From poverty to power - Oxfam-Québec
From poverty to power - Oxfam-Québec From poverty to power - Oxfam-Québec
3 POVERTY AND WEALTH GOING FOR GROWTH30 per cent, and EU members 20 per cent, far higher than the levelscurrently being contemplated in today’s trade negotiations. 184The lesson of history is that trade liberalisation should be asymmetric:rich countries should liberalise more than poor ones,not as a ‘concession’but in recognition of the fact that optimal trade regimes evolve alongwith national economies. The correct balance between liberalisationand protection will vary between countries, and evolves as a countrydevelops. Effective states have been able to pursue a judicious combinationof the two, a task that now however is being complicated by thenature of globalisation and the proliferation of international rules ontrade and investment.BOX 3.8THE DISADVANTAGES OF COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGEThe World Bank and other advocates of trade liberalisation indeveloping countries draw heavily on economic theories ofcomparative advantage, which were first advanced in 1817 byDavid Ricardo in his book The Principles of Political Economyand Taxation. Many of today’s fervent controversies about globalisationare debates with the ghost of this nineteenth-centuryEnglish economist.Using a simple numerical example, Ricardo demonstrated thattwo countries could arrive at a higher level of wealth by stickingto producing those goods that had a ‘comparative advantage’over other alternatives (broadly, those goods that were relativelymore efficient), then trading those goods with other countries,rather than trying to produce all goods for themselves. At a timewhen trade was widely viewed as a zero-sum game, Ricardo’swas an idea with revolutionary implications.Applied crudely, as it often is in current debates on trade liberalisation,the theory is of limited value. What Ricardo created wasa static model that encouraged countries with a particular mix ofskills and resources to focus on those. But skills and resourcesare not fixed in time. If they were, the USA would never havemoved beyond its comparative advantage in land, and would haveremained an agricultural economy. South Korea and Taiwanemerged as major industrial powers because they transformed187
FROM POVERTY TO POWERtheir comparative advantage. Thirty-five years ago, they wereprotecting themselves from imports of US steel in order to buildup a domestic industry. Today, it is the USA that seeks protectionfrom East Asian exporters. The reason: government policiesproduced changes in comparative advantage.CHINA AND THE FUTURE OF OTHER DEVELOPINGCOUNTRIESThe much commented-upon rise of China since the late 1980s hasprecipitated a tectonic shift in the global economy. China is fastbecoming the world’s factory:• The city of Shunde in the Pearl River Delta has a single giantfactory that produces 40 per cent of the world’s microwaveovens.• Shenzhen makes 70 per cent of the world’s photocopiers and80 per cent of its artificial Christmas trees.• Three out of every five buttons in the world are made inQiaotou, a dusty, dirty town in Zhejiang province that alsoships more than two million zips a day.China’s unique combination of massive scale, rock-bottom wages,high literacy, highly developed infrastructure, and political controlover labour enables it to out-compete most of its industrial rivals.China has driven down the prices of most manufactured goods, to thebenefit of consumers the world over, but has undercut other developingcountryexporters in the process.With 150 million unemployed workersconstituting an effectively infinite reserve army of labour, China cancontinue to be the world’s factory without approaching full employment(at which point wages rise and other competitors can enter themarket), leaving few crumbs for other developing countries.The impact of China may also be refuting the received wisdom thatgetting out of commodities into industry is the route to development.Booming Chinese demand has reversed the long-term decline incommodity prices and in what economists call the ‘terms of trade’between raw materials and manufactured goods, sometimes presentedas the number of bags of coffee (or barrels of oil) needed to buy a188
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FROM POVERTY TO POWERtheir comparative advantage. Thirty-five years ago, they wereprotecting themselves from imports of US steel in order <strong>to</strong> buildup a domestic industry. Today, it is the USA that seeks protectionfrom East Asian exporters. The reason: government policiesproduced changes in comparative advantage.CHINA AND THE FUTURE OF OTHER DEVELOPINGCOUNTRIESThe much commented-upon rise of China since the late 1980s hasprecipitated a tec<strong>to</strong>nic shift in the global economy. China is fastbecoming the world’s fac<strong>to</strong>ry:• The city of Shunde in the Pearl River Delta has a single giantfac<strong>to</strong>ry that produces 40 per cent of the world’s microwaveovens.• Shenzhen makes 70 per cent of the world’s pho<strong>to</strong>copiers and80 per cent of its artificial Christmas trees.• Three out of every five but<strong>to</strong>ns in the world are made inQiao<strong>to</strong>u, a dusty, dirty <strong>to</strong>wn in Zhejiang province that alsoships more than two million zips a day.China’s unique combination of massive scale, rock-bot<strong>to</strong>m wages,high literacy, highly developed infrastructure, and political controlover labour enables it <strong>to</strong> out-compete most of its industrial rivals.China has driven down the prices of most manufactured goods, <strong>to</strong> thebenefit of consumers the world over, but has undercut other developingcountryexporters in the process.With 150 million unemployed workersconstituting an effectively infinite reserve army of labour, China cancontinue <strong>to</strong> be the world’s fac<strong>to</strong>ry without approaching full employment(at which point wages rise and other competi<strong>to</strong>rs can enter themarket), leaving few crumbs for other developing countries.The impact of China may also be refuting the received wisdom thatgetting out of commodities in<strong>to</strong> industry is the route <strong>to</strong> development.Booming Chinese demand has reversed the long-term decline incommodity prices and in what economists call the ‘terms of trade’between raw materials and manufactured goods, sometimes presentedas the number of bags of coffee (or barrels of oil) needed <strong>to</strong> buy a188