Report - UNDP Russia
Report - UNDP Russia Report - UNDP Russia
Table 8.4Breakdown of the Adjusted Net Savings IndexNational accountingaggregatesAmount (in % of GNP)Countrieswith high RussiaincomeGross saving (% of GNI) 19.9 30.7Consumption of fixed capital(% of GNI)Education expenditure(% of GNI)13.0 7.04.7 3.5Energy depletion (% of GNI) 1.5 37.5Mineral depletion (% of GNI) 0.2 1.9Net forest depletion(% of GNI)0.0 0CO 2 damage (% of GNI) 0.3 1.4Particular emission damage(% of GNI)Adjusted net savings(% of GNI)0.3 0.39.3 -13.8Source: World Development Indicators 2008. World Bank, WashingtonDC, 2008Table 8.5Adjusted Net Savings Indexes in specific countriesCountryAdjusted netsavingsCountryAdjusted netsavingsJapan 15.8 EU 12.0Germany 12.1 Russia - 13.8France 11.4CzechRepublic14.7Great Britain 6.9 Poland 7.8Canada 5.4 Ukraine 4.1USA 4.1 China 36.1Norway 9.2 India 20.6Source: World Development Indicators 2008. World Bank, WashingtonDC, 2008capital by raising educational levelsaccumulates savings and ensures sustainabledevelopment.The Adjusted Net Savings Index takesparticular account of the energy factor byadjusting the traditional gross savings index toreflect depletion of energy resources (Table 8.4),and by applying indicators of CO 2 and particularemissions to record impact of the energyindustry on human health and environmentalpollution.The main merit of the Adjusted NetSavings Index is that it offers a single method ofcalculation for the whole world and for specificcountries, using official national statistics,updated annually and published in ‘WorldDevelopment Indicators’ (the main statisticaldigest of the World Bank) or in other World Bankstatistical materials. This Index is already used byseveral countries as an official macroeconomicindicator.Calculations published by the World Bankand based on adjusted net savings (genuinesavings) for all the countries show a dramaticdifference between traditional economicindicators and those adjusted for environmentalfactors. In Russia economic growth (in thetraditional understanding) has beenaccompanied by depletion of natural capital andenvironmental degradation, and adjustment toreflect these factors turns the traditionaleconomic indicators negative. Russia’s Index ofAdjusted Net Savings has been negative in recentyears, despite growth of GDP. It is important totake this fact into account during the crisis and inthe search for ways of overcoming it. Forexample, 2006 was a highly successful year forthe Russian economy judged in traditionaleconomic terms: GDP growth amounted to 7.4%.But the Adjusted Net Savings Index was negative(-13.8%), mainly due to depletion of naturalresources (Table 8.4)Comparison of adjusted net savings inRussia and some other countries of the world isalso telling. The Index level in developedcountries is 9.3% (Table 8.4). Adjusted net savingsfor various countries (developed, developing andwith transition economies) are presented in Table8.5, and are positive in all cases except for Russia.Negative value of adjusted net savings in Russiacannot be explained only by dramatic depletionof natural capital (primarily energy resources),since international experience shows thatcountries with large and depleting natural capitalcan compensate the depletion by increase ofsavings, education spending, etc. Norway,150 National Human Development Report in the Russian Federation 2009
Canada, the USA and Great Britain have positiveAdjusted Net Savings Indexes (Table 8.5), and thefigure for Norway is as high as 9.2%.The Adjusted Net Savings Index hasseveral defects, but its importance is in giving anaggregate estimate of sustainable developmentand showing the need to compensate depletionof natural capital through increase ofinvestments in human and physical capital.The Index shows the need for dramaticincrease of energy efficiency in Russia, whichwould raise the country’s Index score by raisingproductivity and putting limits on extensive,low-margin extraction of energy resources. It isalso advisable for a country to have a specialfund or funds (‘fund of future generations’)such as exist in Norway, the USA some oilproducingcountries, which accumulate fixedcontributions from extraction of finite fuel andenergy resources to secure future economicgrowth. Russia set up such a fund – theStabilization Fund – in 2007. It wassubsequently decided, as part of the transitionto a three-year budget cycle, to divide theStabilization Fund into the Reserve Fund andthe National Wealth Fund. The Reserve Fund ismeant to play a stabilizing role for the Russianbudget when oil prices decline, and theNational Wealth Fund was earmarked as a fundof future generations. Unfortunately, most ofthe money accumulated has been quickly spenton stabilization of the social and economicsituation in the country since onset of the crisis.Box 8.1. Adjusted Net Savings Indexfor Kemerovo RegionThere is huge divergence betweentraditional economic indicators for KemerovoRegion and calculations based on adjusted netsavings, which take account of social andenvironmental aspects (Table 8.6). Depletion ofthe Regions’ natural resources andenvironmental pollution are large enoughproblems to turn strongly positive traditionalindexes negative when adjusted savings areCalculations based on the adjusted netsavings approach have been carried out in a fewRussian regions, including coal mining KemerovoRegion 9 . Both the energy factor and the humanfactor had major impact when calculating theIndex for this Region, which suffers fromenvironmentally determined public healthproblems. Illness