12.07.2015 Views

geothermal power plant projects in central america - Orkustofnun

geothermal power plant projects in central america - Orkustofnun

geothermal power plant projects in central america - Orkustofnun

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS
  • No tags were found...

You also want an ePaper? Increase the reach of your titles

YUMPU automatically turns print PDFs into web optimized ePapers that Google loves.

IRR30%25%IRR CapitalIRR Equity20%S<strong>in</strong>gle Flash CycleTemperature Resource: 240°CMass Flow : 300 kg/sNet <strong>power</strong> Output : 27.7 MW15%10%5%0%1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33YearIRR30%25%20%S<strong>in</strong>gle Flash CycleTemperature Resource: 240°CMass Flow : 600 kg/sNet <strong>power</strong> Output : 55.5 MW15%10%5%0%1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33YearFIGURE 40: IRRs for project and equity for: a) Scenario 1 (27.7 MW): 300 kg/s and 240°C;b) Scenario 2 (55.5 MW): 600 kg/s and 240°CThe IRR graph could help to def<strong>in</strong>e the horizon plan needed for consideration of a viable project. Asshown <strong>in</strong> Figure 40, IRR rises rapidly <strong>in</strong> the beg<strong>in</strong>n<strong>in</strong>g, then slows down and <strong>in</strong> the end rema<strong>in</strong>s thesame year after year. This plann<strong>in</strong>g horizon analysis also can be done us<strong>in</strong>g the NPV charts, becausethe IRR is a related concept to NPV; IRR is def<strong>in</strong>ed as the discount rate for when NPV is equal tozero.6.4.3 Accumulated Net Present ValueThe accumulated NPVs are shown <strong>in</strong> Figure 41. In this analysis, future cash flows are discounted byappropriate discount rates. Discount<strong>in</strong>g the CCFs with the MARR for a project reflects the NPV of the<strong>in</strong>vestment at the firm level and discount<strong>in</strong>g the FCFEs with the MARR of equity reflects the NPV ofthe <strong>in</strong>vestment at the equity level.As seen <strong>in</strong> Figure 40, a large size project will first reach a positive NPV, and <strong>in</strong>dicates that this projecthas a lower risk. The NPV of CCF and NPV of FCFE are positive over the plann<strong>in</strong>g horizon for thetwo different sized developments. In both <strong>geothermal</strong> developments the loan received, which is for70% of the <strong>in</strong>vestment cost and work<strong>in</strong>g capital, is paid over 10 years after operations beg<strong>in</strong>, but thetwo <strong>geothermal</strong> developments meet the return requirement at different periods of time. The necessarypayback period for recover<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>vestments is lower for the project than for the equity <strong>in</strong>vestors.49

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!