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Tanzania HIV/AIDS and Malaria Indicator Survey ... - Measure DHS

Tanzania HIV/AIDS and Malaria Indicator Survey ... - Measure DHS

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Figure 4.2 Total Fertility Rates for Selected Countriesin Southeast AfricaLesotho 2004Namibia 2006-07Swazil<strong>and</strong> 2006-07Zimbabwe 2005-063.53.63.83.8Kenya 20034.9Mozambique 2003<strong>Tanzania</strong> 2007-085.55.6Zambia 2001-02Malawi 20045.96.0Ug<strong>and</strong>a 20066.70.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0Births per woman4.1.3 Trends in FertilityTrends in fertility in <strong>Tanzania</strong> can beassessed in several ways. Fertility trends can beinvestigated using retrospective data from the birthhistories collected from respondents in a singlesurvey. Another way to assess fertility trends is bycomparing estimates obtained in earlier surveys,population censuses, or vital registration data.Table 4.3 shows fertility rates estimated fromvarious surveys conducted in <strong>Tanzania</strong> since 1991:the 1991-92 T<strong>DHS</strong>, the 1996 T<strong>DHS</strong>, the 1999<strong>Tanzania</strong> Reproductive <strong>and</strong> Child Health <strong>Survey</strong>(TRCHS), the 2004-05 T<strong>DHS</strong>, <strong>and</strong> the 2007-08THMIS. The TFR has declined from 6.3 births perwoman in 1991 to 5.6 births per woman in the2007-08 THMIS. The TFR has remained about thesame since the 1996 T<strong>DHS</strong> (5.8 births), indicatingthat there has been little fertility decline for morethan a decade.Table 4.3 Trends in age-specific fertility ratesAge-specific fertility rates (per 1,000 women) <strong>and</strong> total fertilityrates from selected surveys: 1991-92 T<strong>DHS</strong>, 1996 T<strong>DHS</strong>,1999 TRCHS, 2004-05 T<strong>DHS</strong> <strong>and</strong> 2007-08 THMISAgegroupT<strong>DHS</strong>1991-92T<strong>DHS</strong>1996TRCHS1999T<strong>DHS</strong>2004-05THMIS2007-0815-19 144 135 138 132 14120-24 282 260 268 274 26625-29 270 255 240 254 25330-34 231 217 213 218 19735-39 177 167 138 156 16240-44 108 87 78 79 7845-49 37 42 37 18 24TFR 6.3 5.8 5.6 5.7 5.6Note: Rates refer to the three-year period preceding thesurvey, except for the 2002 census.4.1.4 Children Ever Born <strong>and</strong> LivingTable 4.4 shows all women <strong>and</strong> currently married women by number of children ever born,according to age. Children ever born is a measure of lifetime fertility. It reflects the accumulation ofbirths over the past 30 years among women interviewed in the survey <strong>and</strong>, therefore, its relevance tothe current fertility situation is limited. Furthermore, the data are subject to recall error, which istypically greater for older than younger women.However, the information on children ever born (or parity) is useful in looking at a number ofissues. The results show how average family size varies across age groups. The percentage of womenin their forties who have never had children also provides an indicator of the level of primary42 | Fertility <strong>and</strong> Reproductive Health

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