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Lisboa, CIDADE GLOBAL<br />
Oportunidades das Mega tendências e exemplos do Presente<br />
Pág<strong>in</strong>a 1 30 Jan - 2007<br />
Lisboa 2006<br />
Volker Müller<br />
CFO Siemens SA<br />
Vice-Presidente Grupo Siemens
Em 2007,<br />
pela primeira vez,<br />
vivem mais pessoas nos<br />
centros urbanos<br />
do que no campo<br />
Em 2050,<br />
pela primeira vez,<br />
a população com mais de<br />
60 anos vai igualar a de<br />
menos de 15 anos.<br />
Pág<strong>in</strong>a 2 30 Jan - 2007<br />
Lisboa 2006
The megatrends “Demographic Change” and “Urbanization”<br />
are chang<strong>in</strong>g the world dramatically<br />
Years<br />
55<br />
50<br />
45<br />
<strong>40</strong><br />
35<br />
30<br />
25<br />
20<br />
Demographic Change Urbanization<br />
Development of average ages<br />
<strong>in</strong> selected countries<br />
53.1<br />
50.0<br />
41.2<br />
35.5<br />
39.3 <strong>40</strong>.7 <strong>40</strong>.0<br />
50.9<br />
48.5<br />
30.0<br />
39.0<br />
� Grow<strong>in</strong>g global population: (S: UN)<br />
2003: 6.3 bn. 2015: 7.2 bn.<br />
2025: 7.9 bn. 2050: 8.9 bn.<br />
Pág<strong>in</strong>a 3 30 Jan - 2007<br />
2000 2025 2050<br />
43.8<br />
23.7<br />
31.3<br />
38.0 36.8<br />
43.8<br />
50.0<br />
Japan U.S. Germany Ch<strong>in</strong>a India Russia<br />
The largest cities of he world<br />
Growth of the 12 largest cities (S: UN)<br />
Tokyo<br />
Mexico City<br />
New York<br />
Sao Paulo<br />
Mumbai<br />
Delhi<br />
Calcutta<br />
Buenos Aires<br />
Shanghai<br />
Jakarta<br />
Dhaka<br />
Lagos<br />
+3%<br />
+10%<br />
+8%<br />
+12%<br />
+30%<br />
+48%<br />
+22%<br />
+12%<br />
-1%<br />
+42%<br />
+54%<br />
+68%<br />
20.6<br />
18.7<br />
19.7<br />
18.3<br />
20<br />
17.9<br />
22.6<br />
17.4<br />
20.9<br />
14.1<br />
16.8<br />
13.8<br />
14.6<br />
13<br />
12.7<br />
12.8<br />
17.5<br />
12.3<br />
17.9<br />
11.6<br />
17<br />
10.1<br />
36.2<br />
35<br />
2015<br />
2003<br />
0 10 20 30 <strong>40</strong><br />
Millions of <strong>in</strong>habitants
Survey of Megacity Officials and Influentials<br />
(n=522 across 25 cities dur<strong>in</strong>g Oct./Nov. 2006)<br />
Pág<strong>in</strong>a 4 30 Jan - 2007
Transportation Seen as Major Driver of City Competitiveness<br />
Pág<strong>in</strong>a 5 30 Jan - 2007<br />
Importance for Economic Attractiveness<br />
Unprompted Percentages (n=522)<br />
(Lat<strong>in</strong> America 21%)<br />
(India / Ch<strong>in</strong>a 11%)<br />
(Africa 13%)<br />
(Lat<strong>in</strong> America 21%)<br />
(Africa 13%)<br />
(Asia 9% and Lat<strong>in</strong> America 8%)<br />
(India/Ch<strong>in</strong>a 12% and Africa 10%)<br />
(India/Ch<strong>in</strong>a 12% and Lat<strong>in</strong> America 6%)<br />
In the understandable quest for <strong>in</strong>ward <strong>in</strong>vestment, water loses out
Environment <strong>in</strong> Top Tier of Infrastructure Priorities<br />
Pág<strong>in</strong>a 6 30 Jan - 2007<br />
Need for Investment<br />
Average % of “Very High” Across All Cities<br />
Air polution<br />
seen as the<br />
major<br />
environmental<br />
challenge
Megatrends and consequences are closely l<strong>in</strong>ked<br />
to technological challenges<br />
Megatrends<br />
Demographic<br />
change<br />
Urbanization<br />
Pág<strong>in</strong>a 7 30 Jan - 2007<br />
Consequences<br />
Increas<strong>in</strong>g scarcity of<br />
natural resources (Water)<br />
Grow<strong>in</strong>g need for<br />
environmental Energy<br />
Increas<strong>in</strong>g<br />
mobility<br />
Technological<br />
Challenges<br />
Grow<strong>in</strong>g demand<br />
for safety and security<br />
