Report - UNDP Russia

Report - UNDP Russia Report - UNDP Russia

12.07.2015 Views

7.7. Impact of the fuel & energyindustry on the environment:concluding remarksIn the sections above, we have discussedmain environmental impacts of the energy sector(mainly the fuel industry, but to a lesser extent,electric power generating and power engineering).There has not been room for discussion of otherdangerous environmental impacts from uraniumore mining and enrichment [OECD ..., 1999;Proceedings ..., 2003] 15 , production of fuel elementsfor nuclear power plants, and operation of NPPsthemselves (see, in particular, [Yablokov, 1997] forenvironmental concerns about nuclear power) 16 .We have also had to omit analysis of theenvironmental implications of oil & gas productionon the continental shelf, construction andoperation of oil & gas pipelines on the sea-bed, (see[Patin, 2001; Aibulatov, 2005]) 17 , environmentalproblems related to renewable geo-energy, etc.The 2009 Sayano–Shushenskaya hydroelectricaccident has also raised new concerns about safetyin the hydro-electricity industry. Environmentalconcerns related to this sub-sector havetraditionally included flooding of land to createartificial reservoirs, coastal flooding, shallow waterpropagation with sharp deterioration of waterquality, abrasion, local climate change, etc.), ButSayano-Shushenskaya raises serious concernsabout equipment dangers, which seem to havebeen underestimated. These problemsundoubtedly require large-scale monograph study,similar to electricity sector research in themid–1990s [Lyalikov et al, 1995] 18 .Every country in the world will continue toneed considerable amounts of energy, includingfossil fuels and their derivatives, for the foreseeablefuture. The question is how much will be needed,taking account of environmental factors, energysubstitution, import potential and, especially,pricing (not only for energy, but for everythingproduced or used by energy-consumingindustries). Progress of science and technologylowers energy intensity in all sectors, but to varyingdegrees and limits. Negative impact of extractiveenterprises on the environment is inevitable andno technologies can reduce it beyond an objectivelimit. More difficult mining and extractionconditions tend to raise this limit, and that entails aprinciple of diminishing returns in environmentalimpact reduction: increasingly difficult productionconditions in Russia, as the most accessibleresources are depleted, will makes it increasinglydifficult to minimize environmental impacts astime goes on.In manufacturing industries that processmaterials, which have already been removedfrom natural systems, there is at least atheoretical possibility of reducing environmentalimpact to zero, though with two significantreservations: firstly, such possibility only concernsthe production process and not what thenhappen to the manufactured product; secondly,heat pollution, which obviously has some nonzerolow limit, is not taken into consideration.With these two limitations, technologicalprogress should steadily reduce negative impactof the manufacturing sector on the environment.The function of the extractive industries(not only mining, but also forestry, agriculture,fisheries, hunting, etc.) is extraction of naturalsubstances from the environment and, whateverthe extraction method, there will be someinsuperable limit to reduction of negative impactfrom this process, regardless of any technologicaladvances. This is a principle difference between theraw material sector and manufacturing industries.15E.g. see: OECD Environmental Activities in Uranium Mining Milling. A Joint Report by the OECD Nuclear Energy Agency and the InternationalAtomic Energy Agency. 1999. 230 p.; Proceedings of International Conference Uranium Geochemistry 2003: Uranium Deposits – NaturalAnalogs – Environment. Wien, 2003. 380 p.16The environmentalists’ claims to the nuclear power segment are found in the following book: A.V.Yablokov, Nuclear Mythology:Environmentalist’s View of Atomic Energy, M, Nauka, 1997, 272 p.17See: S.A.Patin, Oil and the Continental Shelf Environment, M, VNIRO, 2001, 247 p.; N.A.Aybulatov, Russia’s Activities in the Coastal Area andEnvironmental Issues, M., 2005, 364 p.18Such an investigation was done in mid 1990-s only for a single sector of the Fuel and Energy Complex – electric power industry. See:G.N.Lyalik, S.G.Kostina, L.N.Shapiro, E.I.Pustovoyt, Electric Power Industry and the Nature: Environmental Issues of Electric Power Industry,M, Energoatomizdat, 1995, 352 p.130 National Human Development Report in the Russian Federation 2009

