and soil strengthens theirresilience to either more drought or more floods.Climate change is the biggest threat to long-term poverty reduction– and yet reducing poverty is essential in equipping poor people todeal with unavoidable climate impacts. As the evidence of climatechange accumulates, the necessity for urgent action to tackle itbecomes undeniable. Climate change is not a linear or reversibleprocess, but it appears to have a number of unpredictable ‘tippingpoints’ that, once passed, could have catastrophic and irreversibleconsequences. It is in no country’s long-term interest to wait untilmillions of people are tipped over the edge into climate disaster.As the Stern Report confirmed in 2006, 111 mitigation – rapid cutsin emissions to avoid catastrophic climate change – is essential andurgent. However, time is not on the side of the ‘indecision-makers’who for years have stalled and delayed international agreement to act.Unless global emissions begin to decline by 2015, there is little chanceof avoiding catastrophic climate change beyond 2 o C – with devastating266
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4 RISK AND VULNERABILITY CLIMATE CHANGEclimate risk in<strong>to</strong> development plans, governance at local, regional, andnational levels must be strengthened; information systems <strong>to</strong> accuratelyforecast and moni<strong>to</strong>r climate impacts must be established; technologiesmust be developed or adapted for changing local conditions; andinfrastructure and ecosystems such as forests must be protected.In planning and implementing climate adaptation, local andnational governments must ensure that adaptation initiatives givepriority <strong>to</strong> those people most vulnerable <strong>to</strong> climate risks. That meanstaking account of the different impacts of climate change on womenand men, and likewise understanding the impacts on and needs ofindigenous communities. Rural women and indigenous communitiesgenerally face more climate risks because of their intense dependenceon natural resources. However, their knowledge of biodiversity andthe options for managing it in times of stress will be essential forspurring innovative approaches, and so their involvement must lie atthe heart of successful plans <strong>to</strong> adapt.On Nicaragua’s Atlantic Coast, the traditional authorities of theMiskitu Indians are trying <strong>to</strong> remedy some of the damage alreadycaused by climate change. The community’s long-standing equilibriumwith the forest was based on its ability <strong>to</strong> forecast the weather and soknow when <strong>to</strong> plant crops,but that predictability has gone.‘The summernow is winter. April used <strong>to</strong> be summer, but it rained all month. Now,in May (winter) it doesn’t rain. We listen <strong>to</strong> the thunder, we see thelightning that should let us know the rain is coming, but it is not’, saysMarciano Washing<strong>to</strong>n, a farmer on the bank of Coco River. ‘We can’tdepend on nature any more. We don’t know when <strong>to</strong> plant our crops.’The traditional indigenous authorities, along with a local NGO,Christian Medical Action (CMA), are introducing an early-warningsystem <strong>to</strong> moni<strong>to</strong>r rainfall and river levels, in order <strong>to</strong> provide thatinformation in a format useful for the community’s way of life.Effective state action on adaptation may also call for a reconsiderationof wider economic policies, such as land ownership and use.Economic reforms in Viet Nam, for example, have seen public mangroveforests along the coast replaced by private shrimp farms, which havebrought income <strong>to</strong> some but at the same time have curtailed poorpeople’s livelihood options and destroyed vital natural buffers againsts<strong>to</strong>rm surges. The increasing income inequalities that have resulted265