due to water and air pollutioncause loss of up to 12% of GRP (Table 8.6).Depletion of resources by coal mining alsoreduces adjusted net savings in Kemerovo to alarge extent. As a result, the Adjusted Net SavingsIndex for Kemerovo Region was around -10% in2001–2005, despite significant growth of GRP(Box 8.1).Popular integral indicators that takeaccount of the energy factor include:Environmentally Adjusted Net Domestic Product,developed by the UN for national accounts; the‘Ecological Footprint’ used by the WWF; and theEnvironmental Sustainability Index, constructedby specialists from Yale and ColumbiaUniversities. The Ecological Footprint (EF) index,measuring pressure on the natural environment,which appears in regular reports of the WorldWildlife Fund, is particularly functional. The EFindex measures energy consumption in terms ofthe area necessary for absorption of respectiveCO 2 emissions and consumption of food andmaterials by people in terms of biologicallyproductive land and sea areas, which are neededfor production of these resources and absorptionof the waste produced. The EF of one personcalculated. Despite strong growth of GRP in2001-2005, corrected net savings in KemerovoRegion were about -10%, signifying powerful‘anti-sustainable development’ trends. Theregional economy is currently living at theexpense of future generations, throughdepletion of energy resources, depopulationand short life expectancy, and accumulatedenvironmental damage in the form of pollutedor disturbed land as well as degradation ofecosystems.9Mekush G.E. Environmental Policy and Sustainable Development. M.: Max Press, 2007151
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Canada, the USA and Great Britain have positiveAdjusted Net Savings Indexes (Table 8.5), and thefigure for Norway is as high as 9.2%.The Adjusted Net Savings Index hasseveral defects, but its importance is in giving anaggregate estimate of sustainable developmentand showing the need to compensate depletionof natural capital through increase ofinvestments in human and physical capital.The Index shows the need for dramaticincrease of energy efficiency in <strong>Russia</strong>, whichwould raise the country’s Index score by raisingproductivity and putting limits on extensive,low-margin extraction of energy resources. It isalso advisable for a country to have a specialfund or funds (‘fund of future generations’)such as exist in Norway, the USA some oilproducingcountries, which accumulate fixedcontributions from extraction of finite fuel andenergy resources to secure future economicgrowth. <strong>Russia</strong> set up such a fund – theStabilization Fund – in 2007. It wassubsequently decided, as part of the transitionto a three-year budget cycle, to divide theStabilization Fund into the Reserve Fund andthe National Wealth Fund. The Reserve Fund ismeant to play a stabilizing role for the <strong>Russia</strong>nbudget when oil prices decline, and theNational Wealth Fund was earmarked as a fundof future generations. Unfortunately, most ofthe money accumulated has been quickly spenton stabilization of the social and economicsituation in the country since onset of the crisis.Box 8.1. Adjusted Net Savings Indexfor Kemerovo RegionThere is huge divergence betweentraditional economic indicators for KemerovoRegion and calculations based on adjusted netsavings, which take account of social andenvironmental aspects (Table 8.6). Depletion ofthe Regions’ natural resources andenvironmental pollution are large enoughproblems to turn strongly positive traditionalindexes negative when adjusted savings areCalculations based on the adjusted netsavings approach have been carried out in a few<strong>Russia</strong>n regions, including coal mining KemerovoRegion 9 . Both the energy factor and the humanfactor had major impact when calculating theIndex for this Region, which suffers fromenvironmentally determined public healthproblems. Illness due to water and air pollutioncause loss of up to 12% of GRP (Table 8.6).Depletion of resources by coal mining alsoreduces adjusted net savings in Kemerovo to alarge extent. As a result, the Adjusted Net SavingsIndex for Kemerovo Region was around -10% in2001–2005, despite significant growth of GRP(Box 8.1).Popular integral indicators that takeaccount of the energy factor include:Environmentally Adjusted Net Domestic Product,developed by the UN for national accounts; the‘Ecological Footprint’ used by the WWF; and theEnvironmental Sustainability Index, constructedby specialists from Yale and ColumbiaUniversities. The Ecological Footprint (EF) index,measuring pressure on the natural environment,which appears in regular reports of the WorldWildlife Fund, is particularly functional. The EFindex measures energy consumption in terms ofthe area necessary for absorption of respectiveCO 2 emissions and consumption of food andmaterials by people in terms of biologicallyproductive land and sea areas, which are neededfor production of these resources and absorptionof the waste produced. The EF of one personcalculated. Despite strong growth of GRP in2001-2005, corrected net savings in KemerovoRegion were about -10%, signifying powerful‘anti-sustainable development’ trends. Theregional economy is currently living at theexpense of future generations, throughdepletion of energy resources, depopulationand short life expectancy, and accumulatedenvironmental damage in the form of pollutedor disturbed land as well as degradation ofecosystems.9Mekush G.E. Environmental Policy and Sustainable Development. M.: Max Press, 2007151