Further, the economic cost ofenvironmental impacts is rising at an acceleratingrate, and will continue to do. This factor andincrease of impacts on the environment due toincreasingly difficult extraction conditions(particularly in Russia), will widen the gapbetween extraction and processing in reductionof environmental impacts (this phenomenon hasalready been noted in analysis of structuraltendencies in the economy of various countries,though it has often been left unexplained).Conclusions about the graveenvironmental impact of Russian fuel & energyproducers and converters are evident, despiteincompleteness of our survey and superficialnature of our analysis. Impacts from the fuel &energy sector are large and (what is of moreconcern) they are growing. There have beenoverall improvements in the environmentalperformance of electricity generating and oilrefining, but any improvements on the part of oil,gas and coal producers have been on minorcounts. It is beyond question that reduction offuel &energy production would have positiveenvironmental effects. The question is whethersuch reduction can be achieved withoutundermining industrial output and througheconomically acceptable means. To answer thisquestion, we need to briefly review how theenergy produced by the fuel & energy industry isused in the Russian economy.Table 7.8The energy concern index, data for the beginning of 1990CountryClimate severity indexTotalComparedwith the USA7.8. The connection betweencold climate and energyconsumption in RussiaAfter analyzing the impact of Russia's fuel& energy industry on the environment, it wouldbe natural to pose the opposite question, and toinvestigate impact of the environment on energyproduction and consumption. However, such aninvestigation, if carried out in full, would take usfar beyond the scope of this Report. We willtherefore limit the discussion to impact of theclimate on energy consumption in the housingutility sector.Energy intensity of Russian housingutilities is catastrophically high, and that is theresult of a careless, irresponsible attitude, ratherthan of Russia’s severe climate as such. The‘energy concern index’ (it might also be called an‘energy savings index’) proposed by [Danilov,Shchelokov, 2002] 19 is of considerable interestwith respect to energy use in housing utilitiesand also in other sectors. The index definition andits method of calculation, as well as its values forseveral countries are presented in Table 7.8.Like any other ‘designed’ index, theenergy concern index cannot pretend to offer anaccurate description of reality: in particular, itignores the structure of the housing stock, as wellas some other factors. But it undoubtedly givesan insight into the scale of wasteful energyHeat insulation productionm 3 per thousandresidentsper yearsame, withallowance forclimate severityindex:(4) / (3)Energy concernindex:(5) comparedwith the USAUSA 2700 1 500 500 1Sweden 4020 1.49 600 403 0.8Finland 4120 1.52 420 276 0.55Russia 5000 1.85 90 48.6 0.1See Appendix 19 with amendments19N.I. Danilov, Ya.M. Schelokov, The Power Saving Encyclopedia, Ekaterinburg, Sokrat Publishing House, 2002, 352p.131

Further, the economic cost ofenvironmental impacts is rising at an acceleratingrate, and will continue to do. This factor andincrease of impacts on the environment due toincreasingly difficult extraction conditions(particularly in <strong>Russia</strong>), will widen the gapbetween extraction and processing in reductionof environmental impacts (this phenomenon hasalready been noted in analysis of structuraltendencies in the economy of various countries,though it has often been left unexplained).Conclusions about the graveenvironmental impact of <strong>Russia</strong>n fuel & energyproducers and converters are evident, despiteincompleteness of our survey and superficialnature of our analysis. Impacts from the fuel &energy sector are large and (what is of moreconcern) they are growing. There have beenoverall improvements in the environmentalperformance of electricity generating and oilrefining, but any improvements on the part of oil,gas and coal producers have been on minorcounts. It is beyond question that reduction offuel &energy production would have positiveenvironmental effects. The question is whethersuch reduction can be achieved withoutundermining industrial output and througheconomically acceptable means. To answer thisquestion, we need to briefly review how theenergy produced by the fuel & energy industry isused in the <strong>Russia</strong>n economy.Table 7.8The energy concern index, data for the beginning of 1990CountryClimate severity indexTotalComparedwith the USA7.8. The connection betweencold climate and energyconsumption in <strong>Russia</strong>After analyzing the impact of <strong>Russia</strong>'s fuel& energy industry on the environment, it wouldbe natural to pose the opposite question, and toinvestigate impact of the environment on energyproduction and consumption. However, such aninvestigation, if carried out in full, would take usfar beyond the scope of this <strong>Report</strong>. We willtherefore limit the discussion to impact of theclimate on energy consumption in the housingutility sector.Energy intensity of <strong>Russia</strong>n housingutilities is catastrophically high, and that is theresult of a careless, irresponsible attitude, ratherthan of <strong>Russia</strong>’s severe climate as such. The‘energy concern index’ (it might also be called an‘energy savings index’) proposed by [Danilov,Shchelokov, 2002] 19 is of considerable interestwith respect to energy use in housing utilitiesand also in other sectors. The index definition andits method of calculation, as well as its values forseveral countries are presented in Table 7.8.Like any other ‘designed’ index, theenergy concern index cannot pretend to offer anaccurate description of reality: in particular, itignores the structure of the housing stock, as wellas some other factors. But it undoubtedly givesan insight into the scale of wasteful energyHeat insulation productionm 3 per thousandresidentsper yearsame, withallowance forclimate severityindex:(4) / (3)Energy concernindex:(5) comparedwith the USAUSA 2700 1 500 500 1Sweden 4020 1.49 600 403 0.8Finland 4120 1.52 420 276 0.55<strong>Russia</strong> 5000 1.85 90 48.6 0.1See Appendix 19 with amendments19N.I. Danilov, Ya.M. Schelokov, The Power Saving Encyclopedia, Ekaterinburg, Sokrat Publishing House, 2002, 352p.131

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