Box 7.1. Negative consequencesof excessive growth of the fuel& energy sector1) Investment efficiency in the rawmaterial sector (as a function of production timeor production volume) is declining, due toobjective worsening of production conditions.2) Emphasis on raw materialdevelopment will inevitably lead to furtherdeformation of the sectoral structure of theeconomy (and export), due to lack of adequatefunding for development of high-tech industries.3) Export of raw materials, particularlyenergy, is unreliable as a source of budgetrevenue (through taxes and duties) because oflarge and unpredictable volatility ofinternational prices (some forecasters predictthat oil prices will come down to USD 9 dollarsper barrel in a few years in comparable prices,while others expect levels in excess of USD 200dollars). To combine an energy based economywith relative stability a country needs hugeforeign exchange reserves per capita (as inKuwait and the other main OPEC countries).<strong>Russia</strong> has never had such reserves and cannotexpect to accumulate them in the future.4) Because it dominates the economy, theraw materials industry has no competitors: it is ina monopoly position as taxpayer, supplier of thecountry’s budget income, and in other relatedrespects. This favors large-scale corruption, but italso creates unfavorable conditions fordevelopment of the raw material sector itself:lacking economically efficient competitors, thesector loses interest in its own improvement; thewage levels of its management are too high toleave scope for incentives, etc.. This is a specifictype of monopoly, but like any other monopoly itrepresents a threat both for the economy and(ultimately) also for the monopolist.mechanism of environmental protection iseffectively defunct, and even the generallyaccepted principle, by which ‘the polluter pays’, isnot adequately embodied in law since adoptionof a new Federal Law, ‘On environmentalprotection’ (2003). The roles of state environmental5) Science and technology have limitedimportance in the raw material sector. They do, ofcourse, play a role (any company, which fails to usemodern technologies, falls behind), but they arenot paramount, as they are in the high-tech sector.6) The raw materials sector is lessaccessible for small business than any othersector. The share of small business in the <strong>Russia</strong>neconomy is minimal in comparison with anydeveloped country and this imbalance needs tobe corrected, but it cannot be easily correcteddue to raw material dominance.7) Investment distribution betweenregions corresponds to geographicaldistribution of raw material industries, favoringregions with rich mineral endowments, butthese tend to have unfavorable climates, smallpopulations, and undeveloped and expensiveinfrastructure, so they are bound to suffereconomic decline after depletion of their rawmaterial resources or reduction of demand forthe resources. Meanwhile, densely populatedand otherwise promising regions are neglectedby investors (as are non-raw material industries).8) Work conditions in the extractiveindustry are particularly tough, even when themost advanced technologies are being applied,offering few prospects for personal development,and climatic and other negative factors specific to<strong>Russia</strong>n resource regions add to his effect. Manyoil wells are near the Arctic circle or beyond it, andthe context of rigs, oil and gas pipelines, minesand quarries, does not help employees and theirfamily members to benefit from the humandevelopment opportunities that are available inthe 21 st century.9) Very high concentration of money istypical of the raw material sector, so dominanceof the sector in the economy encourages creationof an oligarchy and extreme wealth inequality.impact assessment and environmental oversighthave been minimized: 200-300 federalenvironmental inspectors – helped (or hindered) insome, but not all, regions – cannot possiblyexercise environmental control functions in acountry of 17 million sq. km.134 National Human Development <strong>Report</strong> in the <strong>Russia</strong>n Federation 2009
What the government needs to do inorder to break out of the current energy andenvironmental malaise is so self-evident that wewill not spend much time here spelling it out.Measures to improve energy saving andenergy efficiency should embrace all levels of thenational economy. This involves a change in thecountry’s sectoral structure, prioritizingdevelopment of sectors, which are less energyintensive. This process has been underway sincethe 1990s, but it has been slow and uneven, withdevelopment concentrated in the service sector.Within sectors the emphasis should be onchangeover to new products, whose productionor consumption requires low power inputs (forexample, energy-efficient light bulbs instead ofconventional incandescent lamps), deeperprocessing of raw materials, especially in oilrefining, metallurgy, woodworking, etc. In manycases this approach requires radicalreconstruction of operating plants andconstruction of new ones. In the oil industry, thechallenge should be to minimize flaring ofsecondary gas to match standards of the world’sbest oil companies. The most effective steps atcompany level are for installation of equipment,which can make the same or similar productswith less energy (for example, replacement ofopen-hearth furnaces by oxygen steel-makingconverters or electric furnaces). At the ‘people’level, a large effect can be obtained by properorganization in the workplace and in daily life,and by following elementary rules of energyeconomy.The experience of all developedcountries gives a clear indication of the hugeenergy-saving reserves, which <strong>Russia</strong> has at itsdisposal. Use of this potential will invigorate thenational economy and radically reduce adverseeffects of the economy on the environment.7.11. Conclusions and suggestionsThe present situation in the <strong>Russia</strong>nenergy sector, characterized by unacceptablyhigh and steadily growing negative impacts onthe environment combined with squandering ofenergy in the economy, amounts to an energyand environmental malaise. The impact of thefuel & energy sector on the environment isunacceptably high. Continuation of existingtrends will lead to large-scale disruption ofecological balances, massive pressure onecosystems, and disappearance of <strong>Russia</strong>’s role asa global environmental donor.In order to avoid such a scenario and toaccelerate transition to environmentallysustainable development <strong>Russia</strong> needs to:• dramatically enhance its environmentalsystem, ensuring its independence from thegovernment system for natural resourcemanagement;• develop efficient state environmental policyand vigilantly control its consistentimplementation;• enact regulations on more efficient use ofenergy and take steps to combatsquandering of energy. Such regulationsshould be supported by a system ofpenalties for non-compliance and failure totake appropriate measures;• ensure safety and security of all aspects ofthe energy sector, and of the nationaleconomy as a whole, through governmentinitiatives (based on legislation), whichensure that depreciated equipment isrepaired, decommissioned and replaced in atimely fashion;• take practical action to restructure theeconomy through increase in the share ofprocessing and high-tech industries.135
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National Human Development Reportin
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National Human Development Reportin
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ACKNOWLEDGEMENTSThe authors express
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Dear Reader,You have before you the
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PREFACEThis is the 13 th National H
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country’s fuel & energy regions r
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environmental degradation and enhan
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Chapter 1The Energy Sector,the Econ
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By 2008 Russia had increased its sh
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the share of energy in the national
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exported, increased. However, this
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elimination of structural and terri
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• Establishment of competitive me
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number of developed countries, incl
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Although the United Nations Climate
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industrial region of the Urals - Sv
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2.2. Budget capacityand structure o
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(the Federal State Statistics Servi
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Immigration by young and highly ski
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energy regions exacerbate the incom
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Khanty-Mansi and Yamal-Nenets Auton
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the Ministry for Regional Developme
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various other long-term problems in
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is also associated with the fuel an
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Republic of Mordovia 8051 0.732 68.
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Legislative control of impact audit
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Chapter 3Personal Incomes, the Ener
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than any other sources of income -
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Are wages now the main instrument f
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comparison of month-on-month develo
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• The unemployed, people who aree
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Employment in the energy sector acc
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The share of household expenditures
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subsidization practices in the regi
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in power use between regions now de
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Electricity prices for households h
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• Steady decrease in the percenta
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1. The number of graduates with eng
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As well as requiring better fuelcom
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Box 4.1. The village of Kolvain Uss
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continue to use solid fuel for a lo
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Box 4.3. Ambient air pollution andp
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