Grow<strong>in</strong>g demand for<br />
healthcare/eldercare<br />
Communication<br />
Industry &<br />
Services<br />
Energy<br />
Transportation<br />
Health
Increas<strong>in</strong>g scarcity of natural resources: e.g. WATER<br />
1.1 billion people have no access to<br />
potable water<br />
2.6 billion people are not connected<br />
to sewage systems<br />
1.8 million children die annually as a<br />
consequence<br />
Pág<strong>in</strong>a 8 30 Jan - 2007<br />
Technological Challenges<br />
� Intelligent recycl<strong>in</strong>g,<br />
remanufactur<strong>in</strong>g,<br />
refurbishment<br />
� Clean<strong>in</strong>g and filter<strong>in</strong>g<br />
techniques for water, air and<br />
soil<br />
� New resource-sav<strong>in</strong>g<br />
materials/production<br />
processes
EXAMPLE<br />
Treatment plant - Deer Island (Boston, USA)<br />
Pág<strong>in</strong>a 9 30 Jan - 2007<br />
Solution<br />
� One of the largest plants <strong>in</strong> the U.S.<br />
� S<strong>in</strong>gle source solutions provider<br />
� Serves 43 communities<br />
� Processes 1.3 billion gallons per<br />
day<br />
� Equipped: sludge collectors, gas<br />
holders, oxidation systems, bed
Grow<strong>in</strong>g need for environmental protection and<br />
efficient Energy<br />
Cities cause 80% of the greenhouse gases,<br />
they cover 0.4% of the earth’s surface.<br />
Total cost caused by traffic jams <strong>in</strong> the US<br />
have risen from $14 billion <strong>in</strong> 1982 to $63<br />
billion <strong>in</strong> 2002. (Source: Munich Re)<br />
74% <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> worldwide energy demand<br />
from year 2000 to year 2020<br />
Pág<strong>in</strong>a 10 30 Jan - 2007<br />
Technological Challenges<br />
� Techniques for emissionsreduction<br />
aga<strong>in</strong>st emission<br />
trad<strong>in</strong>g allowances<br />
� Low emission (clean &<br />
hybrid) power generation and<br />
eng<strong>in</strong>e techniques (solar,<br />
water, w<strong>in</strong>d, nuclear, fuel<br />
cells, rechargeable batteries)<br />
� Traffic Management &<br />
Telematics Systems
Efficient energy solutions to save costs and preserve<br />
the environment<br />
Power Generation<br />
- Fossil fuel<br />
- Renewable energy<br />
- Nuclear<br />
Power<br />
Distribution<br />
HVDC<br />
Transmission<br />
Pág<strong>in</strong>a 11 30 Jan - 2007<br />
W<strong>in</strong>d power<br />
Remote<br />
monitor<strong>in</strong>g &<br />
ma<strong>in</strong>tenance<br />
Performance<br />
contract<strong>in</strong>g
EXAMPLE<br />
Siemens W<strong>in</strong>d Farms: Megawatts <strong>in</strong> the Air<br />
From project plann<strong>in</strong>g through design to <strong>in</strong>stallation – w<strong>in</strong>d farms are<br />
Siemens’ specialty.<br />
One of our projects is the world’s largest w<strong>in</strong>d farm near Las Vegas. This<br />
200 megawatt facility will supply electricity to about 200,000 people.<br />
In Europe the trend is to offshore w<strong>in</strong>d farms – and such projects are<br />
planned for the North and Baltic Seas.<br />
Pág<strong>in</strong>a 12 30 Jan - 2007
Increas<strong>in</strong>g Mobility<br />
2010: Per passenger airl<strong>in</strong>e mileage<br />
will double compared to 1995<br />
Increas<strong>in</strong>g number of vehicles and<br />
means of transportation, worldwide<br />
<strong>in</strong>crease of cars from 500 mill. today to<br />
2,5 billion <strong>in</strong> 2030. (Source: Mobilitäts<strong>in</strong>stitut Berl<strong>in</strong>)<br />
Pág<strong>in</strong>a 13 30 Jan - 2007<br />
Technological Challenges<br />
� Airport efficient Logistics<br />
