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geothermal power plant projects in central america - Orkustofnun

geothermal power plant projects in central america - Orkustofnun

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cost of <strong>in</strong>vestment. The net present value formula for an <strong>in</strong>vestment that generates cash flow C <strong>in</strong> thefuture period is = (1 + ) (49)The basic <strong>in</strong>vestment rule can be generalized thus:• Accept a project if the NPV is greater than zero• Reject a project if NPV is less than zeroThe numerator of Equation 49 is usually understood as be<strong>in</strong>g the expected time cash flow, and thediscount rate <strong>in</strong> the denom<strong>in</strong>ator.The calculation of the net present value (NPV) requires a value for the discount rate and its selectionis the ma<strong>in</strong> difficulty for this method. Crundwell (2008) argued that the discount rate value selection isessentially a strategic function and is done from the viewpo<strong>in</strong>t of the entire organization; and the valueof the discount rate that is used can be the f<strong>in</strong>ancial cost of capital, the economic cost of capital or therisk adjusted discount rate.Internal Rate of Return (IRR)Accord<strong>in</strong>g to Benn<strong>in</strong>ga (2008) the <strong>in</strong>ternal rate of return (IRR) is def<strong>in</strong>ed as the compound rate ofreturn that makes the NPV equal to zero, which is expressed as (1 + ∗ ) = 0 (50)The general <strong>in</strong>vestment rule is clear:• Accept the project if the IRR is greater than the MARR.• Reject the project if the IRR is less than the MARR.The IRR is about as close as you can get to NPV without essentially be<strong>in</strong>g NPV. Hillier et al. (2010)argued that “the basis rationale beh<strong>in</strong>d the IRR method is that it offers a s<strong>in</strong>gle number summariz<strong>in</strong>gthe merits of a project. That number does not depend on the <strong>in</strong>terest rate prevail<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> the capitalmarket”. This is why it is called the <strong>in</strong>ternal rate of return: the number is <strong>in</strong>ternally <strong>in</strong>tr<strong>in</strong>sic to theproject and <strong>in</strong>dependent except for the cash flow of the project. In this analysis, to evaluate capitalexpenditures the IRR is calculated on both project and equity.M<strong>in</strong>imum Acceptable Rate of Return (MARR)Accord<strong>in</strong>g to Hillier et al. (2010) the discount rate on a risky project is the return that one can lookforward to earn<strong>in</strong>g on a f<strong>in</strong>ancial asset of equivalent risk, often referred to as an opportunity costbecause corporate <strong>in</strong>vestment <strong>in</strong> the project takes away the shareholder's opportunity to <strong>in</strong>vest thedividend <strong>in</strong> a f<strong>in</strong>ancial asset. Crundwell (2008) <strong>in</strong>dicated that the opportunity cost of capital is thereturn on the most profitable project that is not accepted; this is the M<strong>in</strong>imum Attractive Rate ofReturn (MARR). The opportunity cost of capital and MARR are terms that mean the same th<strong>in</strong>g.The MARR for both project and equity needs to be determ<strong>in</strong>ed by the project owners. Björnsdóttir(2010) po<strong>in</strong>ted out that the MARR for a project is frequently the rate of return of the most preferablealternative <strong>in</strong>vestment, and the MARR for equity is usually the same as the <strong>in</strong>vestor’s cost of capital.Therefore, the lowest acceptable limit for IRR should be greater than MARR. In Section 6.3.7, theselection of a discount rate is discussed.42

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