development targets, starting from the crisisperiod, it needs to prioritize humandevelopment, movement away from the energyand raw material economy, and structuraltransformation in order to create an innovativeand socially-oriented development model. Thishas nothing to do with chasing quantitativeratings, whether they are value indicators (GDP,etc) or physical volumes (output of oil, gas,metals, etc). The accent in the new economymust be on qualitative and not quantitativedevelopment.8.2. Types of energy indicatorsThe energy factor is widely reflected insustainable development indicators, becausesustainable development depends on dueattention to economic, social andenvironmental aspects, all of which have muchto do with energy 2 . Two approaches are mostwidely used in both theory and in practice. Thefirst is to construct an integrated (aggregate)indicator (index), which enables judgment ofthe level of sustainability of social andeconomic development. The aggregationusually relies on three groups of indicators:economic, social and environmental. Thesecond approach involves construction of asystem of indicators, each of which reflectsdifferent aspects of sustained development.The aspects chosen are most usually economic,environmental, social and institutional. This isthe approach used by UN sustainabilityindicators.The energy factor has priority in all theapproaches, as seen most clearly in ubiquitoususe of the energy intensity index. It is importantto grasp that division of the indicators intoeconomic, environmental, and social is relative.Some indicators can reflect several aspects ofsustainability, and this is apparent from theexample of energy intensity, which is included indifferent groups of indicators by the UN, WorldBank, Organization for Economic Cooperationand Development (OECD) and various countries:economic (reflecting efficiency of energyresource utilization in the economy);environmental (the level of pollution andgreenhouse gas emissions); and social (since thevolume and content of emissions has impact onhuman health).Energy intensity is basic to globalsystems of sustainability indicators and to thesystems used by specific countries. It is a keyindicator for <strong>Russia</strong>, helping to gaugesustainability of its energy sector and of thecountry as a whole. As such, it should beincluded in programmes, strategies, conceptsand projects at both federal and regionallevels.The following energy intensity indicatorsare most commonly used at the macroeconomiclevel:• energy intensity of GDP as regardsconsumption of energy resources;• energy intensity of GDP as regardsproduction of energy resources (theproportion between primary energyproduction and GDP);• energy efficiency (often identified as thereverse indicator of energy intensity);• specific indicators of energy intensity ofGDP (electric intensity, heat intensity, oilintensity, coal intensity, gas intensity ofGDP) etc.In <strong>Russia</strong>’s case it is important todistinguish between two energy intensityindicators: intensity in terms of domesticconsumption of energy as a share of GDP, andintensity in terms of the share of energyproduction in GDP. The consumption indicatoris the classic and most widely used indicator.But it clearly fails to take account of manyeconomic, environmental and socialconsequences of the extraction andproduction of energy for export, since (all else2The indicators of sustainable development are studied in details in the monograph by S.N.Bobylev, N.V. Zubarevich, S.V.Solovyova, Y.S.Vlasov. ‘The Indicators of Sustainable Development: Economy, Society, Nature’/ under the editorship of S.N. Bobylev. M.: MAX Press, 2008.144National Human Development <strong>Report</strong> in the <strong>Russia</strong>n Federation 2009
eing equal) it only reflects that part ofnegative impacts on the environment andpublic health, which are conditioned by theprocess of energy consumption, so that it canonly be a partial indicator of dependence ofthe <strong>Russia</strong>n economy on energy exports andpressure of the energy sector on theenvironment and society (Chapter 1). The mainreason why energy intensity by consumption isthe dominant indicator worldwide is that mostcountries do not have sufficient energyresources of their own, so that energy intensityin terms of production is of little concern tothem.Energy production as a share of totalproduction is a much more important measurefor <strong>Russia</strong> because volumes of natural resourcesbrought into economic use, both to meetdomestic needs and for export, give an indirectindication of levels of pressure on theenvironment and public health.The degree to which the two indicatorsdiffer can be clearly seen in Table 8.1. Levels of<strong>Russia</strong>n energy intensity in terms ofconsumption are three times higher than indeveloped countries, but differences in energyintensity in terms of production are much moredrastic: the difference between <strong>Russia</strong> and theEuropean Community is 11 times, and thedivergence with Japan is more than 30 times(see also Table 1.3 in Chapter 1). The twoindicators could move in different directions:energy intensity in terms of consumption maydecline, reflecting positive structural shifts inthe economy, but in case of dramatic growth ofenergy resource extraction energy intensity interms of production is likely to grow,reinforcing <strong>Russia</strong>’s orientation to energy andresource exports. The long-run target should beto dramatically reduce energy intensity in termsof production by increasing energy efficiencyand GDP while holding back rates of growth ofprimary energy extraction, i.e. by greater use ofintensive growth factors. This course will notaffect the country’s export potential because,as mentioned in earlier chapters