� Fast tra<strong>in</strong> connections<br />
� Telematics (Galileo), track<strong>in</strong>g<br />
& trac<strong>in</strong>g, satellite-aided toll<br />
& communications<br />
� Hybrid cars/busses, bio-fuel;<br />
PPP-models for<br />
<strong>in</strong>frastructure & hubs<br />
(railway, ports, airports)
Solutions for airport <strong>in</strong>frastructure<br />
Airfield<br />
Light<strong>in</strong>g<br />
Control Room<br />
Safety and<br />
Security<br />
Park<strong>in</strong>g Guidance<br />
Runway<br />
Pág<strong>in</strong>a 14 30 Jan - 2007<br />
Build<strong>in</strong>g<br />
Automation<br />
Control Tower<br />
Term<strong>in</strong>al<br />
IT & Communication,<br />
Passenger Information<br />
Transportation<br />
and Telematics<br />
Physical Plant<br />
Baggage Handl<strong>in</strong>g<br />
Systems<br />
Energy<br />
Command Center<br />
Cargo<br />
Facilities<br />
Hangar<br />
Energy<br />
Infrastructure
EXAMPLE<br />
Capacity Plus – Temporary Airport Eng<strong>in</strong>eer<strong>in</strong>g by Siemens Portugal<br />
� Turn-key solution to <strong>in</strong>crease airport<br />
capity, dur<strong>in</strong>g for example a major<br />
cultural/sport event<br />
� Successfully applied <strong>in</strong> Euro2004 and<br />
Doha Asian Games, Qatar (20MM EUR)<br />
� Engeneer<strong>in</strong>g by Siemens Portugal<br />
Pág<strong>in</strong>a 15 30 Jan - 2007
EXAMPLE<br />
Velaro E – World’s Fastest passenger tra<strong>in</strong><br />
Pág<strong>in</strong>a 16 30 Jan - 2007<br />
One of the first high-speed multiple-unit tra<strong>in</strong>s <strong>in</strong><br />
Europe.<br />
The Velaro concept <strong>in</strong>cludes the seamless <strong>in</strong>tegration<br />
of European tra<strong>in</strong> control and communications<br />
systems. Built for a top speed of 350 km/h, it is the<br />
world's fastest passenger tra<strong>in</strong> provid<strong>in</strong>g passengers<br />
with top-class comfort and high-tech facilities.
Grow<strong>in</strong>g Demand for Healthcare / Eldercare<br />
Years<br />
55<br />
50<br />
45<br />
<strong>40</strong><br />
35<br />
30<br />
25<br />
20<br />
Development of average population age <strong>in</strong><br />
selected countries<br />
41,2<br />
50,0<br />
53,1<br />
39,3 <strong>40</strong>,7 <strong>40</strong>,0<br />
35,5<br />
50,9<br />
48,5<br />
25,9<br />
22,6<br />
Japan U.S. GER South<br />
Africa<br />
Pág<strong>in</strong>a 17 30 Jan - 2007<br />
31,5 30,0<br />
2000 2025 2050<br />
39,0<br />
43,8<br />
31,3<br />
23,7<br />
38,0 36,8<br />
43,8<br />
50,0<br />
Ch<strong>in</strong>a India Russia<br />
Healthcare costs <strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>dustrialized nations<br />
rise to 3.8 trillion EUR <strong>in</strong> 2010 (2002: 2.9<br />
trillion EUR)<br />
Technological Challenges<br />
� Integrated health<br />
management: digital hospital,<br />
health card<br />
� Low cost & highly effective<br />
diagnosis and treatment<br />
schemes<br />
� “Silver market”: Elder<br />
generation products and<br />
services, personalized<br />
healthcare
We offer a full spectrum of healthcare solutions<br />
IT<br />
Systems<br />
Medical<br />
Equipment<br />
Communication<br />
Solutions<br />
Hospital<br />
Pág<strong>in</strong>a 18 30 Jan - 2007<br />
Telemedic<strong>in</strong><br />
e<br />
Surgical Center<br />
Electronic Patient<br />
Files<br />
Fire & Safety<br />
Access<br />
Control<br />
Mobilit<br />
y<br />
Patient's<br />
Home<br />
Service<br />
s<br />
Medical<br />
Office<br />
Build<strong>in</strong>g<br />
Efficient<br />
Build<strong>in</strong>g<br />
Technology<br />
New Construction
EXAMPLE<br />
Hospital da Luz – One of Europe’s most advanced<br />
