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geothermal power plant projects in central america - Orkustofnun

geothermal power plant projects in central america - Orkustofnun

geothermal power plant projects in central america - Orkustofnun

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NPV Capital Cash Flow 16% NPV Net Cash Flow 20%MUSD6040200-201 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32YearS<strong>in</strong>gle Flash CycleTemperature Resource: 240°CMass Flow : 300 kg/sNet <strong>power</strong> Output : 27.7 MW-40-60-80-100-120-14060S<strong>in</strong>gle Flash CycleTemperature Resource: 240°CMass Flow : 600 kg/sNet <strong>power</strong> Output : 55.5 MWMUSD40200-20-40-60-80-100-120-1401 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32YearFIGURE 41: Accumulated net present value for: a) Scenario 1 (27.7 MW): 300 kg/s and 240°C;b) Scenario 2 (55.5 MW): 600 kg/s and 240°C6.4.4 Allocation of fundsFigure 42 illustrates the allocation of funds from the <strong>in</strong>itial year through the plann<strong>in</strong>g horizon. Theallocation of funds is illustrated for two s<strong>in</strong>gle-flash <strong>power</strong> <strong>plant</strong> <strong>projects</strong>: scenario 1 for 240°C, and300 kg/s (27.7 MW); and scenario 2 for 240°C, and 300 kg/s (55.5 MW). The chart shows how paidtaxes, f<strong>in</strong>ancial cost, repayments, paid dividend and cash movement change over the plann<strong>in</strong>g horizonof 32 years.6.5 Results for multiple resource scenarios and three <strong>power</strong> <strong>plant</strong> technologiesKnowledge of the quality and quantity of the <strong>geothermal</strong> resources <strong>in</strong> question is key to the success of<strong>geothermal</strong> <strong>projects</strong>. A major problem for <strong>in</strong>vestors is that the quality and quantity of a resource canonly be estimated and not proven before explorative drill<strong>in</strong>g. In the early stages of <strong>geothermal</strong> energy<strong>projects</strong>, the risk of the resource is very high, and explorative drill<strong>in</strong>g is very expensive (Wendel andHiegl, 2010). In consequence, the feasibility of a project can only be recognized if the coupled flowrate and temperature accomplish the expectations of the <strong>in</strong>vestors.The contour maps of IRRs of FCFE from three technologies of <strong>power</strong> <strong>plant</strong> <strong>in</strong>vestment are presented<strong>in</strong> this section. This k<strong>in</strong>d of contour map can be a practical tool for decision makers <strong>in</strong> order toevaluate the project profitability for different expected <strong>geothermal</strong> resources. Based on the contourl<strong>in</strong>es, an <strong>in</strong>vestor who knows the results of a <strong>geothermal</strong> field evaluation can identify the profitabilitymeasures. Previously selected as the discount rate <strong>in</strong> Section 6.3.7, the MARR for equity required for a<strong>geothermal</strong> <strong>in</strong>vestor is 20%; the MARR for a <strong>geothermal</strong> project is 16%.50

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