of this <strong>Report</strong>,relatively simply energy-saving measures couldreduce domestic energy consumption by half,i.e. <strong>Russia</strong> has enormous ‘hidden export’potential.Table 8.1GDP energy intensity in terms of energy consumption and production in different countries (1990,2000 and 2008*)Country1990 2000 2008 2008/1990 (%) 2008/2000 (%)1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2Great Britain 0.156 0.174 0.130 0.178 0.102 0.096 65 55 79 54Germany 0.171 0.108 0.131 0.064 0.113 0.059 66 55 86 92France 0.154 0.089 0.147 0.086 0.132 0.078 86 88 90 91USA 0.246 0.234 0.209 0.172 0.175 0.145 71 62 84 84Canada 0.331 0.418 0.301 0.427 0.275 0.395 83 95 91 93Japan 0.134 0.026 0.141 0.033 0.126 0.025 94 96 89 76Norway 0.287 1.057 0.234 1.397 0.194 1.121 68 106 83 80<strong>Russia</strong> 0.460 0.840 0.496 0.943 0.324 0.767 70 91 65 81China 0.549 0.451 0.288 0.206 0.274 0.179 50 40 95 87India 0.176 0.206 0.169 0.152 0.138 0.112 78 54 82 74Brazil 0.115 0.107 0.133 0.119 0.125 0.138 109 129 94 116Ukraine 0.643 0.297 0.741 0.385 0.423 0.246 66 83 57 64Sources: World Bank (World Development Indicators Online Database), BP Statistical Review of World Energy June 2009; International EnergyAgency (IEA World Energy Statistics and Balances - Energy Balances of Non-OECD Countries - Economic Indicators Vol. 2009 release 01)* 2007 for the energy intensity in terms of production1 – energy consumption intensity (m.t. of oil equivalent / thousand USD in 2005 by PPP)2 – energy production intensity (m.t. of oil equivalent / thousand USD in 2000 by PPP)145
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National Human Development Reportin
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National Human Development Reportin
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ACKNOWLEDGEMENTSThe authors express
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Dear Reader,You have before you the
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PREFACEThis is the 13 th National H
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country’s fuel & energy regions r
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environmental degradation and enhan
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Chapter 1The Energy Sector,the Econ
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By 2008 Russia had increased its sh
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the share of energy in the national
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exported, increased. However, this
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elimination of structural and terri
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• Establishment of competitive me
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number of developed countries, incl
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Although the United Nations Climate
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industrial region of the Urals - Sv
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2.2. Budget capacityand structure o
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(the Federal State Statistics Servi
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Immigration by young and highly ski
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energy regions exacerbate the incom
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Khanty-Mansi and Yamal-Nenets Auton
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the Ministry for Regional Developme
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various other long-term problems in
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is also associated with the fuel an
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Republic of Mordovia 8051 0.732 68.
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Legislative control of impact audit
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Chapter 3Personal Incomes, the Ener
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than any other sources of income -
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Are wages now the main instrument f
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comparison of month-on-month develo
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• The unemployed, people who aree
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Employment in the energy sector acc
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The share of household expenditures
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subsidization practices in the regi
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in power use between regions now de
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Electricity prices for households h
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• Steady decrease in the percenta
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1. The number of graduates with eng
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As well as requiring better fuelcom
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Box 4.1. The village of Kolvain Uss
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continue to use solid fuel for a lo
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Box 4.3. Ambient air pollution andp
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either by large power generating fa
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Box 4.6. A city at riskNovocherkass
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In order to assess impact of thesee
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generation facilities through safer
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achieved in developed countries. So
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