� European showroom of <strong>in</strong>tegrated high tech solutions<br />
� State of the art SORIAN system (full data and processes <strong>in</strong>tegration)<br />
� Energy, Lightn<strong>in</strong>g, Security, IP Communications, Multimedia<br />
enterta<strong>in</strong>ment from Siemens<br />
Pág<strong>in</strong>a 19 30 Jan - 2007
Grow<strong>in</strong>g demand for Safety and Security<br />
Terrorist suspects entered <strong>in</strong>to <strong>in</strong>terpol database<br />
(Source: Interpol Annual Report 2004)<br />
220 415 733 1587 3608<br />
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004<br />
Crim<strong>in</strong>ality is on average 30% higher <strong>in</strong> urban<br />
areas<br />
Pág<strong>in</strong>a 20 30 Jan - 2007<br />
Technological Challenges<br />
� Access control & <strong>in</strong>truder<br />
identification systems:<br />
biometrics/card based<br />
identification<br />
� IT security & fail-safe<br />
communication networks<br />
(assault-safe systems, selforganiz<strong>in</strong>g<br />
networks)<br />
� Sensor & flexible fail-safe<br />
communication systems<br />
aga<strong>in</strong>st biological, chemical,<br />
radiological, nuclear and<br />
natural threats
EXAMPLE<br />
Intelligent Video Analytics<br />
The Sistore CCTV<br />
system automatically<br />
digitalizes and analyzes<br />
pictures from video<br />
cameras <strong>in</strong> real time and<br />
triggers alarms if<br />
suspicious actions are<br />
detected.<br />
Pág<strong>in</strong>a 21 30 Jan - 2007
A Grande Area Metropolitana de Lisboa<br />
Olhando para o futuro com os exemplos do presente<br />
Hospitality<br />
Airports<br />
Transport<br />
Public Sector<br />
Healthcare<br />
Harbors<br />
Pág<strong>in</strong>a 22 30 Jan - 2007<br />
Telematics<br />
Innovative<br />
<strong>in</strong>frastructure LISBOA<br />
products<br />
and solutions<br />
Communication<br />
Security<br />
Water<br />
Major events<br />
Universities<br />
Utilities
A Grande Area Metropolitana de Lisboa<br />
Olhando para o futuro com os exemplos do presente<br />
Olhando para o futuro Exemplos do presente Siemens<br />
Oportunidades “ciberespaço”:<br />
Centros compartilhados SASC<br />
Investigação e Desenvolvimento:<br />
Integração em Redes Mundiais Laboratórios Centros Competência Mundial<br />
Transportes:<br />
Integração nas redes Mundiais Aeroporto / Alta Velocidade (projecto)<br />
Infra-estruturas desportivas/culturais:<br />
Para realização de grandes eventos CCB / EXPO 98 / Estádios Euro 2004<br />
Formação de Recursos Humanos:<br />
Ens<strong>in</strong>o profissional e profissionalizante ATEC<br />
Saúde:<br />
Serviços de elevada qualidade Hospital da Luz<br />
Criação conhecimento e Inovação:<br />
Pág<strong>in</strong>a 23 Integração 30 Jan com - 2007 Universidades Network com pr<strong>in</strong>cipais Universidades e Institutos
It’s Not All About Money, it’s About Management<br />
Reasons for Problems City Managers Have to Face<br />
Unprompted Mentions of Knowledgeable Stakeholders (%)<br />
• Political boundaries and silo-based th<strong>in</strong>k<strong>in</strong>g get <strong>in</strong> the way of <strong>in</strong>tegrated solutions<br />
to <strong>in</strong>frastructure challenges <strong>in</strong> metro areas<br />
Pág<strong>in</strong>a 24 30 Jan - 2007
Lisboa, CIDADE GLOBAL<br />
Oportunidades das Mega tendências e exemplos do Presente<br />
Siemens é o parceiro natural no desenvolvimento<br />
futuro da GAML.<br />
Pág<strong>in</strong>a 25 30 Jan - 2007<br />
Muito obrigado.<br />
Lisboa 2006<br />
Volker Müller<br />
volker.mueller@siemens.com
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