12.07.2015 Views

geothermal power plant projects in central america - Orkustofnun

geothermal power plant projects in central america - Orkustofnun

geothermal power plant projects in central america - Orkustofnun

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS
  • No tags were found...

Create successful ePaper yourself

Turn your PDF publications into a flip-book with our unique Google optimized e-Paper software.

Interest on loansFleischmann (2007) <strong>in</strong>cluded <strong>in</strong> the f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g issues for <strong>in</strong>dependent <strong>geothermal</strong> developers itemssuch as: construction f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g (<strong>in</strong>terest rates may be up to 10% or more and the construction lenderrequires a take-out guarantee at commission<strong>in</strong>g); and term f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g (usually based on 30% equity,IRR <strong>in</strong> the high teens, <strong>in</strong>terest 7% or more for 15 years). Hance (as cited <strong>in</strong> IEA, 2011b) states thatwhen consider<strong>in</strong>g <strong>geothermal</strong> development, <strong>in</strong> some countries such as the United States, <strong>in</strong>terest ratesfrom 6% to 8% is usually requested for debt lenders.The IEA (2011b) <strong>in</strong> its recent report <strong>in</strong>dicated an assumed 10% <strong>in</strong>terest rate assumed for theproduction cost calculations related to <strong>geothermal</strong> heat and <strong>power</strong> technologies. In a study ofcost/size/risk analysis of <strong>geothermal</strong> <strong>projects</strong> (Elíasson and Smith, 2011), calculations assumed thatfirst time <strong>projects</strong> require 30% equity, a 7% <strong>in</strong>terest rate on 12 year majority with a 3 year grace periodon the first project loan, and 25% equity, 6% <strong>in</strong>terest and the same majority for subsequent <strong>projects</strong>.It is clear that different types of f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g options (loans) may have different <strong>in</strong>terest rates and terms.The work of Rodríguez and Henríquez (2007) revealed that, <strong>in</strong> Central America, all of the f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>goptions: equity f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g, bank f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g (private banks and multilateral <strong>in</strong>stitutions) and debenturethrough the stock exchange, are used to some extent by different developers. In this study, a 9 %<strong>in</strong>terest is assumed <strong>in</strong> the three loans considered for <strong>geothermal</strong> development.DepreciationA straight l<strong>in</strong>e depreciation method is assumed, as def<strong>in</strong>ed <strong>in</strong> Section 2.3.DividendsThe policy of dividend payments to owners is assumed to be 30% of the net <strong>in</strong>come at the end of thef<strong>in</strong>ancial year.Corporate taxA corporate tax of 30% is assumed is def<strong>in</strong>ed <strong>in</strong> Section 2.3. As expla<strong>in</strong>ed <strong>in</strong> Section 2.4, <strong>in</strong> CentralAmerica each country has different tax <strong>in</strong>centive schemes for the development of renewable energies.The impact of the tax <strong>in</strong>centives on the f<strong>in</strong>ancial returns of <strong>geothermal</strong> <strong>projects</strong> is discussed <strong>in</strong> Section6.7.Loss transferIn this study, loss transfer is not allowed.6.4 Model outputs for two resource scenarios and one <strong>power</strong> <strong>plant</strong> technology6.4.1 Cash flowsIn this analysis, two cash flows are considered: CCF and FCFE. Two different sizes of <strong>in</strong>vestments arediscussed, as results of two different <strong>geothermal</strong> resources expected. In the next section, a wide rangeof temperature resources and mass flow have been evaluated. Figure 39 shows the cash flows for twos<strong>in</strong>gle-flash <strong>power</strong> <strong>plant</strong> <strong>projects</strong>: scenario 1 for 240°C, and 300 kg/s (27.7 MW); and scenario 2 for240°C, and 300 kg/s (55.5 MW).As Figure 39 <strong>in</strong>dicates, the <strong>geothermal</strong> development project has negative cash flows dur<strong>in</strong>g the first 7years, largely as a consequence of significant capital expenditures. Most of the high <strong>in</strong>itial fixed costsoccur dur<strong>in</strong>g the drill<strong>in</strong>g and <strong>power</strong> <strong>plant</strong> construction phases. Dur<strong>in</strong>g this period, <strong>geothermal</strong>development <strong>projects</strong> f<strong>in</strong>ance a high proportion of their <strong>in</strong>vestment needs with debt.In this analysis, debt f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g helps to obta<strong>in</strong> better IRR of Equity; this is because it is assumed <strong>in</strong> themodel that the payment of <strong>in</strong>terest is tax deductible. FCFE reflects to the equity <strong>in</strong>vestor the effect ofchanges <strong>in</strong> the levels of debt, and repay<strong>in</strong>g the pr<strong>in</strong>cipal on exist<strong>in</strong>g debt represents an outflow <strong>in</strong> theestimation of FCFE. After the <strong>geothermal</strong> <strong>power</strong> <strong>plant</strong> construction period, when commercial47

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!